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Thread: Hurricane Earl

  1. #41
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    Re: Hurricane Earl

    Quote Originally Posted by donsutherland1 View Post
    Most of the computer guidance keeps the heavy rains to the east of New York City (consensus guidance is < 0.50" rainfall at NYC), though a small shift in the track could still make a difference. Boston looks wetter, but the heaviest rains are likely on the Cape and Nantucket. Hopefully, NYC will get more rain than what is modeled. It has been a very dry summer and any extra rainfall would be welcome.
    I remember watching a special saying worst case for NYC is a direct hit tracking through Manhattan island. The surge alone would be a horrendous killer but the special also mentioned a "wind tunnel effect" because of the large number of high rises along the route. Fingers crossed for all in the path though.
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  2. #42
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    Re: Hurricane Earl

    Has anyone addressed the fact that if Earl stays out over the water and spares the lower east coast (it seems it will as it veering north and east as I type this), it is more likely to be stronger if it makes a direct hit on Cape Cod and New England, and of course farther north Nova Scotia?

    I realize the water gets colder as you go north but still...

  3. #43
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    Re: Hurricane Earl

    Quote Originally Posted by danarhea View Post
    Looks like Washington may be getting a direct hit. All the storm track has to do is shift slightly to the west. I am reminded of a joke:

    q. What did the hurricane say to the palm tree?
    a. Hang onto your nuts, this ain't no ordinary blow job.

    But there are no palm trees in Washington. So, let's remake the joke:

    q. What did the hurricane say to the Washington Times building?
    a. Hang onto your nuts, this ain't no ordinary blow job.

    Looks like we're in the clear here in DC. They aren't even predicting we'll get any rain or significant wind anymore.
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  4. #44
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    Re: Hurricane Earl

    Quote Originally Posted by Catz Part Deux View Post
    It's shaping up to be a busy september...

    God Damnit! Stay away from the Carribean at the end of September Hurricanes, SHOO!

    Quote Originally Posted by texmaster View Post
    yankees

    Wake me when one makes it to the gulf
    Hey hey hey...

    That only applies if he said Northern Va.

  5. #45
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    Re: Hurricane Earl

    Quote Originally Posted by LaMidRighter View Post
    I remember watching a special saying worst case for NYC is a direct hit tracking through Manhattan island. The surge alone would be a horrendous killer but the special also mentioned a "wind tunnel effect" because of the large number of high rises along the route. Fingers crossed for all in the path though.


    Fear mongering..... I remember that show and thinking what a load of bull... It was one of those shows that stupid channel shows where they take CGI to show destruction of NYC....


    They started doing that I remember back in 2002, rather distastful if you ask me...
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  6. #46
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    Re: Hurricane Earl

    Quote Originally Posted by Deuce View Post
    I don't live on the east coast anymore, but I still keep tabs on these things. Hurricane Earl is Cat 3 right now and might even make Cat 4. It's expected to curve east and not make a direct hit on the coast, but the NC/VA area will still take a beating. Personally, if I lived on the coast I'd be making preparations to leave.
    Where I live, we get cat 4 and cat 5 typhoons quite frequently... a cat 3 that will not even hit you... what a nonstory...
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    Re: Hurricane Earl

    Quote Originally Posted by megaprogman View Post
    All this hurricane monitoring is horrible big government spending thats not in the constitution!!!!
    Actually, this is the kind of stuff that government should be doing, vice spending a trillion dollars on bull**** and inacting job killing executive orders.
    Quote Originally Posted by Top Cat View Post
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  8. #48
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    Re: Hurricane Earl

    Quote Originally Posted by megaprogman View Post
    All this hurricane monitoring is horrible big government spending thats not in the constitution!!!!


    Actually I get my maps, charts, and weather from private doppler systems, and gut feelings including simply standing in the ocean. The warm water this year tells me that we may be in for Hurricane skee-ball up the east coast.

    NOAA is far too political to be trusted and less accurate than a chimp. Do you really need to take pot shots at us libertarians in every thread?

    Hurricane Season 2010 forecast video: Chimp takes on NOAA - National Atlantic Hurricanes | Examiner.com
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  9. #49
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    Re: Hurricane Earl

    Quote Originally Posted by ReverendHellh0und View Post
    Actually I get my maps, charts, and weather from private doppler systems, and gut feelings including simply standing in the ocean. The warm water this year tells me that we may be in for Hurricane skee-ball up the east coast.

    NOAA is far too political to be trusted and less accurate than a chimp. Do you really need to take pot shots at us libertarians in every thread?

    Yeah, no kidding. They get it wrong every year. One year they predict the end of the world and nothing happens, then they predict nothing is going to happen and it's the worst hurricane season in 20 years. 2005 was supposed to be a quiet year.
    Hurricane Season 2010 forecast video: Chimp takes on NOAA - National Atlantic Hurricanes | Examiner.com
    Yeah, no kidding. They get it wrong every year. One year they predict the end of the world and nothing happens, then they predict nothing is going to happen and it's the worst hurricane season in 20 years. 2005 was supposed to be a quiet year.
    Quote Originally Posted by Top Cat View Post
    At least Bill saved his transgressions for grown women. Not suggesting what he did was OK. But he didn't chase 14 year olds.

  10. #50
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    Re: Hurricane Earl

    Quote Originally Posted by apdst View Post
    Yeah, no kidding. They get it wrong every year. One year they predict the end of the world and nothing happens, then they predict nothing is going to happen and it's the worst hurricane season in 20 years. 2005 was supposed to be a quiet year.
    Indeed.

    But coastal weather is a bitch to predict and they do try their best.

    It's always nuts when I lived in Nova Scotia to predict weather cause it's a peninsulua as well as the coast, morning it rains... afternoon beating down hot sun... 10 minutes later snow.

    LOL! it was nuts.

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