The Obama Deficit
My favorite liberal ever.Edit ti respond to your edit: who is this Nate Silver?
Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com
EDIT: to highlight what I was saying earlier: many of the Senate races the NYT map categorizes as "leans Dem" or "tossup", Nate Silver's analysis categorizes as tossup or leans GOP or even relatively safe GOP. For example, Silver gives Arkansaw a 100% chance of electing a Republican Senator, while the NYT map only has that race as "lean GOP". This probably holds true of House seats as well.
Last edited by Dav; 08-30-10 at 10:29 PM.
Check them out... Not looking good for the Dems.
RealClearPolitics - 2010 Election Maps - Battle for the House
The Obama Deficit
Didn't you guys read my post?
Newsweek fudged their own numbers. Their poll doesn't show the democrats neck and neck with republicans as they reported.
rcp's projections are based on local polls, like albequerque journal, like las vegas review, as well as national outfits like we ask america and aaf-ayers, in addition to more notable mason dixon's, survey usa's...
cook isn't alone, chuck todd of msnbc was a district by district guy when he worked for hotline and was a regular on brian lamb's washington journal---folks should listen when mr todd talks, even take notes...
fox's michael barone is much the same, i could tell you a very interesting story about election nite 2000...
karl rove got his start this way
these guys are like almanacs of capitol hill electorals
LOL!The repubs will make significant gains in the south, but only small gains...
where the heck did that come from
Last edited by The Prof; 08-30-10 at 10:32 PM.
it's also politics 101 that late breaking undecideds tend pretty strongly to go against incumbency
the psychology is something along the lines of---if you like ms boxer, you like her, if you haven't yet made up your mind...
she being so known, and all