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Democrat wins Fla. special house election

disneydude said:
Again....for the GOP to make any major impact, they are not only going to have to retain ALL of their seats, they are also going to have to win all of the toss-ups...all of the leaning Republican and carry a good amount of the leaning Democrat seats.
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DD - you don't get it. The Republicans could win 75% of all seats and this is one of the 25% that would remain in the hands of the Donkeys...
 
ludahai said:
DD - you don't get it. The Republicans could win 75% of all seats and this is one of the 25% that would remain in the hands of the Donkeys...
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I always thought it was a Jackass...... learn something new everyday. :mrgreen:
 
disneydude said:
Seems like that talk about a wave of anti-democrat backlash is a little more hype than substance:

Democrat wins Fla. US House special election - Yahoo! News

Florida Democratic state Sen. Ted Deutch handily won Tuesday's special election to replace retiring Democratic U.S. Rep. Robert Wexler after his underdog GOP opponent attempted to make the contest a referendum on the massive health care bill.

"We've heard for months that tonight ... is a referendum on health care, it's a referendum on the (Obama) administration, it's a referendum on what direction this country is going," Deutch told supporters
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This is not news at all........This seat was Robert Wexler who resigned......It is in a very heavy demcrat area.......Its the same area that did not know how to fill out a ballot in the 2000 presidential election....They took the ballot to 3rd graders and they had no problem with it.......
 
A Republican in this district has about the same shot as a conservative in Venezuela.
 
You're missing the point.

After Brown won in MA, many in the GOP touted that they would win this one too, especially since the election was taking place after the health care bill passed.

In fact, the GOP candidate specifically said as much, claiming that this election was a referendum on the health care bill.

You can be sure had he won, the GOP candidate would have screamed that his winning was because of it.

You can't make such a claim and then, after it's over, make excuses as if you had never said such a thing. It's not a referendum on health care only if you win.
 
the gop candidate specifically said...

LOL!

indeed, it IS a referendum on health care

in robert wexler's district!

LOL!
 
Redress said:
While I doubt republicans will win either house or senate, this does not prove that. Further, it is possible we loose both house and senate, and so we need to spend as much effort as we can to not do so.
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Republicans don't have much of a chance to take the Senate until possibly 2012, but they are making serious overtures to taking the House this year.
 
danarhea said:
Republicans don't have much of a chance to take the Senate until possibly 2012, but they are making serious overtures to taking the House this year.
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The house would work for me, then they could defund the healthcare takeover.
 
Groucho said:
You're missing the point.

After Brown won in MA, many in the GOP touted that they would win this one too, especially since the election was taking place after the health care bill passed.

In fact, the GOP candidate specifically said as much, claiming that this election was a referendum on the health care bill.

You can be sure had he won, the GOP candidate would have screamed that his winning was because of it.

You can't make such a claim and then, after it's over, make excuses as if you had never said such a thing. It's not a referendum on health care only if you win.
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Every candidate is going to say that a district is winnable. You do it to encourage your supporters. The reality is that there are districts that a GOP candidate can NEVER win just as there are districts that someone in the Democratic Party will never win.
 
danarhea said:
Republicans don't have much of a chance to take the Senate until possibly 2012, but they are making serious overtures to taking the House this year.
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I think this is about right, and the race in Florida has absolutely ZERO bearing on the chances of either happing.
 
disneydude said:
Sorry....but if the GOP wants to make any impact in the election they are going to have to do more than win the seats they already hold :doh
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They might be doing that. Take a look at HI-01. Republican has a 2 point lead there.
 
rcp, based on its poll of polls, has my side picking up EIGHT upstairs in november

RealClearPolitics - 2010 Election Maps - Senate No Toss Ups

after the 8, it is very conceivable---boxer in CA, gillibrand in NY (if pataki runs), murray in WA, obama's seat in IL (gop kirk vs dem giannoulias), and even feingold (whom we would have taken, hands down, had thompson declared---darn)

republicans have a very real chance to take the senate

and yes, if the senate goes, the house will

that is, the house will swing before upstairs

and if this president ever tries to move on IMMIGRATION (by HIS lights), then his party will have almost zero chance of holding anything by december except the white house

and he IS going to move on IMMIGRATION, you know barry

it's gonna be WILD
 
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