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New Hampshire - Primary results live

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And linked to the thread in the Gen'l election section!

Here's my thoughts from there:

Chomsky said:
I was hoping to find or start a real-time type thread for the Primary, as a place to hang-out as the returns roll in.

I guess this is the place!

Turnout appears to be very high, higher than Obama's 2008; this would appear to bode well for Bernie & The Donald. I can't call Rubio-Cruz-Kasich, but Kasich really worked the state, and exit interviews seem to show he had a buzz going.

I hope Hillary gets destroyed!

Edit: Or, perhaps the action will be in this thread just started specifically: DB
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Chomsky said:
Subscribed!

And linked to the thread in the Gen'l election section!

Here's my thoughts from there:
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Looked around and missed it- sorry.
 
I decided to see what the news channels were saying and in a rare moment for me checked out FN. They have Megan Kelley on the panel, but though the rest talked about Trump and the republican side they go to her to comment only when discussing the dem candidates. Thought that was funny as hell.

Oh, and very early results from the dem side, Sanders is beating Hillary like a red-headed step child.:mrgreen:
 
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clownboy said:
I decided to see what the news channels were saying and in a rare moment for me checked out FN. They have Megan Kelley on the panel, but though the rest talked about Trump and the republican side they go to her to comment only when discussing the dem candidates. Thought that was funny as hell.

Oh, and very early results from the dem side, Sanders is beating Hillary like a red-headed step child.:mrgreen:
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re: Sanders

Yep, only 2% in, but still.
 
CNN projecting Trump and Sanders.
 
BBC saying trump and Sanders. (At the 2% mark, they reported Sanders was winning 2 votes to 1)
 
Mr Roboto sinking to 5th maybe 6th place ouch.
 
CNN reporting exit polls showing 46% of the GOP feel unhappy or betrayed, and most went to Trump.
 
Go Kasich! Would be great if he actually pulled out a 2nd place finish.
 
Everyone fighting for number 2 and 3 and the title of establishment candidate.
 
Camer☑n;1065543177 said:
Go Kasich! Would be great if he actually pulled out a 2nd place finish.
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Since Paul dropped out he is my preferred Republican so yeah, I hope he does well.
 
Kasich's strength, and Rubio's weakness, are the surprises for me - even though a few DP'ers got him right earlier.

So with Rubio faltering, we'll have no idea who's the establishment guy for the GOP. Or even whom they can coalesce around if they don't want to accept Trump?

Very sticky for the GOP.

Dems just got a simple horse race to the nomination, winner take all.

I can see Kasich as VP, easily; no idea what happens there if Trump prevails though.
 
Bush is beating Rubio!

And a hair's breadth away from Cruz for third.
 
New Hampshire Primary: Live Coverage | FiveThirtyEight

The worst news for Rubio in early returns is that his weakness appears to be geographically widespread: So far he’s cracked fourth place in only one town of any real size, Portsmouth, and just barely.
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Loving it, hoping Christie can top Rubio as well, putting him behind Bush, Cruz, and Christie (and in 6th).
 
It will be interesting to see if this win by Berne gives him some legs. NH is pretty much his ideal state. I normally would predict that he won't win any other states after this beyond New England, but this has been such a weird election cycle so far.
 
It's looking like a massive rejection of the establishment, whoever they are.
 
Nate Silver has some good comments, which just so happen to agree with my take on tonight:

NATE SILVER 8:24 PM
Preliminary thought No. 2: I’m not sure I buy that tonight is an equally poor result for both Democratic and Republican “party elites.” It’s been clear to us for a long time that New Hampshire was an excellent state for Bernie Sanders, between its white and liberal demographics and its proximity to Vermont. The key tests of the breadth of Sanders’s constituency are still to come.

For Republicans, however, New Hampshire is a state that’s supposed to winnow the field. Instead, it’s given us a mess, with four “establishment” candidates all bunched up between 8 percent and 16 percent of the vote as I type this. Although it’s not quite the worst-case scenario for the GOP — Trump’s middling performance in Iowa is evidence that he can be stopped under the right conditions — they’re in a pretty rough spot.
 
Chomsky said:
A CNN commenter claims an informant inside Christie's camp claims if he can't hit or knock on double digits, he'll be announcing he'll be bailing not too long after.
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Yeah, it makes me feel better about Christie that he has that sort of sense.
 
Chomsky said:
Nate Silver has some good comments, which just so happen to agree with my take on tonight:

NATE SILVER 8:24 PM
Preliminary thought No. 2: I’m not sure I buy that tonight is an equally poor result for both Democratic and Republican “party elites.” It’s been clear to us for a long time that New Hampshire was an excellent state for Bernie Sanders, between its white and liberal demographics and its proximity to Vermont. The key tests of the breadth of Sanders’s constituency are still to come.

For Republicans, however, New Hampshire is a state that’s supposed to winnow the field. Instead, it’s given us a mess, with four “establishment” candidates all bunched up between 8 percent and 16 percent of the vote as I type this. Although it’s not quite the worst-case scenario for the GOP — Trump’s middling performance in Iowa is evidence that he can be stopped under the right conditions — they’re in a pretty rough spot.
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This is the problem with Silver, he's very much anti-Trump and it shows when he opines. Iowa was very late in the game going to Trump, it was always going to be Cruz there. And Trump did what historically (for republicans) needs to be done in Iowa - took second. He also did tonight what historically (for republicans) needs to be done in New Hampshire. No modern republican candidate has gone on to the presidency without being first or second in NH.

The emphasis is on the second spot here in NH. Going forward, that will be the establishment candidate. The party will increasingly pressure the downfield to withdraw. They want super Tuesday to be all about Trump vs the republican leadership candidate.
 
clownboy said:
This is the problem with Silver, he's very much anti-Trump and it shows when he opines. Iowa was very late in the game going to Trump, it was always going to be Cruz there. And Trump did what historically (for republicans) needs to be done in Iowa - took second. He also did tonight what historically (for republicans) needs to be done in New Hampshire. No modern republican candidate has gone on to the presidency without being first or second in NH.

The emphasis is on the second spot here in NH. Going forward, that will be the establishment candidate. The party will increasingly pressure the downfield to withdraw. They want super Tuesday to be all about Trump vs the republican leadership candidate.
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Sure would be ironic if Cruz becomes the establishment candidate.
 
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