"For what is Evil but Good-tortured by its own hunger and thirst?"
- Khalil Gibran
1. The Quaddafi regime barred political parties (no effective means for dissent existed)
2. The regime barred labor strikes
3. Traditional tribal leaders, who previously commanded significant influence, were largely rendered impotent in the state's affairs
4. Social change lagged with Libya remaining among the most "conservative" Arab states.
Those faultlines likely made Libya ripe for unrest. Amplifying things is a high poverty rate (nearly one-third of the population). The success of popular movements in Tunisia and Egypt almost certainly acted as the trigger in an environment that was increasingly conducive to demands for political change, especially if the success of those movements hinted that there was some prospect that Tripoli's authoritarian regime might also collapse.
However, it remains to be seen what the outcome will be. First, the current regime is brutal and has already carried out massacres. Second, even if the regime is toppled, there is no assurance that the tribal rivalries won't reassert themselves creating new challenges for rebuilding stability.
Khadaffi's son said in a speech today that Libya would return to local government, tribal and municipal governments; the constitution will be rewritten and a small, less powerful national government would handle the nation's international affairs, including the sale of it's only resource, oil.
Of course this was hidden inside 30 minutes of rambling warnings about the horrors that would result if the protesters continued with violence staged by outside instigators, drunks and western money, which was "paying" people to protest. It seems that Libya would be divided into a dozen baby countries, all fighting over the oil, all starving because the oil couldn't be sold, western business would leave Libya, the people will all starve, then Europe and America will come after the oil and colonize Libya all over again!
Thing is, he may be partially right. Libya IS a tribal nation, and we've seen how well those do under a forced "democratic government."
Last edited by DiAnna; 02-20-11 at 11:32 PM.
If they refuse help, then they're obviously on their own. However, if they are willing to accept whatever support we can give them, we should give it to them.
While they are winning their liberty, we should be in the process of sculpting a support force to move in and help them get things started; a few combat troops for security, but mostly support units with the necessary equipment and skills to rebuild infrastructure, establish telephone and electricity grids, get the water running, make sure that everyone gets fed, etc.
I mean just check this out.
South African Police Service Special Task Force - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
.In 2004 it was reported that the SAPS STF may have lost nearly 60 percent of its active members to private companies recruiting security personnel to work in Iraq
If you're interested check this stuff out, these guys are the real ****ing deal man.