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Taxation on the rich and its effect on the economy.

JP Hochbaum

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In a nutshell this report shows that taxing the rich less doesn't help job growth or economic growth.

It also shows that higher taxation on the rich leads to a higher share of income going to labor.

This is not an attack on the rich, just pointing out the obvious that taxing them more is beneficial to the economy:

"The results of the analysis in this report suggest that changes over the past 65 years in the top marginal tax rate and the top capital gains tax rate do not appear correlated with economic growth. The reduction in the top statutory tax rates appears to be uncorrelated with saving, investment, and productivity growth. The top tax rates appear to have little or no relation to the size of the economic pie. But as a small proportion of taxpayers are affected by changes in the top statutory tax rates, this finding is not unexpected.
However, the top tax rate reductions appear to be correlated with the increasing concentration of income at the top of the income distribution. As measured by IRS data, the share of income accruing to the top 0.1% of U.S. families increased from 4.2% in 1945 to 12.3% by 2007 before falling to 9.2% due to the 2007-2009 recession. At the same time, the average tax rate paid by the top 0.1% fell from over 50% in 1945 to about 25% in 2009. The statistical analysis in this report suggests that tax policy could be related to how the economic pie is sliced—lower top tax rates may be associated with greater income disparities."

https://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R42729.pdf
 
In a nutshell this report shows that taxing the rich less doesn't help job growth or economic growth.

It also shows that higher taxation on the rich leads to a higher share of income going to labor.

This is not an attack on the rich, just pointing out the obvious that taxing them more is beneficial to the economy:

"The results of the analysis in this report suggest that changes over the past 65 years in the top marginal tax rate and the top capital gains tax rate do not appear correlated with economic growth. The reduction in the top statutory tax rates appears to be uncorrelated with saving, investment, and productivity growth. The top tax rates appear to have little or no relation to the size of the economic pie. But as a small proportion of taxpayers are affected by changes in the top statutory tax rates, this finding is not unexpected.
However, the top tax rate reductions appear to be correlated with the increasing concentration of income at the top of the income distribution. As measured by IRS data, the share of income accruing to the top 0.1% of U.S. families increased from 4.2% in 1945 to 12.3% by 2007 before falling to 9.2% due to the 2007-2009 recession. At the same time, the average tax rate paid by the top 0.1% fell from over 50% in 1945 to about 25% in 2009. The statistical analysis in this report suggests that tax policy could be related to how the economic pie is sliced—lower top tax rates may be associated with greater income disparities."

https://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R42729.pdf

*giggle*.. over 60 years that's a net gain of .135 per year. Wow, massive gain there. /Sarcasm.
 
*giggle*.. over 60 years that's a net gain of .135 per year. Wow, massive gain there. /Sarcasm.

It is a small average gain from year to year. Now project that same trend out another 60 years, or another 600 years. It's kinda depressing for the 99.9% as they end up with a smaller and smaller percentage of the pie (even if the pie is growing, and even if their incomes and/or standard of living is remaining the same).

It just goes to prove that we have a fairly stable system, and it may only take some fairly small adjustments to our system to more evenly distribute the fruits of our economic gains. We don't need massive changes to our tax system, or huge increases in redistribution to insure that all income classes become wealthier at the same rate. Just some modest fine tuning.

It's very possible that by just making the bottom few tax bracket rates 0% (note that I am talking about cutting income taxes), and by taxing capital gains and inheritence exactly like we tax other forms of income (maybe even LOWERING the top tax rate on income derived from work), we could create the situation where EVERYONE is growing richer at about the same rate, and possibly do so without slowing the economic gains of the rich.

