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Thread: Assad tells Obama to stop arming rebels or no deal

  1. #281
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    Re: Assad tells Obama to stop arming rebels or no deal

    Quote Originally Posted by ecofarm View Post
    Very high confidence At least 9 out of 10 chance
    The US report says High Confidence. Not Very high Confidence.

  2. #282
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    Re: Assad tells Obama to stop arming rebels or no deal

    Quote Originally Posted by Lord of Planar View Post
    The US report says High Confidence. Not Very high Confidence.
    The US report says "the highest confidence below confirmed". In the climate change working group, that's 9/10. I can't believe you would try to associate the exact words used from two completely different reports from entirely different sources. That's asinine.

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    Re: Assad tells Obama to stop arming rebels or no deal

    Quote Originally Posted by ecofarm View Post
    The US report says "the highest confidence below confirmed". In the climate change working group, that's 9/10. I can't believe you would try to associate the exact words used from two completely different reports from entirely different sources.
    That's what the writer of the report say. Do you always believe the government?

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    Re: Assad tells Obama to stop arming rebels or no deal

    Quote Originally Posted by Lord of Planar View Post
    That's what the writer of the report say. Do you always believe the government?
    You pulled that 20% from nowhere. Just admit it.

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    Re: Assad tells Obama to stop arming rebels or no deal

    The exact percentage doesn't matter. Go back and read my post #273 again. You aren't doing yourself any favors by trying to pin me down to the 80%/20% when may larger point is that the US report DOES NOT CLAIM CERTAINTY!.

    Now please tell us how you "know" the rebels didn't have those weapons. can you also tell me how many $1's, $5's, $10's, $20's and $100's I have in my wallet?

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    Re: Assad tells Obama to stop arming rebels or no deal

    Quote Originally Posted by ecofarm View Post
    You pulled that 20% from nowhere. Just admit it.
    Fine.

    If it will make you stop crying.

    You tell me then, what percentage is "high confidence."

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    Re: Assad tells Obama to stop arming rebels or no deal

    Quote Originally Posted by ecofarm View Post
    That's a climate change working group report.



    That has nothing to do with the report in question.

    Further, it contradicts his numbers.



    If that's where he got his numbers, he's being dishonest about them. The report in question specifies that the confidence is just below "confirmation", thus it is the highest degree of confidence, not 8/10 (the second highest, in the IPCC report).


    Anyone could pull a random report and apply different standards. That's ridiculous.
    Actually it does go along with his numbers

    Very high confidence At least 9 out of 10 chance
    High confidence About 8 out of 10 chance
    Medium confidence About 5 out of 10 chance
    Low confidence About 2 out of 10 chance
    Very low confidence Less than 1 out of 10 chance


    Planar said
    Quote Originally Posted by Lord of Planar View Post
    Very high confidence: At least 9 out of 10 chance
    High confidence: 8 out of 10 chance
    Medium confidence: About 5 out of 10 chance
    Low confidence: 2 out of 10 chance
    Very low confidence: Less than 1 out of 10 chance
    "And in the end, we were all just humans, drunk on the idea that love, only love, could heal our brokenness."

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    Re: Assad tells Obama to stop arming rebels or no deal

    Quote Originally Posted by Mr. Invisible View Post
    Actually it does go along with his numbers

    Very high confidence At least 9 out of 10 chance
    High confidence About 8 out of 10 chance
    Medium confidence About 5 out of 10 chance
    Low confidence About 2 out of 10 chance
    Very low confidence Less than 1 out of 10 chance


    Planar said
    Actually, Eco's point was that my numbers match the ICCCP, and were not the topic of government assessments.

    Ooop... CCCP... IPCC... Understandable mistake, right?

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    Re: Assad tells Obama to stop arming rebels or no deal

    Quote Originally Posted by Lord of Planar View Post
    Actually, Eco's point was that my numbers match the ICCCP, and were not the topic of government assessments.

    Ooop... CCCP... IPCC... Understandable mistake, right?
    Ah. Ok. My bad.
    "And in the end, we were all just humans, drunk on the idea that love, only love, could heal our brokenness."

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    Re: Assad tells Obama to stop arming rebels or no deal

    The moral of today's story...

    We should believe the government would never make false statements to lead the nation into war.

    It is perfectly fine to not question the government's standards of "High Confidence" but demand that forum users go into details about how they got their method of high confidence.

    It's ok to go to war if you're "pretty sure" someone is guilty of doing something. Thank Goodness our justice system operates at a much higher standard.

    We'll never find the answers to where ecofarm's information came from because ecofarm will just deflect with more questions that he thinks other people should answer without answer anything himself.
    3. The chems were withdrawn from an Assad facility, without resistance. The US claims photo evidence of this.
    4. The rockets were prepared, assembled and launched from ~10 different locations within Assad territory, without resistance.
    The U.S. has photo evidence!!! Will John Kerry hold up a vial of yellowcake in front of the U.N.?

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