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Mubarak to Speak; Army Takes New Role

Catz Part Deux

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http://www.nytimes.com/2011/02/11/world/middleeast/11egypt.html?_r=2

The military declared on state television that it would take measures “to maintain the homeland and the achievements and the aspirations of the great people of Egypt” and meet the demands of the protesters who have insisted on ending Mr. Mubarak’s 30-year rule.

Several government officials said Mr. Mubarak is expected to announce his own resignation and pass authority to his hand-picked vice president, Omar Suleiman. But if the military does assume formal control of the government, it remains uncertain if it would give Mr. Suleiman, a former military officer, a leading role.

New potential scenario on the ground in Egypt.
 
Since 1952 the political history of Egypt has been one military strong man after another. King Farouk was deposed by Gamal Abdul Nasser. Then Anwar Sadat. Then Hosni Mubarak. Now the military steps in again. More of the same is very possible.
 
Things can get ugly there at the drop of a hat. They can also gradually slide into ugliness, as happened in Iran.

This is not good no matter how you slice it.
 
Mubarak is about to address the nation. There are contradictory reports on what he's about to say. Is he stepping down? Is he going to tough it out? Is he going to hand over power to thr army until new elections take place in the autumn?

Live now on BBC World
 
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also unconfirmed reports that the saudi king is dead
supposedly had a heart attack after a heated telephone discussion with Obama
the king did not want mubarak to be embarrassed

meanwhile the iranian opposition leader is under house arrest as those who oppose the "revolutionary" government are coordinating a mass parade on monday

looks like the middle east is a bit more shaken than usual
 
He's not stepping down until September but pledges free and transparent elections then. He's talking about a phased handover of power and the setting up of a number of commissions to manage that handover, composed of judges and legal experts. He promises immediate justice for the 'martyrs' lost during the unrest and promises legal action against those who have committed violence against the protesters. He's also promising amendments to the constitution in order to facilitate a more accountable, free and transparent electoral process.

Will this be enough? Do the Egyptians believe him? Trust him? It seems like a speech a little short on concrete and immediate action. Lots of waffle aimed at looking like statesmanship. I really don't think this will be sufficient to silence Tahrir Square.
 
Since 1952 the political history of Egypt has been one military strong man after another. King Farouk was deposed by Gamal Abdul Nasser. Then Anwar Sadat. Then Hosni Mubarak. Now the military steps in again. More of the same is very possible.

Sadat was assissinated by the MB.
 
If folks aren't at least partially invested in commodities they are looking to wade throught deep doo doo.
 
Whatever happens in Egypt it is unlikely to be in the interests in the American people except in some hard to imagine distant future.

I doubt it will be in the interest of the Egyptian people, either. More than likely, it's going to be in the interest of the MB, or the army.
 
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