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Thread: Iran's Revolutionary Guard pledges to hold fire

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    Iran's Revolutionary Guard pledges to hold fire

    But in the letter, which is signed by senior officers commanding Guards units in Tehran, Qom, Isfahan and Tabriz, they urge Major Gen Jafari to "use your authority over the Basij to order them to leave their truncheons at home next time."

    It goes on to state unequivocally, "We promise our people that we will not shoot nor beat our brothers who are seeking to express legitimate protest against the policies and conduct of their leader."

    Iran's Revolutionary Guard pledges to hold fire - Telegraph
    The only thing that keeps dictatorships in power in the face of popular revolt is the military's willingness to crush the rebellion. It sounds like the Revolutionary Guard may have just lost its nerve, having reportedly pledged not to fire on peaceful protesters. Could this be the death knell of the Islamic Republic?
    Last edited by Kandahar; 02-18-11 at 05:02 PM.
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    Re: Iran's Revolutionary Guard pledges to hold fire

    While this is a good sign, I wouldn't say that it is "the death knell" of Iran. People in power will do whatever they have to to keep the status quo. If the Iranian Guard won't shoot protesters, then they'll find someone who will.
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    Re: Iran's Revolutionary Guard pledges to hold fire

    The mullahs aren't about to watch happen in Iran what's happened in other countries. These poor Iranians are going to have to be willing to die by the thousands to overthrow Ahmedinejad and the Islamist state.

    Then again, no one knows what happens in these situations better than Iranians. They watched their revolution get hijacked once by Islamists in the 70s. Can they manage to do it again?

    Again, Ahmedinejad is willing to kill a million people if he has to.

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    Re: Iran's Revolutionary Guard pledges to hold fire

    It will take a lot more than the Revolutionary Guard standing down to have any type of monumental change in Iran. You have the Supreme Leader, the President, the Majjils, the Guardian Council, and the Expediency Council that are still in control of all the important decisions.

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    Re: Iran's Revolutionary Guard pledges to hold fire

    At best, for the sake of the Islamic Revolution they will push Ahmadinejad out of office, which will preserve the system while providing enough of a win to placate protesters.
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    Re: Iran's Revolutionary Guard pledges to hold fire

    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    The only thing that keeps dictatorships in power in the face of popular revolt is the military's willingness to crush the rebellion. It sounds like the Revolutionary Guard may have just lost its nerve, having reportedly pledged not to fire on peaceful protesters. Could this be the death knell of the Islamic Republic?
    Perhaps its just lip service for PR.
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    Re: Iran's Revolutionary Guard pledges to hold fire

    Quote Originally Posted by Demon of Light View Post
    At best, for the sake of the Islamic Revolution they will push Ahmadinejad out of office, which will preserve the system while providing enough of a win to placate protesters.
    I don't know. Unlike most countries over there, Iranians are generally well educated and pretty westernized in their thinking. It's going to depend on organization and resolve. It will cost a lot of lives.

    I just wish we could help.

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    Re: Iran's Revolutionary Guard pledges to hold fire

    When the time comes they will do what they are told.
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    Re: Iran's Revolutionary Guard pledges to hold fire

    Quote Originally Posted by Erod View Post
    I don't know. Unlike most countries over there, Iranians are generally well educated and pretty westernized in their thinking. It's going to depend on organization and resolve. It will cost a lot of lives.

    I just wish we could help.
    We could send some guns to them.

    Meanwhile, enjoy this picture of the Mullah's henchmen getting the living crap kicked out of them.

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    Re: Iran's Revolutionary Guard pledges to hold fire

    Quote Originally Posted by Erod View Post
    The mullahs aren't about to watch happen in Iran what's happened in other countries. These poor Iranians are going to have to be willing to die by the thousands to overthrow Ahmedinejad and the Islamist state.

    Then again, no one knows what happens in these situations better than Iranians. They watched their revolution get hijacked once by Islamists in the 70s. Can they manage to do it again?

    Again, Ahmedinejad is willing to kill a million people if he has to.
    He might be willing to...but unless he's going to pick up a gun himself and personally kill a million people, it sounds like he might not have anyone to carry out that order. In any case, it's Ali Khameini - not Ahmedinejad - who is the truly intractable one here. In the past couple years, Ahmedinejad has actually shown some pragmatism unlike Khameinei.
    Last edited by Kandahar; 02-18-11 at 07:41 PM.
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