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Thread: GOP In Grave Danger Of Losing House In 2014, PPP Polls Show [W:78]

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    GOP In Grave Danger Of Losing House In 2014, PPP Polls Show [W:78]

    Shutting down the government may end up costing Republicans control of the House of Representatives.

    A series of polls released Sunday show just how damaging the shutdown has been for the GOP. The liberal-leaning Public Policy Polling compiled two dozen surveys, commissioned and paid for by MoveOn.org Political Action, from House districts around the country, taken from Oct. 2 through Oct. 4. Sample sizes were between 600 and 700 voters in each district.

    For Democrats to win a House majority, 17 seats would need to switch to their party's favor. Results show that would be within reach, as Republican incumbents are behind in 17 of the districts analyzed: CA-31, CO-06, FL-02, FL-10, FL-13, IA-03, IA-04, IL-13, KY-06, MI-01, MI-07, MI-11, NY-19, OH-14, PA-07, PA-08, WI-07. In four districts, the incumbent Republican fell behind after respondents were told their representative supported the government shutdown: CA-10, NY-11, NY-23, VA-02. Three districts saw GOP incumbents maintain their hold over their Democratic challengers, even after hearing their elected officials' views on the shutdown, including CA-21, NV-03 and OH-06.
    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/1...tml?ref=topbar

    Perfect

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    re: GOP In Grave Danger Of Losing House In 2014, PPP Polls Show [W:78]

    re-election rate is over 90% historically for the house of reps. Most people would have to vote for a party that they do not actually support if that were to happen.
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    re: GOP In Grave Danger Of Losing House In 2014, PPP Polls Show [W:78]

    Districts are too gerrymandered for that to happen.

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    re: GOP In Grave Danger Of Losing House In 2014, PPP Polls Show [W:78]

    I think it's a little early to start paying attention the polls. A lot could happen before the elections start.
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    re: GOP In Grave Danger Of Losing House In 2014, PPP Polls Show [W:78]

    House polls are the most unreliable, and we're still 13 months out, and most importantly they are testing them against generic Democrat opponents. Generics almost always do better than actual candidates. The GOP is NOT in grave danger of losing the House.

    Why'd they test Scott Riggell in VA-02 anyway? I thought he supported a clean spending bill and was adamantly against default. A couple of the others too, although I'm most sure about Riggell.
    There should be Instant Runoff Voting

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    re: GOP In Grave Danger Of Losing House In 2014, PPP Polls Show [W:78]

    Quote Originally Posted by head of joaquin View Post
    Not only is it a long way to Tipperary, but it's even longer 'til 2014.

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    re: GOP In Grave Danger Of Losing House In 2014, PPP Polls Show [W:78]

    Quote Originally Posted by sbrettt View Post
    I think it's a little early to start paying attention the polls. A lot could happen before the elections start.
    the campaigns haven't even started yet....

    well, that's not quite true, this poll is part of the campaigning...early poisoning of the well.

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    re: GOP In Grave Danger Of Losing House In 2014, PPP Polls Show [W:78]

    Quote Originally Posted by Thrilla View Post
    the campaigns haven't even started yet....

    well, that's not quite true, this poll is part of the campaigning...early poisoning of the well.
    No, it's just useless generic polling. Not everything has a sinister conspiracy behind it.
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    re: GOP In Grave Danger Of Losing House In 2014, PPP Polls Show [W:78]

    This thread is worse than The Sequester Jester

    Stinks of Prog/Obot desperation

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    re: GOP In Grave Danger Of Losing House In 2014, PPP Polls Show [W:78]

    Quote Originally Posted by head of joaquin View Post
    Although this is way too far out for polling and predictions to mean much if anything. Charlie Cook has 9 Democratic seats in his toss up column vs. only 1 Republican seat. Larry Sabato has 4 Democratic seats in his toss up column vs. 2 for the Republicans. I could really get into this and give the lean democratic and lean republicans seats, but they only reinforce the above.

    One thing you must remember when it comes to the house, most people love their own congressman, but they hate the other 434 members. This is why retirements of a congressman is so important, incumbents rarely lose unless there is a sea change election much like 1994, 2006 and 2010. I do not see that happening next year.
    This Reform Party member thinks it is high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first and their political party further down the line. But for way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.

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