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Thread: Iran's Revolutionary Guard pledges to hold fire

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    Re: Iran's Revolutionary Guard pledges to hold fire

    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    I don't really see how the specific IRGC commanders who made this promise would gain any PR, or why they would need it in the first place...It makes more sense to take them at their word and assume that they truly don't want to fire on the protesters.

    From the regime's perspective, this development should be terrifying. If people believe that they can protest without consequence, they are more likely to do so and the regime is likely to fall.
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    Re: Iran's Revolutionary Guard pledges to hold fire

    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    The only thing that keeps dictatorships in power in the face of popular revolt is the military's willingness to crush the rebellion. It sounds like the Revolutionary Guard may have just lost its nerve, having reportedly pledged not to fire on peaceful protesters. Could this be the death knell of the Islamic Republic?
    I'm thinking that Iran's Revolutionary Guard knows how to count. When you are faced with over whelming numbers it's time choose the side that is not only voicing legitimate concerns but the side that is most likely to be fair in the end.

    If the ruling Cult in Iran falls I can see a future for Iran and possibly a more moderate Nation emerge from it.

    This would be a blow to the Cult Islam world wide and show that the people want a better treatment of the people with less subjugation of women and more.

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    Re: Iran's Revolutionary Guard pledges to hold fire

    Not that this regime would have gone down in history as a good one, but by firing on peaceful protesters in their sleep, this regime has solidified it's place as one of the most evil ever. I am not interested in any of their promises anymore. The US and UN should cut off any relations with that regime.

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    Re: Iran's Revolutionary Guard pledges to hold fire

    Quote Originally Posted by Mr. Invisible View Post
    While this is a good sign, I wouldn't say that it is "the death knell" of Iran. People in power will do whatever they have to to keep the status quo. If the Iranian Guard won't shoot protesters, then they'll find someone who will.
    That's not the way the military works. What happens when you refuse to follow orders is more pressure gets applied on down the chain of command and people get prosecuted until the rest follow orders. In the case of Iran individual sanctions are much worse.

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    Re: Iran's Revolutionary Guard pledges to hold fire

    Quote Originally Posted by whysoserious View Post
    Not that this regime would have gone down in history as a good one, but by firing on peaceful protesters in their sleep, this regime has solidified it's place as one of the most evil ever. I am not interested in any of their promises anymore. The US and UN should cut off any relations with that regime.
    The U.S. has no relations with Iran.

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    Re: Iran's Revolutionary Guard pledges to hold fire

    The Iranian regime at least has a level of popular support, mostly rural and poorer people of Iran, who tend to have been more religious. As noted during the last year counter protests.

    Iran, Saudi Arabia, Algeria will be among the last of the regions states to be overthrown. Saudia arabia due to foreign mercs. Algeria due to the military being tied directlty to the government and enriched from it

    Iran from religous support, oil and gas money countering popular support

    Mubarak had no support behind him, people were not willing to die or kill for him. The Shah the same issue. Iran has religion behind it, and money, Algeria has fear of Islamists behind it, and money. Saudi Arabia has money
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    Re: Iran's Revolutionary Guard pledges to hold fire


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