Del. Senate candidate O'Donnell: 'I'm not a witch'

Linda Tripp said:

"I understand that there has been a great deal of speculation about just who I am and how I got here. Well, the answer is simple. I'm you. I'm just like you."

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The Prof said:

hmm, why should anyone consult CHARLIE COOK when he or she can simply absorb the unlinked opinion of a dp forums member?

LOL!

"While the generic ballot test is an imperfect measure of how any individual race might turn out, it is widely accepted as a relatively good political weather vane -- telling you which way (and how strongly) the wind is blowing nationally."

The Fix - Republicans regain generic ballot edge

hello

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The Gallup analysis said “any situation in which the Democrats have less than about 47% of the actual two-party national vote for Congress” would translate to a GOP majority in the next Congress.

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What’s driving Democratic optimism is improving polling numbers — both in individual races and in generic indicators — ramped-up fundraising and their field efforts.

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After a short-lived post Labor Day surge of Democratic voter support, Republicans now hold a 5-point lead on the generic congressional ballot. In addition, Republicans hold advantages over the Democrats on vote intensity (+13), and on interest in the election (+15), both indicators of higher voter participation and running over double the advantage seen by Republican voters in the 1994 election. The net effect of this Republican voter intensity means than any numbers in the top-line data only gets that much better for Republicans in a projected vote model. For example, on the generic ballot where Republicans lead by 5 points, on the vote model that lead moves to 10 points (51 percent-41 percent).

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This poll, like most others in recent weeks, showed why Democrats should be nervous heading into the final five weeks of the campaign. Republicans held a 4-point edge in the generic ballot; the two parties were tied in the last poll, which was conducted 10 days earlier. Republicans, especially older voters, remain more energized than Democrats, which, at this point, is perhaps the biggest cause for concern among the majority.

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Bolger cited generic ballot data he’s just conducted showing the Democrats faring even worse in the Midwest than in the South. His numbers show Democrats getting 35 percent in that key region, compared to 39 percent in the South, which is a Republican stronghold.

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Still, after a pair of national polls last week showed Republicans leading the generic ballot by nine and 13 points among likely voters, it’s conceivable that some safe-seeming Democrats could be caught off guard in a wave on Election Day. Among political handicappers, there is a new consensus that Republicans could far overshoot a simple House majority, and even some of the GOP’s more cautious political hands have become convinced that November will be a devastating event for the majority party.

Handicapper Charlie Cook didn’t just predict that Republicans would win “at least 40 seats.” He also raised the possibility that their gains could end up being “substantially more.” Stu Rothenberg allowed that “substantially larger GOP gains in the 45-55 seat range are quite possible.”

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Presidents with approval ratings below 50% at midterm time see their party suffer substantial losses in its congressional membership, regardless of how much explaining and blaming the president attempts in the campaign leading up to what becomes, in effect, a referendum on the president.

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1069 said:

Well said! :applaud
They're completely alienating the moderate majority with this nonsense; I don't know what they're hoping to accomplish, actually. It looks like political suicide to me.

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jambalaya said:

We are not concerned about the moderate majority because they actually are not a majority. If the so-called moderate majority is less conservative and committed than the Republicans currently in Congress or the ones in Congress under Bush what good are they? Political suicide is what the Republicans committed to become a minority in the first place. And what did they do: Ceased being conservative. I think you are engaging in wishful thinking. The moderate majority has no power or influence. Many moderates have been pushed over the line to conservative activists because of Obama and moderate behavior by current Republican leaders.

Why do Democrats and Libs fear attractive female conservative candidates so much? I mean they just go insane. Maybe because they don't fit the feminist model.

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Catz Part Deux said:

Ockham's Razor: Your girl is a moron.

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jambalaya said:

We are not concerned about the moderate majority because they actually are not a majority. If the so-called moderate majority is less conservative and committed than the Republicans currently in Congress or the ones in Congress under Bush what good are they? Political suicide is what the Republicans committed to become a minority in the first place. And what did they do: Ceased being conservative. I think you are engaging in wishful thinking. The moderate majority has no power or influence. Many moderates have been pushed over the line to conservative activists because of Obama and moderate behavior by current Republican leaders.