Anytime you attack a problem from multiple directions, you don't need to make changes as drastic as if you had attacked it from just one direction. Thats why I advocate doing several minor, although maybe somewhat economically offseting, things at once. By lowering taxes on the worker/consumer class, the net effect is that they get a slightly larger share of the pie after taxes. By lowering the tax on actual work for everyone, then we encourage work (production), and our economy grows the pie. By taxing all forms of income identically (essentially increasing the tax rate on large inheritences and capital gains), we make up for government revenue losses on the tax cuts for earned income. I'd even toss in that we should start phasing out means tested welfare, as welfare disincentivizes people to do productive work, which of course will help increase the size of our aggregate pie while lowering the cost of government.

Overall, this plan could be facilitated just as a simplification of our tax code. A fairly large per worker automatic tax deduction, the elimination of all these various tax deductions for special people, and then taxing all income above that amount at the same flat rate.

The only real difference between my plan and most republican "flat tax" plans is that I insist that all forms income be taxed identically, and I desire a higher exemption amount.
 
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What this shows me is that there looks like there might be a correlation with the size of the deficit, and thus the government, and its relation to taxation on the rich. More specifically the more we tax the rich, the less the government will have to spend and interfere.
 
It is a small average gain from year to year. Now project that same trend out another 60 years, or another 600 years. It's kinda depressing for the 99.9% as they end up with a smaller and smaller percentage of the pie (even if the pie is growing, and even if their incomes and/or standard of living is remaining the same).

It's small gain, year over year. When adjusted for inflation during those years it's even smaller, sub 10%. So they are getting returns which would be equatable to the stock market. This isn't surprising considering most of their net worth comes from the stock market. When the poor and middle class have more access to it stock market it will fall closer in line but that won't happen anytime soon. But I'll explain where I stand at the end of this post ( a viable option to fix this problem).

It just goes to prove that we have a fairly stable system, and it may only take some fairly small adjustments to our system to more evenly distribute the fruits of our economic gains. We don't need massive changes to our tax system, or huge increases in redistribution to insure that all income classes become wealthier at the same rate. Just some modest fine tuning.

Actually to fix it by increasing the tax rates does require massive changes and redistribution..

It's very possible that by just making the bottom few tax bracket rates 0% (note that I am talking about cutting income taxes), and by taxing capital gains and inheritence exactly like we tax other forms of income (maybe even LOWERING the top tax rate on income derived from work), we could create the situation where EVERYONE is growing richer at about the same rate, and possibly do so without slowing the economic gains of the rich.

Yes, your talking about cutting income taxes, I get that. But what you are failing to get is our tax policy already does this in a sense. We tax higher brackets more in Capital Gains, Income and Estate taxes. So nothing would change as we've seen this story before.


Anytime you attack a problem from multiple directions, you don't need to make changes as drastic as if you had attacked it from just one direction. Thats why I advocate doing several minor, although maybe somewhat economically offseting, things at once. By lowering taxes on the worker/consumer class, the net effect is that they get a slightly larger share of the pie after taxes. By lowering the tax on actual work for everyone, then we encourage work (production), and our economy grows the pie. By taxing all forms of income identically (essentially increasing the tax rate on large inheritences and capital gains), we make up for government revenue losses on the tax cuts for earned income. I'd even toss in that we should start phasing out means tested welfare, as welfare disincentivizes people to do productive work, which of course will help increase the size of our aggregate pie while lowering the cost of government.

I get that and don't disagree you need a multiple attack on the issue. I just feel the solutions you have given so far is actually national policy already. The only way to encourage production is not the way of income tax policy but corporate tax policy. That's a different topic. But our growth in the economy pie (be it whatever class) is not based on our national policy but also goes with our trade policy and ability to stay relevant in production (cost to produce). So when we say the poor and middle class are getting screwed, it's because of our corporate tax policy and our input costs in production compared to other countries. So those manufacturing jobs which were stable high earning incomes disappear and are replaced with those service side jobs such as cashier at an Apple store which are and never should be high paying jobs. That is a big piece of the pie people are missing. We don't return to a situation in which manufacturing is good portion of our economy (40%) it will not matter what we do on tax policy.

