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The Trump Surge

Word is that they're hiring Clintonistas in Ecuador. Avoid the rush! The REALLY good jobs will be the first to go. OOPs, my bad, I'm so dumb. Clintonistas don't like to work.
 
EvaPeron said:
Are you guessing, on you knees with your hands together head bowed? The best thing she can do for Trump supporters is to go back on the trail!!'
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I'm guessing that "on you knees with hands together head bowed" is some kind of kinky sex for Trump supporters.
 
Moot said:
Ross Perot did pretty good in the polls...and nobody knew he was. But he was such a character that he made himself known pretty quickly. Even after all these years...people still remember him. lol

But yeah...I didn't know who Stein was until a few months ago. I dunno, there's just something about the Green Party that bugs me. The fact that Libertarian Party hasn't gained a bigger foothold...suggests that most people still believe in big government and order.
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Ross Perot had money and was all over the TV. He became know for his 30 minute campaign infomercials. I worked for him both in 1992 and 1996. But outside of appearing on Larry King ever so often, no one did know who he was. But once he announced and started his TV ads and became organized, he quickly became a household name overnight. Johnson and Stein have none of that money and no political ads to let anyone know whom they are.

I knew of Ross, so here is a quick story how I came to know him. Back in 1969 I was stationed in Vientiane, Laos as part of Project 404. Perot at that time was trying to deliver Christmas presents to our POW's in Hanoi. So a few days before Christmas he flew into Vientiane. Vientiane had a North Vietnamese Embassy, U.S. embassy, Red Chinese, South Vietnamese, USSR etc. The only country that had all of them. Ross took the media and several truck loads of Christmas presents to the North Vietnamese Embassy trying to get the North Vietnamese Ambassador to accept them. The North Vietnamese Ambassador refused to meet with him and Ross had to depart Vientiane a couple of days later with still a plane load of Christmas gifts.

But that was something I would never forget. Ross also worked behind the scenes for several presidents. So in 1992 I quickly jumped on board his campaign.
 
American said:
Oh, don't kid yourself. The Clinton campaign is nervous.
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Not nearly as much as the Trump campaign are worried over showing his health report and tax returns. That he still hasn't released them highly suggests he's hiding something. Could that be the October surprise?
 
Moot said:
Not nearly as much as the Trump campaign are worried over showing his health report and tax returns. That he still hasn't released them highly suggests he's hiding something. Could that be the October surprise?
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Better keep praying for Typhoid Hillary, there's more going on there than we know.
 
Abbazorkzog said:
Trump has a 29 Electoral Vote deficit as it stands now. Florida has 29 votes. :shrug:

Florida + one other state = that's it. Preventing him from getting these states is not a landslide at all, in any stretch, spin or tilt of the term.
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How do you figure Trump has a 29 EV deficit as of right now?
 
Anagram said:
How do you figure Trump has a 29 EV deficit as of right now?
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FiveThirtyEight:

BrewerBob said:
Complacency is certainly not what the Dems should be doing. While the electoral count isn't currently as close as the popular vote, it has been trending in Trump's favor all month.

I find 538's analysis the best and as of today they put Trump's odds of winning the electoral vote at 35.8%. Those are far from impossible or implausible odds. Here is a screenshot of the their chart tracking the electoral vote odds. Trump was tied with Hillary until his Khan and other remarks sent him plummeting. But he is now quickly catching back up. Trump could win this if he plays the debates right.

View attachment 67207293
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
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Much credit and thanks to BrewerBob.
 
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Abbazorkzog said:
FiveThirtyEight:



Much credit and thanks to BrewerBob.
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You're looking at that wrong. Clinton's not winning Florida 100% of the time in 538's projections. You can't just take Florida and give it to Trump to bridge the 57 EV gap that it has.
 
Anagram said:
You're looking at that wrong. Clinton's not winning Florida 100% of the time in 538's projections. You can't just take Florida and give it to Trump to bridge the 57 EV gap that it has.
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And if Clinton fails to stop Trump from getting to 270/sweeping Florida...? And even if he doesn't... the one other swing-state he needs to?
 
Abbazorkzog said:
When Donald ****ing Trump the Antichrist is tied with anyone, that anyone represents a massive ****ing mistake in the flesh.
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If you believe in the Antichrist maybe you buy into Nostradamus who said the final antichrist will be born in eastern Africa. Hmm.
 
Abbazorkzog said:
According to the poll in the above it gets him to 269-point-something, which is close enough.
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You're misunderstanding what that means. You can't just add 29 EVs to Trump by proclaiming he'll get Florida. The 240 votes they have him at includes him already getting Florida about 48% of the time. It's a projection based on how likely each of the states are to vote for either candidate.
 
