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2010 Midterm Results Discussion

soccerboy22 said:
Those people were just throwing out numbers. Right now 55-60 seats looks like what it will end up being.
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Yeah, pretty much as expected. If the senate goes the way it looks to be, we'll be having a split congress. That'll end well.

Whovian said:
According to Pelosi...
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Source?

Of the drugs she's on, I mean.

(or the source of that quote. whichever you've got.)
 
Whovian said:
How the hell is Onorato ahead 67% to 33% when he was behind in the polls?
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Don't put much stock into the early numbers, when only a few percent of precincts have reported their results. If he's still ahead 67-33 when a majority of precincts have reported, THEN it's time to ask that question. ;)
 
It is interesting when looking at Nate Silver's predictions and stuff. While the Republicans are winning in decent number of districts, a good number of those races are pretty close. We are talking 5-6%.
 
Deuce said:
Yeah, pretty much as expected. If the senate goes the way it looks to be, we'll be having a split congress. That'll end well.
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Depends on your point of political view. Every President in the last 50-60 years, who's party lost both the House and the Senate at mid-terms, has gone on to win re-election for a 2nd term. No idea how just losing 1 would work out.
 
Kandahar said:
Don't put much stock into the early numbers, when only a few percent of precincts have reported their results. If he's still ahead 67-33 when a majority of precincts have reported, THEN it's time to ask that question. ;)
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yeah, it's already evened out.
 
The Democrats finally win a toss-up race. Indiana's 2nd reelects Joe Donnelly.
 
Whovian said:
Depends on your point of political view. Every President in the last 50-60 years, who's party lost both the House and the Senate at mid-terms, has gone on to win re-election for a 2nd term. No idea how just losing 1 would work out.
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Well when Congress and the White House is split it forces policy more or less to the center, where most Americans fall. If I were to guess having one House shift power and the Senate being pretty much an even split we will see a similar thing. Policy will be shifted more center.
 
soccerboy22 said:
It is interesting when looking at Nate Silver's predictions and stuff. While the Republicans are winning in decent number of districts, a good number of those races are pretty close. We are talking 5-6%.
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Lots of races are won with no more than 5-6% margin. That's nothing unusual. It's modest, but not that close. 10% is a very solid win.
 
Updated house and Gov, and just now Blunt is being called in Missouri.
 
Whovian said:
Depends on your point of political view. Every President in the last 50-60 years, who's party lost both the House and the Senate at mid-terms, has gone on to win re-election for a 2nd term. No idea how just losing 1 would work out.
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I think he meant how it would work out from a policy perspective, rather than a 2012 election perspective. In terms of policy, it will definitely make it harder for the Democrats to pass their agenda...but that's OK, because since health care and financial reform already passed, their ambitious was probably going to be much less ambitious for the next two years anyway.

It is my hope that the Democrats can work with the Republican majority in the House. There are some issues where Obama has shown willingness to do that: free trade and education reform, for example. I think it remains to be seen if the Republicans are willing to work with Obama though.

In terms of the 2012 election, I would agree with you that it's difficult to predict what (if any) effect this election will have on it. My guess is not much. If the economy has recovered by 2012, Obama will probably get reelected. If it hasn't, he probably won't.
 
Still waiting on Sconnie, Johnson'll probably win. I'll only be upset if he cans the high speed rail project.
 
Kandahar said:
People are still voting out West. There's no reason for her to admit the obvious until all the polls close. It could demoralize Democrats in Western states if she did.
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Polls will be closing in Iowa in ... about eight minutes.
 
Updated house again.

By the way, this is a pain to keep up with, I should have thought of that before starting it.
 
Finally, some good news for the Democrats: Joe Sestak is doing better than expected in the Pennsylvania Senate race, and Ted Strickland is doing better than expected in the Ohio Governor race. They should both probably still be considered underdogs to win their races, but the fact that these races are even close should be somewhat concerning to Republicans.
 
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Redress said:
Updated house again.

By the way, this is a pain to keep up with, I should have thought of that before starting it.
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It maybe, but it is awesome that you are doing this. It is good that we can have an actual election talk without the partisan talk.
 
Kandahar said:
Some good news for the Democrats. Joe Sestak is doing better than expected in the Pennsylvania Senate race, and Ted Strickland is doing better than expected in the Ohio Governor race. They should both probably still be considered underdogs to win their races, but the fact that these races are even close should be somewhat concerning to Republicans.
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All it shows is... its not what some conservatives described as "Obamageddon".

Certainly not a "rejection" of Socialist and Communist policies of the democrats (which they aren't anyway, but don't try and tell them that)
 
Four minutes till Nevada and 6 other states.
 
Kandahar said:
Finally, some good news for the Democrats: Joe Sestak is doing better than expected in the Pennsylvania Senate race, and Ted Strickland is doing better than expected in the Ohio Governor race. They should both probably still be considered underdogs to win their races, but the fact that these races are even close should be somewhat concerning to Republicans.
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Sestak was way up the last I checked but that might be because the big urban black areas report faster
 
Kandahar said:
CNN loves showing off their high-tech toys when they're reporting exit polls and election results. This is painful to watch. *cringe*
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Ooh! Do they have that hologram thing again?

Also:

Ballot measures from Missouri:

Amendment 3, banning real estate taxes, is winning 85/15
Prop A, allowing for a vote on the repeal of an earnings tax, is winning 74/26
Prop B, banning puppy mills, is losing 40/60
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:facepalm:
 
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