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2010 Midterm Results Discussion

No GOP drama: Unanimous vote for John Boehner - Jake Sherman - POLITICO.com

say what you will about republicans, at least we're mature

and COMPETENT

contrast our management of our affairs with the chaos in nancy's cracked caucus

On Monday evening, Reps.-elect Scott, Cory Gardner of Colorado, Adam Kinzinger of Illinois and Martha Roby of Alabama, the four freshman members of the GOP’s transition team, went to Boehner, telling him of their request for another leadership slot. Boehner huddled with Cantor and incoming whip Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.). Then, Tuesday afternoon during a meeting at the Capitol Hill Club, Boehner and Cantor told the freshmen their request would be granted.

“We’re empowering freshmen,” Cantor told POLITICO after emerging from the Capitol Hill Club meeting. “The freshman class is the reason why we’re in the majority; it is historic in terms of its size; the class and the number of freshmen that are here [have] some really great individuals. It’s certainly the most diverse freshman class that I’ve seen since I’ve been here: more women, more minorities."

Republican leaders see the moves as a way to not only reward their new majority-makers but show their openness to changing the old hierarchy. It’s also a nod to the anti-establishment nature of the class: Giving the newly elected more say will give them ownership of the House Republican Conference’s decisions.

Republicans are also adding a third spot to the steering committee for the freshmen, which gives them a greater say on committee chairmanships and assignments. Adding a third spot for freshmen on the steering committee also gives them a greater chance of landing spots on top committees, such as Appropriations, Energy and Commerce, and Ways and Means.

Both moves are sure to dispel any signs of tension between the new blood and the old guard.
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GOP rookies flex their muscles - Marin Cogan and Jake Sherman - POLITICO.com

smooth

professional

what a refreshing contrast

fyi: the freshmen insta-stars to be appointed to the new house majority LEADERSHIP COMMITTEE are tim scott, african american from south carolina, and krist noem, the palin of the dakotas

and on STEERING (which, again, goes far to determine powerful committee assignments)---jaime herrerra from WA3 (one of the 4 most important house contests in the nation, brian baird's open seat), jon runyan (the former eagle right tackle who beat john adler in camden, NJ), alan nunnelee in MS (who ousted travis childers) and todd rokita from indiana

smooth

professional

party on, progressives

pelosi's quite a prize!

we'll be talking about her, about it, pretty much nonstop for 2 years

congrats!
 
Senate Democrats — including typically mild-mannered Bill Nelson of Florida — lit into President Barack Obama during an unusually tense air-clearing caucus session on Thursday, senators and staffers told POLITICO.

Nelson told colleagues Obama’s unpopularity has become a serious liability for Democrats in his state and blamed the president for creating a toxic political environment for Democrats nationwide, according to two Democrats familiar with his remarks.

“It was a raucous caucus,” said one Democratic senator, who spoke on condition of anonymity because closed-door sessions are not supposed to be discussed with outsiders.

In interviews after the marathon three-hour meeting, several senators and senior aides told POLITICO that Nelson was just one of several senators to express anger at White House missteps — and air deep concerns about their own political fates if Obama and the Democratic Party leadership can’t turn things around by 2012.

Added one veteran senator: “It was the most frank exchange of views I’ve ever seen.”
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Senate Democrats vent anger with Barack Obama - Glenn Thrush and Manu Raju - POLITICO.com

up to a dozen dem senators are in real danger

and they're BLAMING

the congressional caucus has cracked, labor is livid, the professional left and journo listers have lost respect, the international community treats him like rodney dangerfield

it is what it is, not a drop of spin

party on, progressives, be proud
 
Prof -senate---there are THIRTEEN dem incumbents (tester, nelson, nelson, conrad, webb, casey, mccaskill, stabenow, kohl, cantwell, sherrod brown, bingaman, manchin) who, if the election were held today, would have to be considered in at least some danger; vs only ONE at risk republican, scott brown from chappaquiddick


Ooohhh I see a couple on there that I would be willing to actively campaign against. Hope we have good conservative to run against all of them.
 
