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Thread: China could defeat US in East Pacific conflict by 2020: Russian analyst

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    China could defeat US in East Pacific conflict by 2020: Russian analyst

    China could soon defeat the United States and its allies in a naval conflict in the East Pacific, says Vassily Kashin, a senior research fellow at the Moscow-based Center for Analysis of Strategies and Technologies.

    In a commentary published on Dec. 27 on the website of the Voice of Russia, the Russian government's international radio broadcasting service, Kashin says it is "highly probable" that by 2020 China could defeat the US in a local conflict in the east part of the Pacific or slow down the transportation of US forces to the region after it completes its current cycle of reforming and rearming the People's Liberation Army.

    "China could be able of reaching its political goals even before the US localizes all the necessary forces for a full-scale counterattack," Kashin said.

    http://www.wantchinatimes.com/news-s...20131230000060


    Well, we could only hope that such events need not ever be stress tested.
    Last edited by Montecresto; 12-30-13 at 02:56 PM.

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    Re: China could defeat US in East Pacific conflict by 2020: Russian analyst

    Quote Originally Posted by Montecresto View Post
    China could soon defeat the United States and its allies in a naval conflict in the East Pacific, says Vassily Kashin, a senior research fellow at the Moscow-based Center for Analysis of Strategies and Technologies.

    In a commentary published on Dec. 27 on the website of the Voice of Russia, the Russian government's international radio broadcasting service, Kashin says it is "highly probable" that by 2020 China could defeat the US in a local conflict in the east part of the Pacific or slow down the transportation of US forces to the region after it completes its current cycle of reforming and rearming the People's Liberation Army.

    "China could be able of reaching its political goals even before the US localizes all the necessary forces for a full-scale counterattack," Kashin said.

    China could defeat US in East Pacific conflict by 2020: Russian analyst


    Well, we could only hope that such events need not ever be stress tested.
    No they couldn't. The article also hedges enormously:

    "Kashin says it is "highly probable" that by 2020 China could defeat the US in a local conflict in the east part of the Pacific or slow down the transportation of US forces to the region..." Not that this is likely either but it is a vast difference.

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    Re: China could defeat US in East Pacific conflict by 2020: Russian analyst

    Quote Originally Posted by Sherman123 View Post
    No they couldn't. The article also hedges enormously:

    "Kashin says it is "highly probable" that by 2020 China could defeat the US in a local conflict in the east part of the Pacific or slow down the transportation of US forces to the region..." Not that this is likely either but it is a vast difference.
    China though is increasingly becoming an issue. Hence the EU should become a country ASAP!
    Quote Originally Posted by poweRob View Post
    Stats come out and always show life getting better. News makes money in making you think its not.
    The Republic of Dardania is the proper name for: http://www.debatepolitics.com/europe...ification.html

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    Re: China could defeat US in East Pacific conflict by 2020: Russian analyst

    Quote Originally Posted by DDD View Post
    China though is increasingly becoming an issue. Hence the EU should become a country ASAP!
    China IS becoming an issue, you think the EU becoming one country could project itself more favorably in the event of a conflict with China?

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    Re: China could defeat US in East Pacific conflict by 2020: Russian analyst

    Quote Originally Posted by Sherman123 View Post
    No they couldn't. The article also hedges enormously:

    "Kashin says it is "highly probable" that by 2020 China could defeat the US in a local conflict in the east part of the Pacific or slow down the transportation of US forces to the region..." Not that this is likely either but it is a vast difference.
    There are many people raising concerns about this, at any rate, I suppose its your opinion that neither China or any other country could defeat the US, ever.

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    Re: China could defeat US in East Pacific conflict by 2020: Russian analyst

    Quote Originally Posted by Montecresto View Post
    There are many people raising concerns about this, at any rate, I suppose its your opinion that neither China or any other country could defeat the US, ever.
    China is becoming a concern but no serious analyst would posit that China is going to be capable of defeating the United States in seven years time. They have the ability to make a conflict in their littoral very difficult but that isn't even really what's being proposed in this scenario.

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    Re: China could defeat US in East Pacific conflict by 2020: Russian analyst

    If China wants to dominate the sea in it's immediate area it obviously could come to be able to do so, unless Japan radically re-arms too.

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    Re: China could defeat US in East Pacific conflict by 2020: Russian analyst

    Quote Originally Posted by joko104 View Post
    If China wants to dominate the sea in it's immediate area it obviously could come to be able to do so, unless Japan radically re-arms too.
    I think that Japan is working somewhat in that direction as well.

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    Re: China could defeat US in East Pacific conflict by 2020: Russian analyst

    Quote Originally Posted by Sherman123 View Post
    China is becoming a concern but no serious analyst would posit that China is going to be capable of defeating the United States in seven years time. They have the ability to make a conflict in their littoral very difficult but that isn't even really what's being proposed in this scenario.
    I would presume that "serious analysts" would be those ones which you agree with?!

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    Re: China could defeat US in East Pacific conflict by 2020: Russian analyst

    Quote Originally Posted by Montecresto View Post
    There are many people raising concerns about this, at any rate, I suppose its your opinion that neither China or any other country could defeat the US, ever.
    Naval battles are about as relevant as the Calvary. We need to cut back on big ships that are sitting ducks.

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