I rather get rid of welfare in the way we do it now and go to something Singapore does. Where it's heavily means-tested and only about 3,000 of 4m citizens get it. Their policy is SAVE for the future but we'll provide you the ability to get retrained (which I have no problem with). Basically workfare which JP has alluded to in previous topics but slightly different and that's why I disagree with him.


Overall, this plan could be facilitated just as a simplification of our tax code. A fairly large per worker automatic tax deduction, the elimination of all these various tax deductions for special people, and then taxing all income above that amount at the same flat rate.

Well we already do a standard deduction per person. When you say get rid of other tax deductions and increase the standard deduction you aren't changing anything rather you are shifting the "name" of the deduction. I have no problem giving a standard $5,000 deduction per person in household. But after that it's taxable at the flat rate. So we semi-agree here.



The only real difference between my plan and most republican "flat tax" plans is that I insist that all forms income be taxed identically, and I desire a higher exemption amount.

That's fine and I tend to be more on your side on this issue but I disagree on one part. I think, personally, Estates shouldn't be taxed as they are now and I only say this because where I grew up I saw families lose Farms over the estate tax. I think Estates should be treated like as a capital gain. I worked my ass off all my life to leave money and property to kids, that should be taxed at 0% as I already paid taxes on every dollar I earned and had in the estate until my death during tax season. But once my kids receive it, it's value should be assessed and recorded with the local/state Government. That should be the baseline value. Then whatever that value grows, minus what is put in by children via their earned income, should be taxed.


But I think the biggest problem with this income inequality comes to how stocks work now. Be it an IPO or issuing more shares, big players get first dibs. So if you are rich, your broker will see if you want in things like Pandora, Apple, Facebook and so on. You get the stock at the issue price and you get a lot of it. Then regular people get it. I think it should be reversed. I think companies should be offering stocks to their workers to buy first then what isn't sold is sold to the brokers/banks. I think this will make a major difference from my own experience. For example I got about 10,000 shares of Pandora for $16 when issued. It's doubled in 2013/2014. While it floundered for 2 years. I've doubled my investment. Now, I can sell half of it and still hold 5,000 shares and get my investment back and from this point on.. if Pandora keeps going up..or doesn't that's all profit for me. This kind of action should go to the employees, not me. But because of how stocks being issued works, I see all the gain and the workers don't. Which is why I've always given my employees in past companies started and future, 49% ownership in future IPO.
 
There should be one tax rate for all income earners and no deductions except for charitable contributions...nothing could be more fair.
 
In a nutshell this report shows that taxing the rich less doesn't help job growth or economic growth.

It also shows that higher taxation on the rich leads to a higher share of income going to labor.

This is not an attack on the rich, just pointing out the obvious that taxing them more is beneficial to the economy:

"The results of the analysis in this report suggest that changes over the past 65 years in the top marginal tax rate and the top capital gains tax rate do not appear correlated with economic growth. The reduction in the top statutory tax rates appears to be uncorrelated with saving, investment, and productivity growth. The top tax rates appear to have little or no relation to the size of the economic pie. But as a small proportion of taxpayers are affected by changes in the top statutory tax rates, this finding is not unexpected.
However, the top tax rate reductions appear to be correlated with the increasing concentration of income at the top of the income distribution. As measured by IRS data, the share of income accruing to the top 0.1% of U.S. families increased from 4.2% in 1945 to 12.3% by 2007 before falling to 9.2% due to the 2007-2009 recession. At the same time, the average tax rate paid by the top 0.1% fell from over 50% in 1945 to about 25% in 2009. The statistical analysis in this report suggests that tax policy could be related to how the economic pie is sliced—lower top tax rates may be associated with greater income disparities."

https://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R42729.pdf
The argument against robbing from the rich is not an economic one, but a moral one. Even if it could be demonstrated that robbing the rich helps the economy, it should be fought on moral grounds alone. And for those leftists uncertain as to what moral grounds are, think theft. And theft is wrong. So a moral man does not commit immoral acts to achieve (supposedly) moral ends.
 
