This was a declaration by Aymal al-Zawahiri, the leader of al-Qaeda, not "some guy with an internet connection." The answer to ISIS is going to be retaking Afghanistan after we leave. Was the phrasing of this part of that effort? Yes (see initial post), however, this has been an effort some time in the making.
Originally Posted by TheNextEra
Crapping our pants? I guess that depends on the level of threat before you start making messes. Are they a significant threat to the homeland? No. Are they likely to be a significant threat? Probably.
KForce is a private Intelligence Firm who puts out a daily OSINT piece on global developments - sort of a STRATFOR-esque group, except some of their content is still free. Their initial analysis:
...Pakistan-South Asia: Al-Qaida leader Ayman al-Zawahiri declared Wednesday in a video message that the global Islamist extremist movement has launched a new off-shoot in the Indian-sub-continent.
In the video, found in online jihadist forums by the SITE terrorism monitoring group, Zawahiri said the new force would fight to revive a Muslim caliphate in Burma, Bangladesh and parts of India.
Comment: Zawahiri is reacting to al-Baghdadi's caliphate in a way that ensures religious tension in a region where mass murders of Muslims are always one minor traffic accident away. For example, Indian Prime Minister Modi's wing of the governing Bharatiya Janata Party has a history of supporting Hindu suppression of Muslims. That wing does not need an excuse to kill Muslims. On the other hand, Muslim hotheads also are prone to kill Hindus with little provocation. Burmese Buddhists seem to have no reservations about committing "ethnic cleansing" against the Rohingya Muslims apparently because they are not Buddhists and not ethnic Burmans.
Zawahiri's declaration is a potential death sentence for many South Asians....
Also worth noting are two items that seem to be being ignored:
1. The Indian Subcontinent includes more than just India, it includes Burma, Bangladesh, and (critically) Pakistan.
2. The declared leadership of this branch aren't exactly shrinking violets or excitable "revolutionaries" hiding out in their moms' basements, but rather seasoned, multi-year veterans of leadership positions in the Jihad.