What does this poll mean?
Well, for one, it means that displeasure with this bill is rising. Indpistuable really. Its gone from 54% to 58%. Why? Hard to say. It could be people, once it passed, actually finally listening to some of the complaints about it. It could be people who were deluded about it thinking they were going to be getting free health care once it came into play and when they didn't then they got mad. It could be a number of other things.
What affect will it have?
Hard to say really. The affects for this coming year's elections can probably be guested better than 2012. If this trend continues, even if it slows, then I'd say its likely to be a bad sign for Democrats. That said, likely not AS big of a sign as some Republicans may be hoping and gambling on as I believe that a portion of that percentage are people who want it over turned to get something like a single payer plan into place and thus are still more likely to vote Democrat in the 2010 elections. If this number starts to reverse but stays above 40% I think it'll be a net wash. If it falls under 40% then its trouble for Republicans. Ultimately though I think its going to be one of many metrics this election will hinge on, the Economy being an even bigger one.
I think 2012 is going to be a lot more hazy. I think how big of an issue this is come 2012 is going to matter hugely on what happens in 2010. If the Republicans get enough people to take over one of the two houses of Congress and can go into 2012 with a good outline for their reform/replace portion of their "Repeal - Reform - Replace" plan then it could be helpful. If they fizzle out in 2010 or can't put forth a good plan going into 2012 then I think it'll be a non-starter for sure.