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For that to happen the GOP would have to lose 2 of the seats they now currently lead in, and that's assumeing the Dems keep Feigngold's, Reid's, Murray, all of which only lead by 1.something. That's assumeing some pretty good fortune for the Dems going forward. As far as the house is concerned I feel your way off, the GOP only needs 10 of 35 toss ups alomst all of which are Dem seats.
I mean for the Dems to hold the House they have to win 2/3 the toss up seats.
What you have to understand is most of the polling that people base the bloodbath on is generic polling, which is basically worthless. The repubs will make significant gains in the south, but only small gains the rest of the country, so things could very well end up as he describes.I could easily see repubs get as any as 20 seat majority in the house, with 10 not at all unlikely, but if I where to guess, it will be a very close to split house. Dems will almost surely keep control of the senate, but probably not by more than 2 or 3 seats.