The argument against robbing from the rich is not an economic one, but a moral one. Even if it could be demonstrated that robbing the rich helps the economy, it should be fought on moral grounds alone. And for those leftists uncertain as to what moral grounds are, think theft. And theft is wrong. So a moral man does not commit immoral acts to achieve (supposedly) moral ends.

Actually it is an economic one as well. You could take the rich 100% and it would only fund the government for 4 months. so raising taxes on the rich does nothing as far as lowering the debt or funding the government.

all it means more money taken out of the system and giving to the government to spend it on whatever it's little heart wants.
i am so sick of hearing about income redistribution.

capital investments taxed as regular income who would ever sell their home?
 
The argument against robbing from the rich is not an economic one, but a moral one. Even if it could be demonstrated that robbing the rich helps the economy, it should be fought on moral grounds alone. And for those leftists uncertain as to what moral grounds are, think theft. And theft is wrong. So a moral man does not commit immoral acts to achieve (supposedly) moral ends.

It is most definitely an economic one. My Op did demonstrate how it helps the economy. As for morality, well what exactly would you prefer: taxing the rich and I mean just the top 1% or .1%, who benefit to benefit the 99%. Or keeping things as is and completely collapsing an economy. The latter is completely immoral so if the moral argument is true, your position doesn't really stand a chance of winning it.
 
More Robin Hood BS. Who is going to tax the rich? The government? The government is busy acting as a giant vacuum pulling up all the capital it can from the middle and upper middle class and giving it to the rich. Think I'm wrong? How much was spent on bailing out the banks and the economy and where exactly do you think all that money went? Question: Why didn't the government just give it directly to the poor people who were being foreclosed on? That could have solved the whole crisis. Instead it went to the banks and ultimately to the shareholders of those banks. Notice how only the rich got richer in the last 5 years or so? Put one and two together and don't think for a minute that taxing the rich will somehow solve all your problems.

If you really want to try to achieve better economic equality, you will have to bring your government down, not trust it with your lives. Good luck with that.
 
It is most definitely an economic one. My Op did demonstrate how it helps the economy. As for morality, well what exactly would you prefer: taxing the rich and I mean just the top 1% or .1%, who benefit to benefit the 99%. Or keeping things as is and completely collapsing an economy. The latter is completely immoral so if the moral argument is true, your position doesn't really stand a chance of winning it.
So you are writing:

Tax the rich more
OR
Collapse the economy

That you believe that's the choice is as absurd as it looks.
 
What this shows me is that there looks like there might be a correlation with the size of the deficit, and thus the government, and its relation to taxation on the rich. More specifically the more we tax the rich, the less the government will have to spend and interfere.

the obvious answer, though not liked by posters who constantly whine about those wealthier than they are, is if we SPEND less things will get better.
 
if we SPEND less things will get better.

Spending less will reduce output (income). There is no mistake about it. Or can you make the case of crowding out?
 
Spending less will reduce output (income). There is no mistake about it. Or can you make the case of crowding out?

the government spends too much right now. Do you deny that?
 
the government spends too much right now. Do you deny that?

Your comment is entirely based on opinion. I deny informed opinions based on the interest rates on private debt. Because you are unaware, the spread between public and privatyoure debt must diverge (long term) to support the notion of crowding out. It hasn't, and therefore you are full of hot air.
 
Your comment is entirely based on opinion. I deny informed opinions based on the interest rates on private debt. Because you are unaware, the spread between public and privatyoure debt must diverge (long term) to support the notion of crowding out. It hasn't, and therefore you are full of hot air.

your usual schtick is to deny a philosophical difference based on some minute fact.

I oppose too much government. We have too much government

I oppose most of what the federal government does that was not specifically delegated to it

none of your arguments refute that
 
your usual schtick is to deny a philosophical difference based on some minute fact.

I oppose too much government. We have too much government

I oppose most of what the federal government does that was not specifically delegated to it

none of your arguments refute that

Your arguments are based on opinionated nonsense that lacks the slightest bit of economic logic.
 
