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2010 Midterm Results Discussion

Sestak was way up the last I checked but that might be because the big urban black areas report faster
as of 10:00PM EST

Senate:
5630 of 9241 Precincts Reporting
Party Candidate V% Votes
D Joe Sestak 53% 1,064,747
R Pat Toomey 47% 948,250

Governor:
5655 of 9241 Precincts Reporting

Party Candidate V% Votes
R Tom Corbett 51% 1,035,622
D Dan Onorato 49% 993,017
 
McCain(R) Arizona
Grassley(R) Iowa
Nevada too early to call
 
Sestak was way up the last I checked but that might be because the big urban black areas report faster

As of now, he's up 53-47 with about half of the electorate reporting. He could definitely still lose, but that's a pretty big lead at this stage in the race IMO. Even if he loses I think he'll outperform his expectations. FiveThirtyEight gave Toomey a 97% chance of winning (before the results).
 
Blue Dog Dem Baron HIll (Indiana) gets put in the Kennel
 
House numbers updated
 
FiveThirtyEight is predicting that Republicans will pick up about 60 House seats (slightly better than expected). But the Democrats appear to be set to lose about 7 seats in the Senate...which means THEY are exceeding expectations there.
 
I thought Rand Paul gave a really classy acceptance speech. Although I disagree with him on practically everything, he is one of the few Tea Partiers who I'm not disappointed to see get elected to the Senate. He obviously is a lot smarter than Sharron Angle or Ken Buck. And Rand Paul's opponent ran such a nasty campaign that it was really hard for me to root for him.

Jim DeMint is talking to Wolf Blitzer right now, and he comes across as a huge douchebag. Yes, his opponent was a joke, but does he really need to say that "he's concerned" that his opponent got 29% of the vote? What an ass.

Even if they mostly agree politically, the personality contrast between DeMint and Paul couldn't be greater.
 
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All it shows is... its not what some conservatives described as "Obamageddon".

Certainly not a "rejection" of Socialist and Communist policies of the democrats (which they aren't anyway, but don't try and tell them that)

Just curious here, did you think similarly in 2006 when I believe it was time magazine was suggesting that Republicans were an endangered species and that the election was a referendum on the War and was a repudiation of the Republicans way of doing things?

Cause this is arguably a larger result than what happened in 2006 or at least on par with it, and unlike 2006 the Republicans were picking up seats with solid conservatives (some of which knocked out moderate conservatives in primaries) where as many of the 2006 gains were from "blue dog" democrats that were moderates who ran conservative on some issues during the campaign? I think it'd be hard to say that people stating that back in 2006 was legitimate but suggesting this wasn't a repudiation of at least a certain degree of Obama's agenda.
 
Wow, is Feingold really going to lose? Or did the Madison/Milwaukee votes not come in yet?

I don't agree with many of Feingold's principles, but I can respect that he always seemed to be dedicated to what he believed and not a leaf in the wind politician.
 
Exit polling in Nevada,for what this is worth:

Men Angle 50 Reid 44
Women Reid 51 Angle 43
 
I'm back...

House:
R - 129
D - 74

Pick-ups:
R - 15
D - 1
 
I thought Rand Paul gave a really classy acceptance speech. Although I disagree with him on practically everything, he is one of the few Tea Partiers who I'm not disappointed to see get elected to the Senate. He obviously is a lot smarter than Sharron Angle or Ken Buck. And Rand Paul's opponent ran such a nasty campaign that it was really hard for me to root for him.

Jim DeMint is talking to Wolf Blitzer right now, and he comes across as a huge douchebag. Yes, his opponent was a joke, but does he really need to say that "he's concerned" that his opponent got 29% of the vote? What an ass.

Even if they mostly agree politically, the personality contrast between these DeMint and Paul couldn't be greater.

Kandahar, have you heard Alvin Green talk, or heard about his background, the charges against him, and all the other oddities in his campaign?

A Black SC House Democrat went out to talk to Alvin Green shortly after he won the primary, thinking to establish a rapport with the new candidate. Afterward, he was said to have looked shell-shocked and to have said something like "Damn, that man's crazy."
 
as of 10:00PM EST

Senate:
5630 of 9241 Precincts Reporting
Party Candidate V% Votes
D Joe Sestak 53% 1,064,747
R Pat Toomey 47% 948,250

Governor:
5655 of 9241 Precincts Reporting

Party Candidate V% Votes
R Tom Corbett 51% 1,035,622
D Dan Onorato 49% 993,017

Senate:
6430 of 9241 Precincts Reporting
Party Candidate V% Votes
D Joe Sestak 51% 1,218,358
R Pat Toomey 49% 1,155,274

Governor:
6430 of 9241 Precincts Reporting
Party Candidate V% Votes
R Tom Corbett 53% 1,254,128
D Dan Onorato 47% 1,127,469

FOX just came very close to calling the Senate race for Sestack.
 
Wow, is Feingold really going to lose? Or did the Madison/Milwaukee votes not come in yet?

I don't agree with many of Feingold's principles, but I can respect that he always seemed to be dedicated to what he believed and not a leaf in the wind politician.

I would be very surprised if Feingold won. He was down by several points in the polls, which almost certainly means defeat, barring some major systemic error in the polls.
 
Wow, is Feingold really going to lose? Or did the Madison/Milwaukee votes not come in yet?

I don't agree with many of Feingold's principles, but I can respect that he always seemed to be dedicated to what he believed and not a leaf in the wind politician.

Less than 20 % of districts in there, so could change alot.
 
Kandahar, have you heard Alvin Green talk, or heard about his background, the charges against him, and all the other oddities in his campaign?

A Black SC House Democrat went out to talk to Alvin Green shortly after he won the primary, thinking to establish a rapport with the new candidate. Afterward, he was said to have looked shell-shocked and to have said something like "Damn, that man's crazy."

Ya, I've heard him talk. Of course he was an idiot and had no business holding down a job at a retail store, much less the US Senate. But the election is over now, and DeMint won big as expected. Mocking his defeated opponent is hardly classy.
 
Pretty clear at this point:

Repubs take House, by a moderate margin.
Dems will probably keep Senate, but the margin will probably be narrow.

Nothing really unexpected about this.

Going to bed. G'nite! :mrgreen:
 
Ugh, the Republicans are winning more House seats where the Democrats were favored. They appear set for massive gains, on the order of 60-65 seats. This is less than their best-case scenario, but far better than their average-case scenario.
 
Ugh, the Republicans are winning more House seats where the Democrats were favored. They appear set for massive gains, on the order of 60-65 seats. This is less than their best-case scenario, but far better than their average-case scenario.

Hey dude, the republicans totally ****ed up big time on the senate.
 
Exit polling in Nevada,for what this is worth:

Men Angle 50 Reid 44
Women Reid 51 Angle 43

Rather surprising seeing as how Angle is like everyone's nagging, partially senile aunt. :)

Although men do tend to lean R with women leaning D.
 
Ugh, the Republicans are winning more House seats where the Democrats were favored. They appear set for massive gains, on the order of 60-65 seats. This is less than their best-case scenario, but far better than their average-case scenario.

It's not enough to override a veto, so the worst than can happen is not much the next two years.
 
Hey dude, the republicans totally ****ed up big time on the senate.

That's true. Although the Republicans are outperforming in the House, the Democrats are outperforming in the Senate. Joe Manchin won WV by much more than he should have. Michael Bennett appears to be doing better-than-expected in CO as well. And it looks like Joe Sestak might actually pull out a victory in PA, which would be a pleasant surprise for me...PA wasn't really supposed to even be close.
 
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