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Thread: Stephen Colbert's Sister Could Stun Republicans and Win a House Seat.....

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    Re: Stephen Colbert's Sister Could Stun Republicans and Win a House Seat.....

    Quote Originally Posted by notquiteright View Post
    It is interesting that Mark Sanford can be considered a serious candidate for any office after his runaway bribe routine. Some opine it is his name recognition vs the other GOP candidate. If so the result is savory- when the liberals win anything some 'conservatives' mutter about 'low information' voters. They complain the liberals and liberal leaning folks just don't bother doing any research/thinking before voting.

    If this isn't proof that Republicans don't seem to do much thinking before they vote in a solidly GOP district not sure what is. They see the name, pretty sure they have heard of him before, something pretty important... but somehow can't recall what a flaming nut job he is?????
    Hows that work out In those Democrat Districts in Chicago. Of course there is that confusion part that comes into play when Progressives decide they have a thought, huh? Especially when they deem Districts have to have a certain Race as the Representative to hold that District. Names like Jessie Jackson Junior should come to mind as well as his Puffed Up Daddy.

    It appears the Left.....just can't get past the Planters either. Remember now.....Mounds don't have Nuts.

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    Re: Stephen Colbert's Sister Could Stun Republicans and Win a House Seat.....

    Quote Originally Posted by MMC View Post
    Stephen Colbert may have opted not to pursue a serious political campaign, but another Colbert, his sister, is embarking on one of her own. And though it's still too soon to predict the final outcome, early signs indicate that she has a surprisingly good chance of pulling off a huge upset and capturing what was once a solidly Republican seat.



    On Tuesday, a Public Policy Polling survey showed Democrat Elizabeth Colbert Busch in a virtual tie with likely challenger Mark Sanford in the special election to fill South Carolina's vacant House seat. Busch led Sanford 47 percent to 45 percent, just within the poll's 2.9 percent margin of error.

    The poll also found Busch tied, at 43 percent, with Curtis Bostic, her other potential foe for the May special election. Bostic and Sanford will go head-to-head in a Republican primary run-off next week, a contest Sanford is heavily favored to win, despite having left the governor's office in disgrace after his bizarre extramarital affair came to light four years ago.

    That Busch is performing so well may come as a bit of a surprise. The seat in question, representing South Carolina's 1st District, is reliably red. It hasn't been held by a Democrat in more than 30 years, and Tim Scott (R) last November won re-election there with 62 percent of the vote — double what his Democratic challenger received. (In December, South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley (R) appointed Scott to fill a vacant Senate seat, prompting the special election.).....snip~

    Stephen Colbert's sister could stun Republicans and win a House seat - The Week

    So does anybody think Colbert's sister can win this House Seat? Do we have any from SC that is up on this situation?

    Why did the Southern Cons allow this Putz to run for the House Seat? This is what I have brought up in the past about Southern Cons trying to make moves without checking with others. Why would you even Risk this House seat over this Douchebag?

    What did we tells ya? The Rest of us that lean Right autta come down there and smacks ya upside the head.

    Ya'll best not lose that seat. Otherwise we gonna have to make ya an offer ya can'ts refuse.
    Looking at the poll, I imagine she could win if Sanford wins the primary. I don't think she could win against Bostic due to his low name recognition and the leans of the undecideds. Unfortunately, It looks like Sanford is probably going to win the runoff.
    There should be Instant Runoff Voting

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    Re: Stephen Colbert's Sister Could Stun Republicans and Win a House Seat.....

    Quote Originally Posted by Anagram View Post
    Looking at the poll, I imagine she could win if Sanford wins the primary. I don't think she could win against Bostic due to his low name recognition and the leans of the undecideds. Unfortunately, It looks like Sanford is probably going to win the runoff.
    Either way Sanford will have to have others coming out to back him. Wonder if Nicki Haley will? We don't want to lose any more House Seats. I'm just glad this Putz didn't decide to run for the Senate Seat.

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    Re: Stephen Colbert's Sister Could Stun Republicans and Win a House Seat.....

    Quote Originally Posted by Erod View Post
    You voted for Jesse Jackson Jr. and Marion Berry.

    You'd elect a dead horse if it had a "D" by its name.

    So of course she could win.

    Congratulations, you outnumber us. Now get back to work before I fire your ass.
    We got a badass here.


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    Re: Stephen Colbert's Sister Could Stun Republicans and Win a House Seat.....

    Quote Originally Posted by MMC View Post
    Hows that work out In those Democrat Districts in Chicago. Of course there is that confusion part that comes into play when Progressives decide they have a thought, huh? Especially when they deem Districts have to have a certain Race as the Representative to hold that District. Names like Jessie Jackson Junior should come to mind as well as his Puffed Up Daddy. It appears the Left.....just can't get past the Planters either. Remember now.....Mounds don't have Nuts.
    LMAO, your deflection is funny and already done ad naseum. Once more for the so hard right they can't comprehend... what you just posted is what the 'conservatives' whine about all the time yet it appears a very 'conservative' district can not seem to recall just 4 years ago. FYI he was censured for using state funds to go get to on in the Pampas.

    These true red Republicans seem to only see the name and a vague idea they heard it somewhere before...

    I mean seriously, to be the 'right' party for this nation doesn't that mean they have to be a 'better' one???

    Or had 'conservative' dogma gotten so entrenched it thinks it's form of right also means correct no matter the choc-full-o' nuts they put on a ballot...

    But if we want mindless candidates shall we discuss such things as legitimate rape, 47%, 5 chefs on AirForce 1, and pretty much anything Palin says....

    The point isn't the liberals have odd candidates but for all the 'conservatives' like to call anyone who votes for a liberal candidate a low information voter but seems not to able to recognize these low info voters within their own ranks...

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    Re: Stephen Colbert's Sister Could Stun Republicans and Win a House Seat.....

    Quote Originally Posted by notquiteright View Post
    LMAO, your deflection is funny and already done ad naseum. Once more for the so hard right they can't comprehend... what you just posted is what the 'conservatives' whine about all the time yet it appears a very 'conservative' district can not seem to recall just 4 years ago. FYI he was censured for using state funds to go get to on in the Pampas.

    These true red Republicans seem to only see the name and a vague idea they heard it somewhere before...

    I mean seriously, to be the 'right' party for this nation doesn't that mean they have to be a 'better' one???

    Or had 'conservative' dogma gotten so entrenched it thinks it's form of right also means correct no matter the choc-full-o' nuts they put on a ballot...

    But if we want mindless candidates shall we discuss such things as legitimate rape, 47%, 5 chefs on AirForce 1, and pretty much anything Palin says....

    The point isn't the liberals have odd candidates but for all the 'conservatives' like to call anyone who votes for a liberal candidate a low information voter but seems not to able to recognize these low info voters within their own ranks...
    Sorry I just came into the conversation So obviously there is no deflection at all. But I did notice thru all that rhetoric of talking to your self over such useless points while being so far left that even other liberals raise their eyebrows. That you while thru your so called discourse. That you did in fact deflect with what I stated and totally dropped the ball on a district that bases their alleged equality.....upon race. But that's alright.....I expected much of the usual from the Progressive left.

    As in *any centrist* could understand that Alleged Equality issue.

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    Re: Stephen Colbert's Sister Could Stun Republicans and Win a House Seat.....

    Quote Originally Posted by Deuce View Post
    Desperate attempt to put on an air of superiority. It's ok that "his side" is losing, they're still better! He's even pretending to be someone's boss.
    347 people, to be exact.

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    Re: Stephen Colbert's Sister Could Stun Republicans and Win a House Seat.....

    Quote Originally Posted by MMC View Post
    Stephen Colbert may have opted not to pursue a serious political campaign, but another Colbert, his sister, is embarking on one of her own. And though it's still too soon to predict the final outcome, early signs indicate that she has a surprisingly good chance of pulling off a huge upset and capturing what was once a solidly Republican seat.



    On Tuesday, a Public Policy Polling survey showed Democrat Elizabeth Colbert Busch in a virtual tie with likely challenger Mark Sanford in the special election to fill South Carolina's vacant House seat. Busch led Sanford 47 percent to 45 percent, just within the poll's 2.9 percent margin of error.

    The poll also found Busch tied, at 43 percent, with Curtis Bostic, her other potential foe for the May special election. Bostic and Sanford will go head-to-head in a Republican primary run-off next week, a contest Sanford is heavily favored to win, despite having left the governor's office in disgrace after his bizarre extramarital affair came to light four years ago.