There should be one tax rate for all income earners and no deductions except for charitable contributions...nothing could be more fair.

the only reason that I can think you would suggest allowing a deduction for charitable contribution would be that you wish to use taxation as a tool to incentivize social change.

I don't think that's a bad thing at all. I also believe that since we need some taxation (to prevent our government from diluting our money supply to the point that we have excessive inflation), it's only wise to target that taxation in such a manner that it contributes to our social good.

Since we agree to this at least to some extent, it's all just a matter of negotiating the percentages, and which social goals we should be penalizing and incentivizing.

I remember some movie where a rich dude offers an attractive young lady a million dollars to sleep with him, she agreed to it. then he withdrew that offer and offered her $25. She said "I'm not a prostitute". He countered by telling her it that it has already been proven that she is a prostitute, so now all that is left is to negotiate the price.
 
Your arguments are based on opinionated nonsense that lacks the slightest bit of economic logic.

economic logic is the crap you hide behind pretending that the rich need to be taxed more and more and more. Your nonsense is saying that the property rights of people who are more successful than you mean noting and they are the pawns your ideal of the "greater good"

your concept of economic logic is welfare socialism and you think you can defend that philosophy on an economic argument based on "the greater good"

sorry, that is a complete fail
 
economic logic is the crap you hide behind pretending that the rich need to be taxed more and more and more.

Isn't that what IKE was all about with his high taxes?
How did folks make it, with such a great boom in Houses and Babies?
I'm willing to get means-tested and pay more of my pension.
It will take a helluva lot more than a village to sustain a balanced budget and pay down 17 trillion .
 
I remember some movie where a rich dude offers an attractive young lady a million dollars to sleep with him, she agreed to it. then he withdrew that offer and offered her $25. She said "I'm not a prostitute". He countered by telling her it that it has already been proven that she is a prostitute, so now all that is left is to negotiate the price.

While it comes from a movie, I actually find this to be true of the market. Once the fact we are all prostitutes is established (and I think it has been) all that is left is the negotiation. ;)
 
The argument against robbing from the rich is not an economic one, but a moral one. Even if it could be demonstrated that robbing the rich helps the economy, it should be fought on moral grounds alone. And for those leftists uncertain as to what moral grounds are, think theft. And theft is wrong. So a moral man does not commit immoral acts to achieve (supposedly) moral ends.

I would have to argue that if it improves our economy, then "robbing the rich" is indeed moral, IF it improves the life of the masses as the fairly small cost of "robbing the few".

I define "rich" as someone who has more than they need. While different people may feel that they "need" different amounts, they still aren't "rich" unless they have more than whatever that amount happens to be for their particular situation/lifestyle/desires/etc.

Warren Buffet lives on less than $100k/yr. Not because he couldn't afford a higher standard of living, he certainly can, but because thats all he feels that he needs. If his first $100k was totally tax free, and we only taxed income that was in excess of that amount, then this tax on excess income does him no harm because it does not lower his standard of living. It would only be immoral to tax someones income which is at or below the amount that they need.

In my fantasy land, I would create a much higher tax exempt amount on income though. Warren Buffet has no personal debt, and is exceptionally thrifty. But I figure if he satisfied living a $100,000/hr standard of living, surely most any reasonable person should be satisfied with a $400,000/yr standard of living, even if they are still in the stage where they need to save money for old age, and still have personal debt that they need to pay down before they can afford to retire. Also, our highest paid common employees are MD specialists, and their incomes tend to top out at about $400k. Also the top 1% starts at about $400k. The average lifetime inheritance is less than $400k. For those reasons, I feel that a $400k/yr tax exempt amount is perfectly rational and reasonable.

