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Thread: 2010 Midterm Results Discussion

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    Re: 2010 Midterm Results Discussion

    today:

    The April jobs numbers offered tentative hope for President Obama’s reelection bid, but a potentially more telling indicator will come later this month -- the latest state-by-state unemployment data.

    [I]n several key 2012 battleground states, where economic progress will likely be critical to Obama's reelection hopes, the unemployment rate remains above the national average.

    Unemployment in Florida, Nevada, Colorado and North Carolina is above the 9 percent mark, with Nevada claiming the highest unemployment rate in the nation at 13.2 percent.

    Florida's rate is the nation's third highest, coming in at 11 percent. North Carolina's unemployment rate stands at 9.7 percent with Colorado at 9.2 percent.

    Florida is considered a must win for Obama if he wants a second term, while North Carolina is among the states the president would like to keep in the purple column.

    And there are several battleground states where the unemployment rate is near the national average.

    In Ohio, for example, the unemployment rate is 8.7 percent.

    A slew of new polls released this past week showed a bump for Obama’s approval rating, ranging between six and 10 percentage points, but his numbers on the economy remained in the tank. Even as Obama's overall approval jumped 11 points in the latest CBS/New York Times poll, the numbers on his handling of the economy hit an all-time low at 55 percent disapproval.
    High unemployment in battleground states could hamper Obama's campaign - The Hill's Ballot Box

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    Re: 2010 Midterm Results Discussion

    due to redistricting, veterans like kucinich, russ carnahan, jim matheson and joe donnelly are suddenly homeless

    New maps have pols plotting Plan B - Alex Isenstadt - POLITICO.com

    those are some pretty big names in the house, all 4

    carnahan for instance is from the family that pretty much defines dem politics in the show me state

    insiders estimate that red gerrymandering after the 2010 census and the blowout election (10 gubs and the most state reps and assemblies in history) is worth up to 20 congressional incumbents

    fyi

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    Re: 2010 Midterm Results Discussion

    This could get interesting
    Catawa is my favorite bleeding heart liberal.
    1/27/12

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    Re: 2010 Midterm Results Discussion

    no no no, it's fine, he's good. he's going to start pushing for Amnesty, that'll make him real popular and he'll pull it out!

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    Re: 2010 Midterm Results Discussion

    add john barrow to the list of homeless

    and sanford bishop, also in georgia, is squeezed

    POLITICO Huddle - POLITICO.com

    extrapolate this trend across the country and it's certainly a net plus of more than a dozen seats for reds

    and don't forget the reapportionment advantage---texas gains 4 seats, florida 2, while arizona and nevada and georgia and south carolina and utah each gain 1

    simultaneously, new york and ohio lose 2, while states losing one seat are illinois, iowa, massachusetts, new jersey, pennsylvania, iowa, louisiana, michigan and missouri

    who's drawing these new lines, who's gonna be squeezed out

    ask russ carnahan

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    Re: 2010 Midterm Results Discussion

    bombshell, baby!

    today: kohl calls it quits

    RealClearPolitics - Wisconsin Sen. Herb Kohl to Retire

    that's wisconsin, wonks

    what ever did happen to madison?

    it kinda faded when rachel maddow discovered what was going on in massachusetts

    and detroit

    the dark blue managers unilaterally ripping off all those rights down there

    cuomo took out a lotta wind

    anyway, kohl makes four biggies---conrad (the budget chair) in dakota, an almost sure red pickup

    and jim combat boots webb, a helluva man, in virginia (where my side picked up three house seats in 10 and the gub-ship in 09 by eighteen)

    who's next, stiffneck nelson in the cornhusker outback?

    ms mccaskill and her plane?

    republicans need 4 to steal upstairs

    dems are gonna have a lot of trouble in montana, north dakota and nebraska, maybe the 3 reddest states in the nation

    then there's virginia, florida (my side took 4 house seats and rubio won a three way by twenty), missouri (rubberstamp robin was routed, her brother russ is being redistricted, measure c against the mandate passed with 71%), michigan (reds repainted both houses, snyder stole lansing, martial law was declared on unions and bing and bobb in detroit are resorting to its use)...

    how bout west virginia, where joe manchin puts bullets in cap and trade and votes against dream and dadt?

    ohio---republicans took FIVE house seats, stole the senate, own both houses and the gub

    are you aware of the crucial role played by gubs in presidentials?

    pennsylvania---FIVE in the house, a senator, a gub, the state senate, having already owned lower chamber

    and why did jeff bingaman announce his non-return in new mexico?

    no spin, lynn---democrats are gonna have a lot of trouble holding the senate next year

    and 2014 (according to charlie cook, best in the biz according to THEM) lays out an even more lugubrious landscape for libs

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    Re: 2010 Midterm Results Discussion

    the big 3, by THEIR lights, are cook, sabato and rothenberg

    sabato today:

    This opens the way for one of the best match-ups of 2012, if it can be arranged: Russ Feingold (D) versus Paul Ryan (R) — a close, competitive, policy-oriented contest. The race might well be another one that will go the way of the presidential election in that state.

    Democrats already had their hands full in the Senate. Now, it’s more true, by one seat. North Dakota is already gone, and Democratic seats in Montana, Nebraska, Missouri and Virginia are endangered (with lots of others being watched closely). Republicans must worry mainly about Massachusetts and Nevada, although others may come into the equation before fall 2012.

    For Democrats, this is Trouble with a capital “T."
    Kohl retirement endanger Dem Senate majority? - The Arena | POLITICO.COM

    spin, anyone?

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    Re: 2010 Midterm Results Discussion

    today:

    By 2 to 1, Americans say the country is pretty seriously on the wrong track, and nine in 10 continue to rate the economy in negative terms. Nearly six in 10 say the economy has not started to recover, regardless of what official statistics may say, and most of those who say it has improved rate the recovery as weak.

    Overall, about six in 10 of those surveyed give Obama negative marks on the economy and the deficit. Significantly, nearly half strongly disapprove of his performance in these two crucial areas. Nearly two-thirds of political independents disapprove of the president’s handling of the economy, including — for the first time — a slim majority who do so strongly.
    Obama loses bin Laden bounce; Romney on the move among GOP contenders - The Washington Post

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    Re: 2010 Midterm Results Discussion

    today, msnbc's chuck todd (a district by district guy, what i like to call a political almanac) interviews two of the big three, rothenberg and cook

    RealClearPolitics - Video - Harry Reid To Weiner: "Call Somebody Else"

    rothenberg---the economy, the fundamentals, an albatross around the president's neck

    cook---"economic stimulus is totally discredited," he got one bite at the apple and it wasn't a good bite, it didn't work, no bang for the buck

    are rothenberg and cook spinning?

    i can tell you, cuz i listen very close to guys like sabato and trende and cost and the pair above:

    what's really troubling to the cooks and rothenbergs is they're worried IT'S TOO LATE

    there's not enough time for the economy to climb out before campaign spring and summer

    we'll see

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    Re: 2010 Midterm Results Discussion

    Moderator's Warning:
    2010 Midterm Results DiscussionGet on topic. This is about the midterms, not the 2012 presidential election.
    We became a great nation not because we are a nation of cynics. We became a great nation because we are a nation of believers - Lindsey Graham

    Quote Originally Posted by Fiddytree View Post
    Uh oh Megyn...your vagina witchcraft is about ready to be exposed.

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