Poll: Obama hits 50 percent mark

Hatuey · 09-02-08, 08:11 PM

Poll: Obama hits 50 percent mark - Yahoo! News

Quote:

The survey indicates that Obama’s overall post-Democratic National Convention bounce now appears to be roughly at par with the norm of past conventions. Though smaller than several of the sizable bounces of recent decades, the new polling suggests that perhaps the Democratic convention bounce has yet to subside.

While an improvement from 49 percent to 50 percent is statistically insignificant, the 50 percent mark holds significance for a party seeking to win its first majority since 1976, when Jimmy Carter won with 50.1 percent.

Polling will likely remain in flux until early next week, after the conclusion of the Republican National Convention. On Saturday, Gallup reported Obama was ahead by 8 percentage points. By Monday, that lead had shrunk to 5 points. Today it returned to 8.

Obama and McCain were evenly split at 45 percent prior to the Democratic convention, according to Gallup. Should Obama maintain a 5-point bounce in the polls, that would meet the 5- to 6-point norm earned by a typical party nominee, by Gallup’s measure, since 1964.

That also means, however, that Obama’s historic acceptance speech before more than 80,000 people at Invesco Field in Denver Thursday night, a political event seen by about 40 million television viewers, has not vaulted him above the norm of past nominees.

But Obama now has his firmest political footing of the campaign, according to the polls. Daily tracking polls by Gallup and Rasmussen Reports demonstrate that Obama has taken his greatest lead since the beginning of the general election in June when Obama clinched the Democratic nomination.

Be afraid my right wing friends be very afraid.

donc · 09-02-08, 08:25 PM

Than you Governor Palin;the gift that keeps on giving

TBone · 09-02-08, 08:28 PM

Polls don't always mean anything with an electoral college and the use of computers to vote.

It is a long time until November 08.

Plus, the GOP will rise in the polls after their convention.

Who knows, with Karl Rove in the shadows, something can happen soon.

Panther · 09-02-08, 08:29 PM

All that matters is who controls the electronic touchscreen voting systems.

American · 09-02-08, 08:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hatuey

Poll: Obama hits 50 percent mark - Yahoo! News

Be afraid my right wing friends be very afraid.

The "messiah" is in deep trouble. 50%, is that all? Pathetic.

SouthernDemocrat · 09-02-08, 08:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TBone

Polls don't always mean anything with an electoral college and the use of computers to vote.

It is a long time until November 08.

Plus, the GOP will rise in the polls after their convention.

Who knows, with Karl Rove in the shadows, something can happen soon.

I am actually inclined to think that the GOP will see little to no bump after the convention. After all, all the convention is going to do is remind everyone that McCain is the nominee and shares almost all of the same views of the political party that Americans are looking to throw out of office at all levels of government this November.

I would also point out that Kerry never polled more than 2 to 3 points ahead of Bush from July on to the election, and was behind in most polls. Moreover, Kerry never polled 50%.

DarkWizard12 · 09-02-08, 09:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SouthernDemocrat

I am actually inclined to think that the GOP will see little to no bump after the convention. After all, all the convention is going to do is remind everyone that McCain is the nominee and shares almost all of the same views of the political party that Americans are looking to throw out of office at all levels of government this November.

If the GOP magically gets a bump, or the dems go down(whichever comes first), you'll be inclined to scream "foul play" at Carl Rove and what not.

I seriously think McCain will use the Convention to revive his "Maverickness", he's already done a little of that with his surprise pick.

SouthernDemocrat · 09-02-08, 09:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DarkWizard12

If the GOP magically gets a bump, or the dems go down(whichever comes first), you'll be inclined to scream "foul play" at Carl Rove and what not.

I seriously think McCain will use the Convention to revive his "Maverickness", he's already done a little of that with his surprise pick.

His pick has thus far cost him in the polls and gave the impression that either he is reckless or just throwing a token chick on the ticket in an effort to pander.

Its pretty much impossible to look the Maverick when you have the American White Conservative Nationalist Christian Party as your audience for 4 nights.

Also, is Carl Rove, Karl Rove's even more evil twin?

American · 09-02-08, 09:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SouthernDemocrat

I am actually inclined to think that the GOP will see little to no bump after the convention. After all, all the convention is going to do is remind everyone that McCain is the nominee and shares almost all of the same views of the political party that Americans are looking to throw out of office at all levels of government this November.

I would also point out that Kerry never polled more than 2 to 3 points ahead of Bush from July on to the election, and was behind in most polls. Moreover, Kerry never polled 50%.

Let's not forget that with Obama the country will get the same performance as their current Congress.

American · 09-02-08, 09:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SouthernDemocrat

His pick has thus far cost him in the polls and gave the impression that either he is reckless or just throwing a token chick on the ticket in an effort to pander.

Its pretty much impossible to look the Maverick when you have the American White Conservative Nationalist Christian Party as your audience for 4 nights.

Also, is Carl Rove, Karl Rove's even more evil twin?

Buchanan disagrees with you.