And even if $400k is for whatever reason not enough for someone to live on, I am not suggesting that incomes should be restricted to "just" $400k, that's just where income taxation should start. Tax rates above that amount should be as low as possible and still have a balanced federal budget. For the sake of argument, let's say that tax rate would be 35%. Then if someone actually needed $500k, then all they would have to do is to make about $560k/yr, which is actually a LOWER income than they would need now, under our current system to net $500k after federal income taxes.
 
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Isn't that what IKE was all about with his high taxes?
How did folks make it, with such a great boom in Houses and Babies?
I'm willing to get means-tested and pay more of my pension.
It will take a helluva lot more than a village to sustain a balanced budget and pay down 17 trillion .

Post WWII economy was based on pent up demand because of lack of private spending during WWII and Great Depression. You had 20 million service members coming home with pay checks they didn't get to spend will fighting and their wives were working because their husbands were off fighting a war. Not to also mention the massive rationing that took place during WWII. So Apples and Oranges.
 
Isn't it always apples and oranges on econ?
Let's just keep the tax system the way it is, so we can finish going bankrupt.
In spite of the GOP House promise to rewrite the tax code, they've done nothing.
Just like immigration, which they promised last year.
Let's keep giving tax breaks to those who don't need them.
Post WWII economy was based on pent up demand because of lack of private spending during WWII and Great Depression. You had 20 million service members coming home with pay checks they didn't get to spend will fighting and their wives were working because their husbands were off fighting a war. Not to also mention the massive rationing that took place during WWII. So Apples and Oranges.
More and more people like me as baby-boomers will eventually get means-testing through, I hope.
How much is really enugh?
He who gets the most money wins.
How about when a few have it all?
Then the whole damn game is over.
We're closer to that then ever.
 
I would have to argue that if it improves our economy, then "robbing the rich" is indeed moral, as it improves the life of the masses as the fairly small cost of "robbing the few".

I define "rich" as someone who has more than they need. While different people may feel that they "need" different amounts, they still aren't "rich" unless they have more than whatever that amount happens to be for their particular situation/lifestyle/desires/etc.

Warren Buffet lives on less than $100k/yr. Not because he couldn't afford a higher standard of living, he certainly can, but because thats all he feels that he needs. If his first $100k was totally tax free, and we only taxed income that was in excess of that amount, then this tax on excess income does him no harm because it does not lower his standard of living. It would only be immoral to tax someones income which is at or below the amount that they need.

In my fantasy land, I would create a much higher tax exempt amount on income though. Warren Buffet has no personal debt, and is exceptionally thrifty. But I figure if he satisfied living a $100,000/hr standard of living, surely most any reasonable person should be satisfied with a $400,000/yr standard of living, even if they are still in the stage where they need to save money for old age, and still have personal debt that they need to pay down before they can afford to retire. Also, our highest paid common employees are MD specialists, and their incomes tend to top out at about $400k. Also the top 1% starts at about $400k. The average lifetime inheritance is less than $400k. For those reasons, I feel that a $400k/yr tax exempt amount is perfectly rational and reasonable.

And even if $400k is for whatever reason not enough for someone to live on, I am not suggesting that incomes should be restricted to "just" $400k, that's just where income taxation should start. Tax rates above that amount should be as low as possible and still have a balanced federal budget. For the sake of argument, let's say that tax rate would be 35%. Then if someone actually needed $500k, then all they would have to do is to make about $660k/yr, which is actually a LOWER income than they would need now, under our current system to net $500k after federal income taxes.

It doesn't improve the economy. all this talk of tax the rich more I just another power grab from the government. it doesn't go to help people. it gets filtered into the general slush fund and then passed out to someone friend over somewhere else.

you could tax the rich at 100% of AGI and it would only run the government for 4 months. that is it. then the government would be back to borrowing money.
so evidently raising taxes on the rich does nothing to improve anything.

you want to improve peoples lives? get government out of the way an allow businesses to operate the way they need to. quit forcing massive mandates and regulations that cost companies billions of dollars to comply with.

you let the free market do it's thing and you will have job growth and good paying jobs.
 
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