Why do Democrats and Libs fear attractive female conservative candidates so much? I mean they just go insane. Maybe because they don't fit the feminist model.

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danarhea said:

She cast a spell on Republicans too. At this time, she is 13 points down in the polls. Stick a fork in her. She is done. On the other hand, Mike Castle was a sure win.

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Kandahar said:

Castle was pretty much a standard-issue Republican, not a RINO. Granted he was no Jim DeMint, but you can hardly expect him to be since he's running in Delaware. He was also certainly not an Olympia Snowe. If he looks like a RINO, it's only because the comparison is O'Donnell.

I'm not going to pile on all of O'Donnell's missteps, except to say that I'm positively giddy she was nominated. It's not often that a political party turns a guaranteed victory into a guaranteed defeat, for no reason other than ideological purity...especially when the electable candidate wasn't even all THAT ideologically unpure.

If Republicans will settle for nothing less than a Senate full of Jim DeMints, then the only Republicans that will be elected are from states where people like Jim DeMint are popular. And that's simply not enough to form anything close to a majority. I wish the Senate was more liberal, but I'm a pragmatist. For example, I would never suggest that a Russ Feingold-like candidate mount a primary challenge against Ben Nelson, because I recognize that Ben Nelson is about the most liberal politician that could be elected from Nebraska. Republicans would do well to learn the same lesson.

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TurtleDude said:

The lady sure has cast a spell on the moonbat left

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Barbbtx said:

Castle seemed more like a liberal to me. He was for cap and tax. nuff said about him.

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TurtleDude said:

as compared to the most powerful female politician currently?

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TurtleDude said:

we are getting tired of people who do what they think will win them elections rather than being consistent and sticking to principles.

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and the only reason why people call anti tax advocates "extreme" is because the dems have gone so far left. Barry Goldwater or Reagan would still be mainstream in the GOP, JFk and HHH would not be welcome in the dem party later folks

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At least 38 House Democrats have now come out publicly in favor of at least a short-term extension of current income tax rates for couples earning more than $250,000 and individuals over the $200,000 threshhold — bucking calls from Obama and Pelosi to let taxes increase on wealthier Americans.

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Forty-seven House Democrats broke with Democratic leaders Tuesday to call for an extension of current capital gains and dividends tax rates for the wealthy.

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TurtleDude said:

as compared to the most powerful female politician currently?

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hazlnut said:

everyone loves a walking-talking train wreck... Just like Palin, you wonder how far she can push the 'stupid' envelope.

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Catz Part Deux said:

As compared to normal human intelligence.

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Hoplite said:

So you're getting tired of Republicans in general?

Sorry, couldnt resist. You're in a system that THRIVES on pandering and you're complaining about it? If you're tired of getting wet, dont stand in the rain.

We call anti-tax people extreme because I dont really see a successful way to fund a government that we can live with that doesnt have anything to do with taxation. Any and every successful civilization and empire from the dawn of civilization to now has operated with the principle of taxation and I dont see any viable alternatives presented by any of the anti-tax people.

The entire movement are like broken records; they repeat "Lower taxes, less government" over and over but dont really seem to have any solid plans except take issues one-by-one. A reactionary movement is not noteworthy; anyone can be reactionary on their own.


As for O'Donnell, I find her interesting in the same way I find the drunk guy who just fell down three flights of stairs interesting; they provide a source of entertainment. Schadenfreude if you will. I dont think the witch comment made her un-electable, but it certainly didnt help her case any. If she was smart, she'd have dismissed it as a slight bout of verbal diarrhea with no real meaning and moved on. Instead, she took the rookie move and is dwelling on it, trying to explain it and rationalize it. Dumb move for any political figure.

The voting masses do NOT respond to logic, people are swayed more by emotion than logic. You can spend hours building a perfectly logical argument about something and have it smashed to pieces by someone wielding the baseball bat of an appeal to emotion.

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