Obama's Democrats in disarray over expiring tax cuts | Reuters

"how the hell should we know when we will figure all this out," asks a "senior [senate] democrat aide"

"this is the democratic party"

"no one is on the same page," it's a "potential train wreck"

leadership only a lame duck could believe in

meanwhile, tick tick

in 40 days income taxes EXPLODE on middle earners by about $4000

another day, another quack

STILL not embarrassed?

what'll it take?
 
no spin, wynn:

the last time the democratic party, modern invention of old hickory andy jackson, had so few members in the united states house of representatives was 1948

congrats, nancy
 
The Prof said:
no spin, wynn:

the last time the democratic party, modern invention of old hickory andy jackson, had so few members in the united states house of representatives was 1948

congrats, nancy
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Here is what liberals want to ignore, check the employment box and put in whatever dates you want and you will see employment in this country by month. What you will further see is that the employment today is over 4 million LESS than it was when Obama took office and if you check the unemployment box plus discouraged workers box you will see that there are over 16 million not paying much in Federal Income taxes because they aren't earning much in income because they are out of a job. These are the results the majority in this country are seeing and feeling thus why Democrats suffered historic losses in the Nov. 2 elections

Employment, Hours, and Earnings from the Current Employment Statistics survey (National)
 
quinnipiac today: 43% of americans say obama deserves reelection, 49% opine he doesn't

Obama's 2012 re-election prospects uncertain: poll | Reuters

only 39% of men, 34% of whites, 35% of independents, 38% of more mature americans over age 35...

gallup today: obama's generic job approval is 42, a point above his all time low last summer

Poll: Tea Party support grows; USA divided - USATODAY.com

on his handling of the economy, the overwhelming concern of our times, he's reached a new nadir, 35% approval

also:

1. thirteen dem senators in play in 2012, realistically only one republican

2. republican domination of redistricting, a generic advantage of about 20 seats

3. the expectation of a dozen or two dem retirements, creating plum openings, easy pickings, like brian baird's WA3, bart gordon's TN8, john tanner's TN6, marion berry's ARK1, vic snyder's ARK2, david obey's WI7, brad ellsworth's IN8, allan mollohan's WV1, admiral sestak's PA7, bart stupak's MI1, eric massa's NY29...

4. a net gain of 17 red electoral votes for the presidential, courtesy of the 2010 census

5. gop control of political machinery, governorships, congressional districts, assemblies, in key battlegrounders---FL, PA, OH, MI, WI, MN, IN, VA, NC, NH, MO, IA, AZ...

6. nancy pelosi and harry reid---the difficulty of RECRUITING candidates

worry
 
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Lowest ever: Obama job approval sinks to 39%, as even Democrats' support melts away | Top of the Ticket | Los Angeles Times

Obama's job approval rating as calculated by the Zogby Poll has now sunk to 39%, a new low for his 22-month presidency that began with so much hope and excitement and poll numbers up around 70. As recently as Sept. 20, his job approval was 49%.

A whopping 60% now disapprove of his job, up from 51% disapproval Sept. 20.

Obama now trails in hypothetical 2012 matchups against Republicans Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich and the next Bush, Jeb.

And Obama has even fallen into a statistical tie with none other than Sarah Palin, the former Alaska governor.
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support among youth is down to 42

he's lost 6 points amongst our more mature dems in one week, now at 72%

more than a quarter of dems disapprove

and what is there to turn it around?

the economy, his party's punt on INCOME TAXES, his rodney dangerfield moment in seoul, this phony taliban negotiator (the peter sellers moment), these tawdry tsa instrusions, his quacking lame duck, his ostrich approach to dadt, his 2014 drop dead date in afghanistan, the 600 billion dollars of quantitative easing, the crucifixion of charlie rangel, the triumph of nancy pelosi, this mad provocation from kim mentally ill, or his son?

it's surprising 7 in 10 dems stick with him, they must have sold their self respect...

for what?
 
