God damn you're like a fly that you swat and he won't go away.
I believe the word you're looking for is "relentless." :lol:
I live in the oil business. At current rates, estimates are between 75-80 years
But you said, "we aren't sure how much oil is out there."
How can we even begin to
estimate how much longer the oil that is out there will last if
we aren't sure how much is out there?
Are you going to pick a stance and stick to it, or are you going to change your position to whatever helps you make your argument?
BUT that assumes that we just keep going until we run dry which won't happen. Like I stated before, it's a supply and demand thing, the less supply we have the more demand, the more demand the greater the price. Oil will eventually be too EXPENSIVE for most to afford, but that won't happen any time soon.
We aren't sure how much oil is out there.
We aren't sure what demand will be in 5 years, much less 80 years.
We aren't sure how much people will be willing to pay for whatever oil is left in 5 years, much less 80 years.
We aren't sure what kind of technological whiz-bang is going to come along and replace oil in whole or in part, and...
We have enough shale oil in this country for WAY longer than the old estimates had, so I wouldn't be surprised if in 100 years we still have oil.
Oh, wait, so now it's not 80 years, it's 100 years? Hell, why not 1000 years? :lol:
How do you not see how absurd your argument is?
Right now, we guess about 80 years of oil is available.
Oh, so now we're not
estimating, we're guessing -- unless that's the same thing?
:lol:
But since you CAN'T KNOW WHAT IS OUT THERE IF YOU DON'T KNOW ITS THERE
Schroedinger's Cat strikes again!
there is no way to know how far BEYOND 80 or so years we will have oil. That doesn't mean we don't know what's out there as in we don't have a flying ****ing idea what the **** will happen in 20 years, the unknowns begin about 80 years out.....but next year we could develop ways to access oil we don't know exist today and it could DOUBLE the amount of oil we can obtain thus doubling the amount of time before we run out.
Or, the estimates could turn out to be total bunk and then we're hosed. What'll you say then, "oops, I meant we
should've had at least 80 er 100 er 80 years of oil left?"
Or usage could turn out way higher or way lower than you expect.
Or any number of things.
A lot can happen in 80 years, especially when dealing with a complete unknown like
how much oil we have left on the planet.
You love to play on words but the fact is I forgot WAY more about the oil industry than you will EVER know.
That may be, but when it comes coherent debate, you've got a
lot to learn, and if a layman like me can point out the holes in what you're saying, then they aught to be
glaringly obvious to an industry expert like yourself.
Or not, as the case may be. :lol: