Gallup Daily: McCain Moves Ahead, 48% to 45%

MC.no.spin · 09-07-08, 03:33 PM

Quote:

McCain enjoying increase in support following convention

* USA
* Election 2008
* Gallup Daily
* Americas
* Northern America

PRINCETON, NJ -- The latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking update shows John McCain moving ahead of Barack Obama, 48% to 45%, when registered voters are asked for whom they would vote if the presidential election were held today.

Gallup Daily: McCain Moves Ahead, 48% to 45%

My prediction was accurate.

Frolicking Dinosaurs · 09-07-08, 03:55 PM

I'll give you this one, MC. I will be interested in seeing if this is just the convention bounce or if this is a post_Palin increase. If it is post-Palin, I believe he will hold this lead and it will mean that voters like her.

Panther · 09-07-08, 04:07 PM

This poll should reflect fully any immediate impact Palin had as a result of her speech. It should also reflect 2/3rds the impact of McCain's speech. Tomorrow will mark the first tracking poll where all three days' data was collected after the end of the RNC.

bhkad · 09-07-08, 05:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MC.no.spin

Gallup Daily: McCain Moves Ahead, 48% to 45%

My prediction was accurate.

Kudos, MC.no.spin!

Wouldn't this be the first time in the campaign that McCain has enjoyed higher approval ratings than Obama?

Gibberish · 09-07-08, 05:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bhkad

Wouldn't this be the first time in the campaign that McCain has enjoyed higher approval ratings than Obama?

He enjoyed it for a moment around Aug 24, according to the graph above.

rsixing · 09-07-08, 06:21 PM

Rasmussen has it at 46% each and certainly this is a convention bounce.

Additionally Gallup states:

"These results are based on Sept. 4-6 interviewing, and include two full days of polling after the conclusion of the Republican National Convention last Thursday night. McCain has outpolled Obama on both Friday and Saturday, and is receiving a convention bounce just as Obama did last week.

Tomorrow's report will be the first in which all interviews were conducted after the conclusion of the convention. Gallup measures convention bounces by comparing candidate support in the last poll done entirely before a party's presidential nominating convention begins with the first polling conducted entirely after its conclusion.

McCain's 48% share of the vote ties for his largest since Gallup tracking began in early March. He registered the same level of support in early May. This is also McCain's largest advantage over Obama since early May, when he led by as much as six percentage points. Obama has led McCain for most of the campaign, and for nearly all of the time since clinching the Democratic nomination in early June."

WI Crippler · 09-07-08, 08:28 PM

Unless something drastic happens, this thing is going down to the wire.

rsixing · 09-07-08, 08:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by WI Crippler

Unless something drastic happens, this thing is going down to the wire.

Agreed. It's going to be a nail-biter.

Panther · 09-07-08, 08:54 PM

I previously thought so, but now I'm thinking the GOP momentum peaked at just the right time and they will likely continue a (gradual) expanding of the gap. By the time the election rolls around and the polls show that even PA is falling towards McCain, Nov. 4th will be much less eventful.

WI Crippler · 09-07-08, 08:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Panther

I previously thought so, but now I'm thinking the GOP momentum peaked at just the right time and they will likely continue a (gradual) expanding of the gap. By the time the election rolls around and the polls show that even PA is falling towards McCain, Nov. 4th will be much less eventful.

Well, there is still time. I think with the economy being weak it doesn't help the incumbent party that much. I really think thats what is keeping this close, because the War in Iraq is no longer the hot topic for a majority of Americans.