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dan maffei conceded today, NY25

in the last week, solomon ortiz in south TX and melissa bean in IL8, affluent jewish northwest suburbs of chicago, gave up

that makes SIXTY THREE republican pickups, most seats to switch sides since the year after the great roosevelt recession of 1937

there are 3 more districts still being counted---jim costa in the southern central valley of california, stockton modesto, merced, fresno, almost down to bakersfield

my home district, CA11, jerry mcnerny, east bay suburbs and delta, is also still in dispute, but expect both CA seats to go blue

the third unsettled seat is tim bishop's NY1, eastern long island, suffolk county, including george costanza's estate in the hamptons

yesterday, the incumbent dem bishop pulled ahead of challenger altschuler by 15 votes

the republican has led narrowly by about 400 since the day after tsunami tuesday

there are still 5000 absentees from brookhaven to be booked

altschuler outballoted bishop in brookhaven

Tim Bishop pulls ahead by 15 votes - Alex Isenstadt - POLITICO.com

fyi
 
The Prof said:
dan maffei conceded today, NY25

in the last week, solomon ortiz in south TX and melissa bean in IL8, affluent jewish northwest suburbs of chicago, gave up

that makes SIXTY THREE republican pickups, most seats to switch sides since the year after the great roosevelt recession of 1937

there are 3 more districts still being counted---jim costa in the southern central valley of california, stockton modesto, merced, fresno, almost down to bakersfield

my home district, CA11, jerry mcnerny, east bay suburbs and delta, is also still in dispute, but expect both CA seats to go blue

the third unsettled seat is tim bishop's NY1, eastern long island, suffolk county, including george costanza's estate in the hamptons

yesterday, the incumbent dem bishop pulled ahead of challenger altschuler by 15 votes

the republican has led narrowly by about 400 since the day after tsunami tuesday

there are still 5000 absentees from brookhaven to be booked

altschuler outballoted bishop in brookhaven

Tim Bishop pulls ahead by 15 votes - Alex Isenstadt - POLITICO.com

fyi
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An absolute historic election Nov. 2, one that Obama supporters understandedly want to ignore but cannot. The Obama approval ratings continue to tank.
 
The Prof said:
Staggering Election Day losses are not the Democratic Party's final indignity this year.

At least 13 state lawmakers in five states have defected to Republican ranks since the Nov. 2 election, adding to already huge GOP gains in state legislatures. And that number could grow as next year's legislative sessions draw near.

The defections underscore dissatisfaction with the Democratic Party - particularly in the South - and will give Republicans a stronger hand in everything from pushing a conservative fiscal and social agenda to redrawing political maps.
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Dem State Lawmakers Defecting To GOP Post-election - CBS News

4 in alabama came over, giving my side a shiny new SUPER MAJORITY

a dem in louisiana switched sides, granting the gop OWNERSHIP of the house

6 in georgia

1 in maine, 1 in north dakota

state rep alan powell in georgia, who turned from blue to red, called tsunami tuesday, "an effective end, at least for the foreseeable future, to the two-party system in state government"

"in most cases, those who've jumped ship said the democratic party abandoned them, not the other way around," observes cbs

an elections expert with the national conference of state legislatures opined, "you will probably see the wave continue with even more democrats moving over as the impact of the election settles in"

my team picked up a whopping 690 seats nov 2, the largest shift since 1966

we control outright (both houses and gub) TWENTY ONE states

ie, REDISTRICTING

the ny senate hangs on a recount

surprised?

don't be

and thank you, keep up the good work
 
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it's starting

Jeff Bingaman undecided on 2012 Senate run - Darren Samuelsohn - POLITICO.com

if bingaman's bothered in albequerque how do you think combat boots webb is worrying in the commonwealth?

the nelsons, bill and ben, in florida and nebraska, crib for the kickback?

tester in wyoming, budget chair kent conrad in dakota?

casey in pennsylvania, kohl in wisconsin, stabenow in michigan, brown in ohio...

party on, progressives

we're preparing
 
concerning the 2012 senatorials, where dems have 12 to 14 genuinely endangered vs only scott brown on my side:

quality knuckle draggers are declaring their candidature at breakneck speed

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/12/05/AR2010120504279.html

post grad politicos appreciate the powerful part played in congressionals by RECRUITMENT

that is, specifically, with nancy and harry and barry at the head of the party STILL in power, it is going to be very difficult to get a kennedy or clinton to cast a line