    That Busch is performing so well may come as a bit of a surprise. The seat in question, representing South Carolina's 1st District, is reliably red. It hasn't been held by a Democrat in more than 30 years, and Tim Scott (R) last November won re-election there with 62 percent of the vote — double what his Democratic challenger received. (In December, South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley (R) appointed Scott to fill a vacant Senate seat, prompting the special election.).....snip~

    Stephen Colbert's sister could stun Republicans and win a House seat - The Week

    So does anybody think Colbert's sister can win this House Seat? Do we have any from SC that is up on this situation?

    Why did the Southern Cons allow this Putz to run for the House Seat? This is what I have brought up in the past about Southern Cons trying to make moves without checking with others. Why would you even Risk this House seat over this Douchebag?

    What did we tells ya? The Rest of us that lean Right autta come down there and smacks ya upside the head.

    Ya'll best not lose that seat. Otherwise we gonna have to make ya an offer ya can'ts refuse.
    She will be crushed.
    "It's always reassuring to find you've made the right enemies." -- William J. Donovan

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    Re: Stephen Colbert's Sister Could Stun Republicans and Win a House Seat.....

    The GOP could end up losing more than that one SC seat ~

    Republicans worry they’ll lose the House to Dems if they botch fiscal talks


    "There’s growing angst among Republicans that the party’s House majority could be at risk in 2014 if the deep GOP divisions that emerged during the recent “fiscal cliff” negotiations persist in looming negotiations over a slew of budgetary issues.

    Even as Republican officials maintain the GOP majority is safe, several lawmakers and longtime activists warn of far-reaching political ramifications if voters perceive Republicans as botching consequential talks on the debt ceiling, sequestration and a possible government shutdown.

    “Majorities are elected to do things, and if they become dysfunctional, the American people will change what the majority is,” Rep. Tom Cole (R-Okla.), a House deputy majority whip and a former National Republican Congressional Committee chairman, told The Hill.

    Concerns on the right stem from a public perception that House Republicans were to blame — because of poor leadership strategy and rank-and-file dissent — for bringing the country to the edge of the fiscal cliff late last month.

    Speaker John Boehner (R-Ohio) faced an unruly caucus during the negotiations to avoid the mandatory tax increases and spending cuts that were set to take effect at the start of the year.

    Boehner failed to win the support of the GOP conference for his own “Plan B” version of a deal, forcing him to pull his legislation from the House floor before a vote. That move left Vice President Biden and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) to craft an eleventh-hour agreement to prevent most tax increases and forestall major spending cuts.

    Only 19 percent of Americans approved of the job Republican leaders did on the issue, while 48 percent said they approved of Obama’s handling of the negotiations, according to a Pew Research Center poll.

    A poll by conservative-leaning Rasmussen — taken Dec. 30, at the height of the fiscal-cliff drama — showed Democrats with an 11-point lead over Republicans in the generic congressional ballot. Though the gap has narrowed this month, Rasmussen found deep dissatisfaction among GOP voters with the party’s congressional leadership: Sixty-three percent of Republican voters think it is out of touch with the base.

    “Historically, Speaker Boehner and his leadership team make very good strategic decisions, but clearly their political calculus has been way off over the past several months,” said one Republican lobbyist. “If they continue to receive bad advice, Republicans could actually lose the House.

    Read more: Republicans worry they
    Follow us: @thehill on Twitter | TheHill on Facebook
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    Re: Stephen Colbert's Sister Could Stun Republicans and Win a House Seat.....

    Quote Originally Posted by Catawba View Post
    The GOP could end up losing more than that one SC seat ~

    Republicans worry they’ll lose the House to Dems if they botch fiscal talks


    "There’s growing angst among Republicans that the party’s House majority could be at risk in 2014 if the deep GOP divisions that emerged during the recent “fiscal cliff” negotiations persist in looming negotiations over a slew of budgetary issues.

    Even as Republican officials maintain the GOP majority is safe, several lawmakers and longtime activists warn of far-reaching political ramifications if voters perceive Republicans as botching consequential talks on the debt ceiling, sequestration and a possible government shutdown.

    “Majorities are elected to do things, and if they become dysfunctional, the American people will change what the majority is,” Rep. Tom Cole (R-Okla.), a House deputy majority whip and a former National Republican Congressional Committee chairman, told The Hill.

