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Originally Posted by talloulou If Roe vs. Wade were abolished the abortion debate would straightaway emerge more publicly than it is currently and proponents and critics of abortion would have to make their arguments more honestly and aboveboard. |
I fail to see how. Other than removing Constitutional considerations from the argument-- which aren't really the basis of most peoples' concerns-- I don't see how striking down
Roe v. Wade would change anything except for the possible outcomes of the argument.
It certainly won't make anyone more honest, since the higher the stakes are the more desperate people will become to see their side win. I would expect more provocative demonstrations, more distortion, and more raw emotion, not less.
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Originally Posted by talloulou I hold the end result would save the lives of many fetuses and encourage more women to use birth control more responsibly. |
According to the Center for Bio-Ethical Reform, there are approximately 1.37 million abortions every year in the United States. This is after steadily declining since abortion reached its peak in the United States in 1990. (
cite)
By contrast, there were 586,760
legal abortions in 1972-- when it was only legal in seven states-- and 615,831 in 1973 after it was legalized nationwide. This is only counting legal abortions, of course, but the 1973 figure would also include a large number of abortions which would have occurred illegally the year before.
While the number of legal abortions increased steadily afterwards-- until 1990-- it seems that this was due more to changes in social attitude than the law. Since those changes in social attitude were present before 1973, as shown by several States moving to legalize abortion, and are still present today, it seems highly unlikely that changes in the law today will spark any great change in the number of abortions.
Especially since far fewer than forty-six States would pass laws that would effect more than a very small percentage of abortions in the first place.
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Originally Posted by talloulou One of the principle arguments for abortion states that there is a constitutional inalienable right to privacy which Roe vs. Wade somehow translated into the right to an abortion. Much of the public does not comprehend the feeble fragile reasoning behind Roe vs. Wade. |
However, they do understand the basic concept of liberty protected by the 14th Amendment, which was the basis of the later
Planned Parenthood v. Casey-- which prevents the State from restricting liberties without being able to demonstrate a compelling interest. (
cite)
The law has held, and most people accept, that the State has no compelling interest in the reproductive choices made by its citizens; the legal protection of abortion is simply an extension of this. Removing the concept of "viability" as necessary to justify the State's interest would allow for far more invasive decisions on the State's part.
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Originally Posted by talloulou The majority of this country does not support abortion on demand. |
I'd clarify this to note that they do not support abortion-on-demand beyond a certain gestational age.
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Originally Posted by talloulou Also, Roe vs. Wade emphasized “viability” as an important stage and placed it at 24 weeks. But clearly viability has changed and babies born even before 24 weeks are currently surviving. |
Later decisions, notably
Planned Parenthood v. Casey as mentioned earlier, have refined
Roe's standards of "viability", discarding the trimester model and basing it upon current medical technology.
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Originally Posted by talloulou The majority of people would be content with more regulated abortion and most on both sides would give up the war. |
In the long term, I would agree that you are correct. However, in the short term and the context of what people are calling a "cultural war", abortion would suddenly become a much more important battleground.
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Originally Posted by talloulou The end result would favor our society since politicians could no longer use abortion to pit one side against the other. |
How so, when it would also finally allow this debate to show
results? We would see a much larger degree of polarization in the wake of this decision, as every attempt to regulate abortion would be seen as an attempt to prohibit it entirely, and every attempt to relax regulations-- which would follow soon after they were passed-- would be seen as an attempt to return to
Roe standards.
Overturning
Roe v. Wade would make the abortion debate more prominent and far more emotional for a long time to come and it would be decades before any satisfactory solution were reached.
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Originally Posted by talloulou However I honestly believe the states which completely outlawed abortion would be few in number especially over time as we reached a majority moral consensus on the topic. |
Certainly, but the regulations they did pass would have far more effect on the people least prepared for having children. They are the most likely to be sexually assaulted, and not every regulation will make an exception. They are the most likely to discover their pregnancies late-- and the ones least capable of getting money for the procedure quickly-- and most regulations will include deadlines. They are the ones who are least capable of raising and supporting a child, as well as the ones least capable of providing the prenatal care which is necessary for healthy children, regardless of whether they intend to keep the child or not.
These regulations would not significantly reduce the number of abortions overall, but they would have a dramatic effect on who is capable of procuring them, favoring those who need them least.
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Originally Posted by talloulou People can argue gun control all they want but there is a definite constitutional right to bear arms. |
I would urge you to spend more time reading gun control arguments, then. If you think the "right to privacy" extrapolated by
Roe v. Wade or the "general liberty" protected by
Planned Parenthood v. Casey shows twisted legal reasoning, you would be absolutely amazed.
The absence or presence of "Constitutional protection" for a right has very little to do with the intensity of the argument, and only a minor effect on the kinds of arguments used.
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Originally Posted by talloulou These are questions that should all be open for public democratic debate. |
I agree with you, but I don't think you're acknowledging that these questions
are up for public debate, and as demonstrated by other cases based on
Roe v. Wade, a Court decision can be refined without being discarded.
We are capable of publically discussing this issue without overturning
Roe v. Wade, and there is nothing in the language of the decision-- or that of other cases based upon it-- that suggests that we cannot reach an acceptable legal compromise despite the required standard.
Roe v. Wade does not prevent laws which prohibit the abortion of viable fetuses-- and the birth of James Elgin Gill, almost twenty years ago, means that "viable" can be as early as twenty weeks. In requiring an exception for "health or life of the mother", it does not
require that "health" be defined to include "psychological health" or for "psychological health" to be defined as "giving the mother what she wants".
These are decisions that have been made by legislators, not judges; if the legislators have failed to pass anti-abortion laws which fit the standards set by
Roe v. Wade, it is only because they prefer pushing for an all-or-nothing solution that guarantees them the support of either the "all" lobby or the "nothing" lobby.