RECRUITMENT---a huge part of the 2012 landscape

and an even bigger problem for the party of pelosi

party on, progressives, seeya at the polls
 
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The Prof said:
concerning the 2012 senatorials, where dems have 12 to 14 genuinely endangered vs only scott brown on my side:

quality knuckle draggers are declaring their candidature at breakneck speed

GOP's 2012 Senate hopefuls race to the starting line

post grad politicos appreciate the powerful part played in congressionals by RECRUITMENT

that is, specifically, with nancy and harry and barry at the head of the party STILL in power, it is going to be very difficult to get a kennedy or clinton to cast a line

RECRUITMENT---a huge part of the 2012 landscape

and an even bigger problem for the party of pelosi

party on, progressives, seeya at the polls
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ok, make your call now since you are so focused on 2012; tell us who will lose their seat
 
justabubba said:
ok, make your call now since you are so focused on 2012; tell us who will lose their seat
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Its rather silly to predict that because so many things can happen but the way OHio is going I think uber-liberal Sherrod Brown is going to be considered one of the more vulnerable senators. He beat RINO Mike Dewine who had pissed of Liberals by being a GOPer and pissed off the GOP by being a RINO in 2006 so anyone was going to beat him

I suspect there will be a far more formidable candidate in 06
 
well, if you really wanna know who's most likely to go down in 12, then...

umm...

READ THE LINK!

LOL!
 
The Prof said:
well, if you really wanna know who's most likely to go down in 12, then...

umm...

READ THE LINK!

LOL!
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i didn't ask shira toeplitz' opinion ... you were the one opening a thread about 2010 results to now include your projection of 2012 results. so what will they be?
 
The Prof said:
really bad for the dems
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I think we gathered that much - I believe justabubba is asking for specific projections, more specifically your projections.
 
looking at 2012:

did y'all know that in the most bellwether battlegrounds in the nation---PA, OH, MI, IL, WI, FL and VA---republicans picked up TWENTY SIX house seats on tsunami tuesday

we lost ZERO

(we stole another SIX in new york)

are you familiar with the american electoral map?

in the 7 kingmaker commonwealths named, republicans seized brand new control of the PA house, OH house, MI house and WI house and senate

we already controlled the legislatures in florida and virginia

my side owns BOTH state houses AND the gub in---PA, OH, MI, WI, FL and VA

people like me have never quite been in this position before

a very difficult landscape for the party STILL in power

did you see obama's SURRENDER of TAX CUTS FOR THE RICH this afternoon?

how do you think that's gonna play, as we proceed?

how do YOU feel about the great CAVE today, for example, a rhetorical question?

seeya at the polls, pals
 
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roger simon's drug tested professional leftists and journolisters are looking incisively at the 2011-12 gub races and how they're shaping up

The top 10 governors' races - David Catanese - POLITICO.com

of the 10 most contested states, politico finds 7 held today by dems

including all the top 6

states held today by reds to make the journo's list are indiana, north dakota and mississippi

ie, good luck, progressives, in dakota and the state named this week by gallup as the most conservative in the nation

dems endangered, according to politico, are---west virginia, north carolina, montana, kentucky, missouri, washington and new hampshire

that's an awful lot of red turf, dontcha think

and remember, the set up in the senate for 2012 could hardly be more disadvantageous for the party still in power

Tougher road ahead for Senate Dems - Shira Toeplitz - POLITICO.com

fyi
 
The Prof said:
roger simon's drug tested professional leftists and journolisters are looking incisively at the 2011-12 gub races and how they're shaping up

The top 10 governors' races - David Catanese - POLITICO.com

of the 10 most contested states, politico finds 7 held today by dems

including all the top 6

states held today by reds to make the journo's list are indiana, north dakota and mississippi

ie, good luck, progressives, in dakota and the state named this week by gallup as the most conservative in the nation

dems endangered, according to politico, are---west virginia, north carolina, montana, kentucky, missouri, washington and new hampshire

that's an awful lot of red turf, dontcha think

and remember, the set up in the senate for 2012 could hardly be more disadvantageous for the party still in power

Tougher road ahead for Senate Dems - Shira Toeplitz - POLITICO.com

fyi
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Rather ridiculous to build up your hopes on something that changes like the weather and stock markets... Get a hobby, get laid...

ricksfolly
 
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