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Thread: Conservative Loses Upstate House Race in Blow to Right

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    Re: Conservative Loses Upstate House Race in Blow to Right

    Quote Originally Posted by Ockham View Post
    And lefties just never met a socialist dependency program they couldn't raise taxes for... and Turd Blossum --- it's not nice to talk about Carter that way.

    Turd Blossom is just Bush's little pet name for 'the architect' ... Karl Rove

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    Re: Conservative Loses Upstate House Race in Blow to Right

    Quote Originally Posted by WillRockwell View Post
    scuse me while I ROFL
    virginia, the most bellwether state in the nation: +18

    new jersey, as blue as it gets: 25 point shift towards red in a year

    have fun, friend

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    Re: Conservative Loses Upstate House Race in Blow to Right

    Quote Originally Posted by jackalope View Post
    Turd Blossom is just Bush's little pet name for 'the architect' ... Karl Rove
    Ah.. hmm... but it fits Carter so much better.

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    Re: Conservative Loses Upstate House Race in Blow to Right

    Quote Originally Posted by jackalope View Post
    Well, maybe the GOP isn't looking so strong ...
    the only polls that are real were just counted

    tuesday nite

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    Re: Conservative Loses Upstate House Race in Blow to Right

    an anonymous democrat congressman, too smart to be named, told john fund of wsj, concerning nancy's insistence on going forward saturday, after what happened this week: "it reminds me of major nicholson, the obsessed british major in the film 'bridge on the river kwai,' she is fixated on finishing her health care bridge even as she's lost sight of where it's going and what damage it could cause to her own troops"

    The Madness of Queen Nancy - WSJ.com

    jobs numbers come out tomorrow, for example, and the vote is "scheduled" to occur saturday

    the speaker's claim that tuesday was a "win" strikes some in her caucus as "happy talk"

    she's "delusional," they imply

    liberal lion bill pascrell: "people who had weak knees before are going to have weaker knees now"

    parker griffith: the 49 dems who won office in districts taken by mccain are "very, very sensitive" to the fact that leadership's actions have "the potential to cost some of our front line members their seats"

    gerry connally, chair of house freshmen: "what the exit polls showed was real voter fatigue with how crowded the plate is, we need to take a deep breath, step back and clean the plate before we add to it"

    pelosi and hoyer openly ADMIT they don't have 218, but they intend to get there by day after tomorrow

    what they don't understand is, even if they get 218 they will still be losing almost TWENTY PERCENT of their party

    and that's in the house where leadership leverages terrifying threats over its members

    20% loss in lower house spells DOOM in the far more individualized upper

    think, observe for yourself

    that's what broder does, the dean

    even markos of the kos, very strong willed

    ie, THAT's the problem
    Last edited by The Prof; 11-05-09 at 11:21 PM.

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    Re: Conservative Loses Upstate House Race in Blow to Right

    Quote Originally Posted by The Prof View Post
    the only polls that are real were just counted

    tuesday nite

    Yes, and the Dems won two out of two Congressional seats.
    Nancy Pelosi now has two more votes for health care and more

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    Re: Conservative Loses Upstate House Race in Blow to Right

    Quote Originally Posted by The Prof View Post
    virginia, the most bellwether state in the nation: +18

    new jersey, as blue as it gets: 25 point shift towards red in a year

    have fun, friend


    Why is VA the most bellwether state in the nation? It's been red since the 60s for presidential (obviously missing Carter, Clinton, and Clinton elections). For gubernatorial, it always votes the opposite party that won the white house the year before. It held up to its history, didn't do anything different on Tuesday.


    I thought Missouri was the most bellwether of states (altho MO did miss the pres election last time ... )

    NJ was a big win for the Republicans. No doubt about it.
    Last edited by jackalope; 11-05-09 at 11:30 PM.

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    Re: Conservative Loses Upstate House Race in Blow to Right

    don't get too pumped over walnut creek

    if she had the votes she wouldn't say, "we're close"

    she wouldn't say "we will" have them

    she'd say she has em

    she'd have already voted, indeed

    as is, she's rolling the dice and, even if she gets 7, she has no chance upstairs

    ask lieberman, who speaks for at least half a dozen

    mri is very, very key, you're right

    VA is more signal for the same reasons florida was in 2000 and ohio in 04

    if mccain had taken VA, this election MIGHT have gone his way

    going into november, it very much looked like whoever took VA would likely win

    mri's in much the same category, good point

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    Re: Conservative Loses Upstate House Race in Blow to Right

    Quote Originally Posted by The Prof View Post
    don't get too pumped over walnut creek

    What is walnut creek?


    (I'm only coming up with Little House on the Prairie and Laura Ingalls, off the top of my head )

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    Re: Conservative Loses Upstate House Race in Blow to Right

    thanks!

    walnut creek is garamendi's CA10, the other house seat

    it's about 25 miles inland from SF

    it's where I, The pompous Prof, grew up

    actually, i was raised in lafayette, ca, just one hamlet west of walnut creek

    walnut creek is where ms ellen tauscher was congresswoman who was promoted to state dept, thus making for special election

    garamendi is a big CA dem who's won state wide at least twice

    he was insurance commissioner, and about 10 years ago he was involved in some pretty ugly scandal

    but he set his sights lower, just like jerry brown and willie brown

    jerry, son of pat (2 time governor) was like his dad gov of CA (he was moonbeam brown back then cuz he was kinda nutty, that's when he dated linda ronstadt)

    (i tell you these things cuz i bet you remember)

    willie was forever speaker of CA assembly until we voted in term limits

    so jerry moved down to become mayor of street gang infested oakland

    and willie became mayor of sf

    well, just like that, garamendi stooped down to beat harmer for ca10, walnut creek

    walnut creek used to be rep'd by bill baker, one of the loudest gun rights voices in the nation

    but he got gerrymandered, thus tauscher

    the point---that gerrymander left walnut creek about two to one dem

    so, yeah, it was a given that it'd go blue

    unlike ny23

    interestingly, there was a TOTAL media blackout---even here---concerning CA10

    i, for instance, me, The pompous Prof, didn't even know the republican's name until fox news started running his ads about a week before the election

    not a single poll, not one

    i don't live in the district anymore, tho i'm nearby

    mr harmer knocked on the door of one of my best friends

    that's about all i knew about the race, and you know how deep i get into these things, until 9:00 pacific time tuesday when kofy channel 20 reported the early returns

    garamendi was up by 17 with 29% in, so i went to bed

    9:00 is several hours past my bedtime, i'm very very old

    take care, my friend, it's 8:45 here, and...

    LOL!

    cliff
    Last edited by The Prof; 11-06-09 at 12:49 AM.

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