    Concerns on the right stem from a public perception that House Republicans were to blame — because of poor leadership strategy and rank-and-file dissent — for bringing the country to the edge of the fiscal cliff late last month.

    Speaker John Boehner (R-Ohio) faced an unruly caucus during the negotiations to avoid the mandatory tax increases and spending cuts that were set to take effect at the start of the year.

    Boehner failed to win the support of the GOP conference for his own “Plan B” version of a deal, forcing him to pull his legislation from the House floor before a vote. That move left Vice President Biden and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) to craft an eleventh-hour agreement to prevent most tax increases and forestall major spending cuts.

    Only 19 percent of Americans approved of the job Republican leaders did on the issue, while 48 percent said they approved of Obama’s handling of the negotiations, according to a Pew Research Center poll.

    A poll by conservative-leaning Rasmussen — taken Dec. 30, at the height of the fiscal-cliff drama — showed Democrats with an 11-point lead over Republicans in the generic congressional ballot. Though the gap has narrowed this month, Rasmussen found deep dissatisfaction among GOP voters with the party’s congressional leadership: Sixty-three percent of Republican voters think it is out of touch with the base.

    “Historically, Speaker Boehner and his leadership team make very good strategic decisions, but clearly their political calculus has been way off over the past several months,” said one Republican lobbyist. “If they continue to receive bad advice, Republicans could actually lose the House.

    Read more: Republicans worry they
    Follow us: @thehill on Twitter | TheHill on Facebook

    Really.....(yawn and stretches) maybe a few seats. But I highly doubt the majority!!!!!

    Midterm Forecast: Democrats May Gain House Seats in 2014 but Majority Probably Out of Reach......

    The 2014 midterm elections are a long way off but one thing is already fairly clear: Democrats face an uphill battle in trying to win back control of the House of Representatives. Thanks in part to their control of redistricting in a large number of key states, Republicans easily managed to hold on to their House majority in 2012. Despite losing the national House vote by well over a million votes, the GOP suffered a net loss of only eight seats in the House. So Republicans will go into the 2014 midterm election with 234 seats to 201 seats for the Democrats. This means that Democrats would need to pick up at least 17 seats to regain control of the House.

    In order to win back control of the House in 2014, Democrats would have to overcome one of the best known regularities in American politics — the tendency of the president’s party to lose House seats in midterm elections. Since World War II, that’s what has happened in 15 out of 17 midterm elections, including eight out of nine midterms under Republican presidents and seven out of eight midterms under Democratic presidents. In the nine midterms under Republican presidents, the GOP has lost an average of almost 21 House seats. Democrats have done even worse in the eight midterms under Democratic presidents, losing an average of almost 33 seats, including a postwar record 63 seats in the 2010 midterm election.

    The midterm forecasting model predicts the change in Republican House seats based on three factors — the number of seats held by Republicans in the current House, the margin by which the Republican candidate won or lost the previous presidential election and the Republican margin in the generic ballot in early September.

    The number of Republican seats in the current House is a measure of exposure to risk — therefore, the more seats Republicans hold going into a midterm election, the more seats they should lose or the fewer seats they should gain. The margin by which the Republican candidate won or lost the previous presidential election is a measure of the coattail advantage or disadvantage that Republican House candidates had in that election — therefore, the larger the Republican presidential margin, the more seats Republicans should lose or the fewer seats they should gain in the subsequent midterm election. Finally, the generic ballot is a measure of the mood of the electorate going into the midterm election — therefore, the larger the Republican margin on the generic ballot, the more seats Republicans should gain or the fewer seats they should lose in the midterm election.*

    Table 1: Conditional forecasts of Republican seat change in 2014 House elections



    The results displayed in Table 1 indicate that a Democratic margin of four points or more on the generic ballot would predict a net gain in House seats for Democrats. The most recent Pollster.com average shows a four-point Democratic lead on the generic ballot. That would predict a Democratic gain of one House seat in the midterm election. However, Democrats would need to pick up 17 seats in 2014 in order to regain control of the House and based on the midterm forecasting model, Democrats would need a margin of 13 points on the generic ballot in order to gain 17 House seats.....snip~

    Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » Midterm Forecast: Democrats May Gain House Seats in 2014 but Majority Probably Out of Reach

    Seems all aren't so worried as the Writer from the hill Says, like the Center For Politics.....huh?

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