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NEWSWEEK Poll: Democrats May Not Be Headed for Midterm Bloodbath

a few more fyi's from your friendly prof

rcp moved washington today, rossi's raced ahead to +7 and +3 point leads, according to most recent survey usa and rasmussen, respectively

RealClearPolitics - 2010 Election Maps - Senate No Toss Ups

that'd leave us TWO short, with nevada, wisconsin, california, connecticut and maryland still available

worry

rossi, for your information, was participant in the closest gub election in us history

he was actually certified claimant in 04 until a second hand-recount rather ripped him off (kinda like stuart smalley in minnesota)

ms gregoire beat him more handily in the 08 rematch, the year of the one, 53 to 47

but things have changed pretty far since then, which, of course, is the point
\

yep, and with Reid and Feingold up only one point in their races it is entirely feasible the Republicans will take the Senate.
 
"typically cautious" savant sabato speaks

"Conditions have deteriorated badly for Democrats over the summer. The economy appears rotten, with little chance of a substantial comeback by November 2nd. Unemployment is very high, income growth sluggish, and public confidence quite low. The Democrats' self-proclaimed 'Recovery Summer' has become a term of derision, and to most voters—fair or not—it seems that President Obama has over-promised and under-delivered..."

"Given what we can see at this moment, Republicans have a good chance to win the House by picking up as many as 47 seats, net. This is a 'net' number since the GOP will probably lose several of its own congressional districts in Delaware, Hawaii, and Louisiana. This estimate, which may be raised or lowered by Election Day, is based on a careful district-by-district analysis, plus electoral modeling based on trends in President Obama's Gallup job approval rating and the Democratic-versus-Republican congressional generic ballot. If anything, we have been conservative in estimating the probable GOP House gains, if the election were being held today."

sabato's analysis of the senate only confirms verbatim what's been pointed out above

Shock Prediction: GOP to Take House, Maybe Senate in 2010 Election - US News and World Report
 
Don't count your chickens, look how they can ignore and eco-terrorist, but what they did with a few lewd emails. (Foley)
 
That would mean that Republicans would have to have A) a majority in the House in 2013, B) a 60-seat supermajority in the Senate in 2013, and C) the White House in 2013.

It's not going to happen, even if the Democrats take a thumpin' in the polls this year. Dream on.

Getting back the White House is going to be tough for the GOP. They simply don't have a good candidate yet. But 2012 is still a ways off. However, although I do not see the GOP having either house this year, I see them having both Houses in 2012, as there will be more Democratic Senate seats up for grabs than Republican ones. If they DO find a presidential candidate who is either not as dumb as a box of rocks (Palin), wants a theocracy (Huckabee), or is a corporatist in Conservative clothing (Romney), and can pull off a win for the White House in 2012, they will have it all in 2013. The main problem for them is going to be the presidential candidate, but like I said, 2012 is a long way off. Obama came out of nowhere for the Democrats in 2008. Let's see if the GOP can produce their own surprise in the next presidential election.
 
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Undoing that will be Job #1 for the next president.

I very much doubt that. Certainly the politico's will stick their grubby hands into the abortion of the healthcare Bill, but I doubt very much it will be repealed.
 
I almost hope the GOP only come really close to taking over in 2010. I want the disaster the left have created to be completely owned by them, no media excuses scapegoating a GOP congress. I fear 2012 will be '96. I don't think America can survive a 2nd term of Obama. The results are in and will only get much worse.
Our income stops 1 month from now. Company closing. Thank you Obamanomics.
I can't civilly say what I think of you who brought this on to my family.
By your ignorant vote. The consequences are personal, so is the anger.
I can't wait to vote.
 
ok, but why would any independent thinker want to listen to sabato (or cook or campbell) when they have the linkless analyses of professional chatroomers to consider?

a question for personality whores everywhere

cook report, wednesday: National Journal Online - No Help On The Horizon For Dems

rcp's sean trende who next to jay cost may be the best in the biz, yesterday: RealClearPolitics - Bigger Than 1994

worse than 1994: Dems in power could be in peril, poll says - USATODAY.com

but, hey, why read, when you can simply post instead?
 
read the tea leaves

Feingold laments his absence | POLITICO 44

feingold's not the only one---barnes in ga, white in tx, carnahan in mri, 3 house dems in pn (murphy, altmire and i forget), boccierri in ohio...

there were more, i can't remember em all anymore

BARBARA STREISAND stiffed him in hollywood and she's a slut for any prez with a d

this too says a lot, and it's wall to wall msm, of late:

Democrats run away from health care - Jennifer Haberkorn - POLITICO.com

not ONE of the 219 has broached obamacare since APRIL

worry

if feingold, for instance, falls, gop chances upstairs are above 50-50

he currently trails, he's being outspent 4 to 1, he's running against health care, the stimulus, cap and trade...
 
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