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Thread: Cairo's Protests Reverberate in Tehran

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    Cairo's Protests Reverberate in Tehran

    Cairo's Protests Reverberate in Tehran - Reza Aslan - International - The Atlantic

    All of this has people wondering whether what began in Iran two years ago could possibly make its way back to Iran in the near future. That is certainly what the Green Movement hopes will happen; its leaders recently petitioned the government for a permit to stage a protest in Iran next Monday in order to "show solidarity with the popular movements in the region and specifically the freedom-seeking movement embarked on by Tunisian and Egyptian people against their autocratic governments." There is no chance the Iranian regime is going to let that happen. In fact, the government has just shut down access in Iran to Reuters and Yahoo News, perhaps in recognition that the events in Egypt are increasingly difficult to spin into pro-regime propaganda. Instead, the regime has announced it will stage its own rally in support of the people of Egypt to coincide with the 32nd anniversary of the 1979 Revolution, which takes place this Friday. Of course, the last time the regime tried to celebrate the revolution's anniversary, it had to flood the streets with tens of thousands of armed security guards and shut down virtually all access to mobile phones and the internet, at a cost of hundreds of millions of dollars, just to keep the event from being hijacked by the Green Movement.
    Keeping my fingers crossed that the flames of freedom spread.

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    Re: Cairo's Protests Reverberate in Tehran

    Quote Originally Posted by Catz Part Deux View Post
    ...Keeping my fingers crossed that the flames of freedom spread.
    I don't think so: Iranian opposition leader under house arrest after protests call | World news | guardian.co.uk

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    Re: Cairo's Protests Reverberate in Tehran

    In all likelihood, Egypt will be a carbon copy of Iran in the near future.

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    Re: Cairo's Protests Reverberate in Tehran

    Quote Originally Posted by Erod View Post
    In all likelihood, Egypt will be a carbon copy of Iran in the near future.
    Wow, little mary sunshine. Got any more positive thoughts to share?

    I can't help thinking that if this had occurred when Bush was in office, y'all would have been shooting off fireworks in the streets, too.

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    Re: Cairo's Protests Reverberate in Tehran

    Quote Originally Posted by Erod View Post
    In all likelihood, Egypt will be a carbon copy of Iran in the near future.
    Egypt is a completely different country from Iran. It's as dissimilar as Ireland is from Russia. What do you believe the similarities are?
    "The crisis will end when fear changes sides" - Pablo Iglesias Turrión

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    Re: Cairo's Protests Reverberate in Tehran

    Quote Originally Posted by Andalublue View Post
    Egypt is a completely different country from Iran. It's as dissimilar as Ireland is from Russia. What do you believe the similarities are?
    Egyptians aren't waiting for the return of the Mahdi, but those who rule Iran with an iron fist are waiting for the Return of the Twelfth Imam. Iran has much better control of social networking systems than the clunky Egyptians Govt. had. Iran also has the Pasdaran...the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guards and the Basenji to put down democratic forces by shooting them and beating them. Besides, the Iranians Govt. does have the support of about one third of the Iranian people from what I've read.

    The tides of revolution sweeping the Middle East are only going to affect American client states. Not Iran, not Syria, and not Lebanon. In fact Lebanon just installed a Hezbollah backed prime minister. I would call that a successful counter-revolution.

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    Re: Cairo's Protests Reverberate in Tehran

    Quote Originally Posted by Albert Di Salvo View Post
    Egyptians aren't waiting for the return of the Mahdi, but those who rule Iran with an iron fist are waiting for the Return of the Twelfth Imam. Iran has much better control of social networking systems than the clunky Egyptians Govt. had. Iran also has the Pasdaran...the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guards and the Basenji to put down democratic forces by shooting them and beating them. Besides, the Iranians Govt. does have the support of about one third of the Iranian people from what I've read.
    So you agree, very dissimilar indeed. Fair enough.

    The tides of revolution sweeping the Middle East are only going to affect American client states. Not Iran, not Syria, and not Lebanon. In fact Lebanon just installed a Hezbollah backed prime minister. I would call that a successful counter-revolution.
    Not necessarily. I suspect Algeria and Yemen will be next, neither of which are US client states. I think those regimes that have most abused their positions to least positive effect are the most vulnerable.
    "The crisis will end when fear changes sides" - Pablo Iglesias Turrión

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    Re: Cairo's Protests Reverberate in Tehran

    Quote Originally Posted by Catz Part Deux View Post
    Wow, little mary sunshine. Got any more positive thoughts to share?

    I can't help thinking that if this had occurred when Bush was in office, y'all would have been shooting off fireworks in the streets, too.
    I just haven't seen a country in that part of the world go any other direction the past 30 years. They all go the way of dictatorships or Islamic militant strongholds.

    I fear Jordan and Saudi Arabia are next after Yemen.

    I'd love to be wrong about all three.

    Imagine if it happened in Turkey and Morocco.
    Last edited by Erod; 02-11-11 at 04:44 PM.

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    Re: Cairo's Protests Reverberate in Tehran

    Quote Originally Posted by Top Cat View Post
    At least Bill saved his transgressions for grown women. Not suggesting what he did was OK. But he didn't chase 14 year olds.

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    Re: Cairo's Protests Reverberate in Tehran

    Quote Originally Posted by Erod View Post
    I'd love to be wrong about all three.
    Instead of going straight to the worst possible scenario, can't you, for even one day, be happy that peaceful protesters toppled a dictatorship of 30+ years and are breathing the free air of liberty at this moment?

    Tomorrow may be chaos. But you know what? The situation they were in was already dysfunctional, broken, and bad.

    Bad things could happen, sure. But the possibility of good things happening are--in this moment--a million times more likely than they were on January 24. That's a good thing.

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