Anagram said:
You're misunderstanding what that means. You can't just add 29 EVs to Trump by proclaiming he'll get Florida. The 240 votes they have him at includes him already getting Florida about 48% of the time. It's a projection based on how likely each of the states are to vote for either candidate.
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I'm viewing it exactly as it is presented, but if you scale it up to a proportional metric that fits with the notion that Florida and and one another swing-state, as well as a good percentage of yet another swing-state due to the GOP restricting voting rights to the disgusting degree that they are (also factoring in the rather tall order of Hillary Clinton simultaneously 1) recovering in time to have no more health faux-pas, 2) performing better in the debates than her piss-poor performance against Bernie Sanders in the few debates that we held, 3) matching the passion-evocation charisma of Bernie, Trump and her surrogates to a level that will propel her ahead of Trump's already-stupidly-impassioned voting bloc and, 4) routing the trust issues that were inflamed to new heights after being exposed having secrets about her health issues), she's screwed on election day - whether she squeaks by Trump or vice-versa - and the race is pretty much irrelevant at this point.
 
Abbazorkzog said:
eea2df51-1569-4bc8-93de-ea5251c6b809.jpg


The Trump Surge

The Republican nominee may not be winning yet, but a series of polls show that he has drawn very close nationally and in key swing states.

Do you smell that in the air? No, it’s not the first breezes of fall. It’s the aroma of Democratic panic.

The latest trigger is a a poll that CNN released late Wednesday afternoon. The poll shows Donald Trump beating Hillary Clinton 46-41 in Ohio, with Gary Johnson taking 8 percent, and Trump winning 47-44 in Florida, with Gary Johnson at 6 percent. Both figures are based on screening for likely voters, not just registered voters. A national CNN poll last week showed Trump winning by a point 49-48.

“This shouldn’t be close, but it’s close,” President Obama said at a fundraiser Tuesday night.

CNN’s poll of those two crucial battleground states is the latest in a series of polls that have shown good news for Trump. The gap between the two candidates has shrunk to one of its smallest points so far. Not since Trump’s post-Republican National Convention bump has the GOP nominee seemed to be in such a strong position. Certainly, mid-September has been decisive in presidential elections before. John McCain had built a lead over Barack Obama before the economy collapsed on September 15, 2008; McCain never recovered.​



This is bad.
Democrats, you ****ed up.
Big time.
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2 REASONS.....the dems insane greed made them push too FAR... pushing to bring in womens very worst nightmare
THE MUSLIMS

the 2nd reason is the media is now proven to do exactly like the democrats.... pushing for muslims who are the very worst enemy of women.... insane greed is the cause because more money for globalists with including the 1 billion muslims
 
Perotista said:
No media coverage, no money, no name recognition, most folks have never heard of him. Remember no Libertarian has ever received even one percent of the total vote in any presidential election. Only us political junkies actually know who he is. The fact he and Stein are polling approximate 12-15% is amazing and speaks to the total dislike of both Trump and Clinton. Stein is even less known than Johnson. Give either or both some media coverage and I bet they would double their polling numbers.
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I was watching a documentary on showtime about the political race and they were walking with Johnson in Central Park NYC and only one hippie chick stopped them to take a picture. I have a feeling that this was not staged. this all seemed legit. In that same documentary they were eating at the restaurant talking to johnson and weld and only one millennial dude who looked and sounded like baxter from breaking bad came up to them and knew who they were.

If they get on the debate stage it changes thing definitely, and that might be Clinton's only hope at this point. If she takes off another day, she's done. However, she had plenty of rest time for the debates and Trump hasn't.
 
ModerateGOP said:
I was watching a documentary on showtime about the political race and they were walking with Johnson in Central Park NYC and only one hippie chick stopped them to take a picture. I have a feeling that this was not staged. this all seemed legit. In that same documentary they were eating at the restaurant talking to johnson and weld and only one millennial dude who looked and sounded like baxter from breaking bad came up to them and knew who they were.

If they get on the debate stage it changes thing definitely, and that might be Clinton's only hope at this point. If she takes off another day, she's done. However, she had plenty of rest time for the debates and Trump hasn't.
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Yep. Plenty of folks out there want another choice besides Trump and Clinton. The problem is they don't know one exists. Most think it is just a Republican and Democratic thing. I hope Johnson makes it into the debates, but he is still a very long way from doing so. That 15% threshold will keep him out even though he is on the ballot in all 50 states.
 
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