Orly?
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What are you saying that we should do? Please enlighten us?
Vote Trump..
What are you saying that we should do? Please enlighten us?
Hillary could have defeated Trump soundly and easily before it was exposed that she lied about her health. The second-worst candidate in electoral history has a real chance of becoming the worst, do you not realize that? Did you miss the point completely?
From your link:
A victory by Mr. Trump remains quite possible: Mrs. Clinton’s chance of losing is about the same as the probability that an N.F.L. kicker misses a 45-yard field goal.
No media coverage, no money, no name recognition, most folks have never heard of him. Remember no Libertarian has ever received even one percent of the total vote in any presidential election. Only us political junkies actually know who he is. The fact he and Stein are polling approximate 12-15% is amazing and speaks to the total dislike of both Trump and Clinton. Stein is even less known than Johnson. Give either or both some media coverage and I bet they would double their polling numbers.
Vote Trump..
But a closer look, using data from state officials and from L2, a nonpartisan voter file vendor, and Catalist, a Democratic data firm, shows far more favorable trends for the Democratic Party.
Democrats are actually registering more new voters than Republicans. In addition, more new voters are registering as independents. These voters are far younger and more diverse than the electorate as a whole, and they appear to lean Democratic. And although the total number of registered Democrats is falling, many of the voters switching parties probably have not voted Democratic in a presidential election in a long time — their party registration is finally catching up with how they actually vote.
These trends in voter registration aren’t being driven just by Mr. Trump. The changing tallies are a lagging indicator of what we already know: Many voters who used to consider themselves Democrats now vote Republican.
Yes...Trump wouldn't be where he is without them.lololololool ... Yeah cause what they say matters right?
Yes.
I'm sure its the truth, the whole truth, and nothing but the truth... Right??
And yet, Trump has proven himself to be "unfit to be president" mentally. For him, I think we need to see a full psychological examination and a comprehensive health report...and a tax return. Cuz he's definitely hiding something...Right because Trump passed out at the ceremony too.. No wait..
The Trump Surge
The Republican nominee may not be winning yet, but a series of polls show that he has drawn very close nationally and in key swing states.
Do you smell that in the air? No, it’s not the first breezes of fall. It’s the aroma of Democratic panic.
The latest trigger is a a poll that CNN released late Wednesday afternoon. The poll shows Donald Trump beating Hillary Clinton 46-41 in Ohio, with Gary Johnson taking 8 percent, and Trump winning 47-44 in Florida, with Gary Johnson at 6 percent. Both figures are based on screening for likely voters, not just registered voters. A national CNN poll last week showed Trump winning by a point 49-48.
“This shouldn’t be close, but it’s close,” President Obama said at a fundraiser Tuesday night.
CNN’s poll of those two crucial battleground states is the latest in a series of polls that have shown good news for Trump. The gap between the two candidates has shrunk to one of its smallest points so far. Not since Trump’s post-Republican National Convention bump has the GOP nominee seemed to be in such a strong position. Certainly, mid-September has been decisive in presidential elections before. John McCain had built a lead over Barack Obama before the economy collapsed on September 15, 2008; McCain never recovered.
This is bad.
Democrats, you ****ed up.
Big time.
Complacency is certainly not what the Dems should be doing. While the electoral count isn't currently as close as the popular vote, it has been trending in Trump's favor all month.
I find 538's analysis the best and as of today they put Trump's odds of winning the electoral vote at 35.8%. Those are far from impossible or implausible odds. Here is a screenshot of the their chart tracking the electoral vote odds. Trump was tied with Hillary until his Khan and other remarks sent him plummeting. But he is now quickly catching back up. Trump could win this if he plays the debates right.
View attachment 67207293
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
In one month Clinton has dropped from a 89.2% odds to a 69.2% odds of winning. That is a 20% drop in one month, according to 538, the site you provided. She isn't losing numbers because Trump is just so much smarter than her. She is losing numbers because she screws up at every chance. If Trump gets the election it isn't because he won it, it will be because she lost it. If Trump wins it won't be that he won it, it will be that she lost it. Every move she makes turns into a **** show. This pneumonia debacle is just the latest. How many times will she back herself into a spot where she has to make the statement, "We could have handled that better"?
Not if trumps financial troubles become news.
I'm guessing that once she gets back on the campaign trail and the public can see she's fine that her ratings will go back up...and after the debate, Trumps will go back down.
Given how much people claim to despise Trump and Clinton...I'm kinda surprised Johnson isn't doing better in the polls.
Trump's foundation is now under scrutiny, and trump screwed up a visit to flint by having himself being interupted mid-speech by the pastor of the church he was speaking in.
So is Clinton's and the email thing isn't going away. I think people will become desensitized.
Not to mention as soon as Trump claims Florida he nets the required electoral votes to become President-Elect.
:shrug: Game over. :shrug:
Hilliary could probably win without Ohio or Florida if her leads in Virginia, Colorado, New Hampshire and Pennsylvania hold steady.