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Thread: 2010 Midterm Results Discussion

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    Re: 2010 Midterm Results Discussion

    Quote Originally Posted by Whovian View Post
    and an evening-out there has been in PA....

    1455 of 9241 Precincts Reporting
    Senate:
    D Joe Sestak 59% 280,599
    R Pat Toomey 41% 194,535


    1417 of 9241 Precincts Reporting
    Governor:
    D Dan Onorato 56% 260,770
    R Tom Corbett 44% 202,641
    Senate:
    3247 of 9241 Precincts Reporting

    Party Candidate V% Votes
    D Joe Sestak 55% 611,499
    R Pat Toomey 45% 498,970


    Governor:
    3172 of 9241 Precincts Reporting

    Party Candidate V% Votes
    D Dan Onorato 51% 557,167
    R Tom Corbett 49% 531,402

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    Re: 2010 Midterm Results Discussion

    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    FiveThirtyEight categorized all of the competitive House races into three groups: Group A were the "path of least resistance," the seats that Republicans had to win in order to gain control of the House. Group B were additional seats where Republicans were favored, although they were close enough that they could go either way. And Group C were the seats where the Democrats were slightly favored, which could be evidence of a larger-than-expected Republican tidal wave if they went red.

    So far, the Republicans have won several seats in Group C...and haven't lost any in Groups A or B.
    I guess it depends on your definition of "expected." Some people were talking 100+.
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    Re: 2010 Midterm Results Discussion

    Quote Originally Posted by CriticalThought View Post
    Just a reminder that the average midterm turnover is 28 seats in the House and 4 seats in the Senate. Determining how well Republicans did will be by how much more than that they get.
    Nope, determining how well the GOP does if they solve problems in the next two years. I have not heard any solutions, just finger pointing. Hope it ain't more of the same since 94, broken promises from both the GOP and Dems.
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    Re: 2010 Midterm Results Discussion

    Quote Originally Posted by Deuce View Post
    I guess it depends on your definition of "expected." Some people were talking 100+.
    I don't know of many legitimate sources reporting 100. Most respected pollsters and such were in the 40-60 range I think.

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    Re: 2010 Midterm Results Discussion

    Quote Originally Posted by Deuce View Post
    I guess it depends on your definition of "expected." Some people were talking 100+.
    Those people were just throwing out numbers. Right now 55-60 seats looks like what it will end up being.

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    Re: 2010 Midterm Results Discussion

    Quote Originally Posted by Whovian View Post
    Senate:
    3247 of 9241 Precincts Reporting

    Party Candidate V% Votes
    D Joe Sestak 55% 611,499
    R Pat Toomey 45% 498,970


    Governor:
    3172 of 9241 Precincts Reporting

    Party Candidate V% Votes
    D Dan Onorato 51% 557,167
    R Tom Corbett 49% 531,402
    Damn, this is moving fast...

    Senate:
    4029 of 9241 Precincts Reporting

    Party Candidate V% Votes
    D Joe Sestak 54% 747,364
    R Pat Toomey 46% 624,149

    Governor:
    4020 of 9241 Precincts Reporting

    Party Candidate V% Votes
    D Dan Onorato 51% 693,506
    R Tom Corbett 49% 671,025

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    Re: 2010 Midterm Results Discussion

    Mind you, a week ago the "realistic" estimates seemed to be in the 40 range and MAYBE challenging for the senate as a very outside shot. Things got ramped up heavily in this past week, but I wouldn't call not meeting those ramped up expectation "disappointing". I would call not meeting the expectations from a two weeks or so back by most people would be however.

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    Re: 2010 Midterm Results Discussion

    Quote Originally Posted by Deuce View Post
    I guess it depends on your definition of "expected." Some people were talking 100+.
    No serious observers predicted that. Most estimates were in the 50-60 seat range. And it looks like it's still going to be on the higher end of that range, or maybe slightly above it.
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    Re: 2010 Midterm Results Discussion

    Quote Originally Posted by Whovian View Post
    How the hell is Onorato ahead 67% to 33% when he was behind in the polls?
    Maybe, they borrowed voting machines from Ohio that were used in 2004??????
    It is better to die on your feet than to live on your knees.
    Emiliano Zapata


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    Re: 2010 Midterm Results Discussion

    Quote Originally Posted by Zyphlin View Post
    I don't know of many legitimate sources reporting 100. Most respected pollsters and such were in the 40-60 range I think.
    According to Pelosi...
    "The early returns show so far that a number of Democrats are coming out and we are on pace to maintain the majority in the House of Representatives," said Pelosi.

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