They may trail in the marginals (suicide hotspots I contend), but overall the latest polls show a good lead to the Tories and most people with an opinion are sceptical over the budget:
UK Polling Report
Are the Tories still not good enough even to give the ailing and unpopular Labour Party the
coup-de-gras it deserves and hurl it to near-oblivion?
I know the polls are fickle, much depends on the pollsters and that there's a large invisible proportion on non-voters with other ideas. But for all the dissatisfaction with Labour, you'd think more people would vote just to be rid of them.
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Immigration rates, since I'm on the subject at the mo', can also skew the votes in places with high levels of newly-arrived ethnic minorities, 90% of whom can vote Labour.
"Ethnic minorities have historically tended to vote Labour; making Britain more multi-ethnic would mean more Labour voters."
Labour's secret plan to lure immigrants was borderline treason – and plain stupid – Telegraph Blogs
They could at least have asked:
Using immigration to turn Britain into a nation of Labour voters is so shameful I can hardly believe it | Mail Online
Google:
Melanie Phillips's Articles » The conspiracy to transform Britain
For years, as the number of immigrants to Britain shot up apparently ... some 90 per cent of black people and three-quarters of Asians vote Labour. ...
Melanie Phillips’s Articles The conspiracy to transform Britain - Cached
DISGRACEFUL TRUTH OF THE LABOUR IMMIGRATION STRATEGY
2 Nov 2009 ...
"The Labour Immigration Strategy conveniently guaranteed a labour ... 90 per cent of black people and three-quarters of Asians vote Labour. ...
pressbox - free press release distribution and news - press store - copywriting services... - Cached
These marginal constituencies can contain high levels of unemployed people, concentrated newly-arrived immigrants with virtually no connection to the place or places where the social system has otherwise broken up.