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1. Cap and Trade faces extinction in the Senate.
2. With democrat defections predetermined (Baucus, Lincoln, Dorgan, Byrd, Ben Nelson, Landrieu, Brown), Ms Boxer requires considerable Republican endorsement to have a prayer.
3. Yet, the California doctrinaire is conducting her committee (EPW) with so heavy a hand she has succeeded in precipitating ALL SEVEN of her Republican members to BOYCOTT her markup.
4. Cap and Trade, meanwhile, CANNOT pass without significant GOP backing.
5. Indeed, Senators Kerry and Lindsey Graham have been lobbying bipartisanly to broker a bill backbenchers can bless.
6. But Ms Boxer does her best to betray their labors.
7. Mr Reid, meanwhile, needs red support.
8. Head-counting whip Dick Durbin has conceded, concerning cap and trade: "it's a difficult schedule," with many members already "anxious" about health care.
9. Ben Nelson: "we have enough on our plate right now, it's questionable to open another front."
10. Sharrod Brown: "there's no bill," unless domestic manufactures are protected against foreign competition less green.
11. The Ohio dem adds: "we're not real close."
12. Blanche Lincoln, chair of Ag, on behalf of farmers: cap and trade is "a heavy lift" to get done this year.
U.S. Senate Democrats skeptical about climate bill | Markets | Reuters
13. Robert Byrd, from coal-rich West Virginia: "I cannot support the house bill in its present form."
14. The White House itself is equivocal---David Axelrod on September 1 announced the administration's "deprioritizing" of the issue.
15. Regulatory reform of Wall Street is now considered a higher priority than cap and trade, bared Obama's Brain.
Under fire, President Obama shifts strategy - Mike Allen and Jim VandeHei - POLITICO.com
16. Having established the hopelessness of passing the piece along purely party lines, it is clear that signficant GOP garnering is necessary.
17. Thus, Kerry's cooperation with Graham.
18. But the famously flippant South Carolinian is insisting on nuclear power plants and offshore drilling in exchange.
19. In other words, forget about it.
20. Graham: "there is nowhere near 60 votes for a nuclear power bill on its own, there's not 60 votes for a cap and trade bill as its currently constructed."
21. Jilting Joe Lieberman, meanwhile, leads a bipartisan 17 also insisting on nuclear energy.
22. So George Voinovich and Lamar Alexander, noted centrists, broach their boycott of Boxer.
Senate panel faces partisan climate war - Lisa Lerer - POLITICO.com
23. Voinovich: "I'm willing to work with the people on the other side, but if you jam this thing through here it's not going to be good."
24. Customary rules prohibit a chairwoman from marking up legislation without the presence of two members of the minority, but Boxer bids to bully through.
25. "The senator is going to use all the tools at her disposal," avows an aid.
26. Republicans targeted by leadership---Lisa Murkowski, Judd Gregg, Dick Lugar, Susan Collins, Omnipresent Olympia and Maverick McCain.
27. But Graham is the only one glad handing.
28. And HE needs nukes, also offshore oil.
29. McCain, game-playing greenie, can't come along unless he sees greater guarantees for fission.
30. But Kerry, according to the Arizona oddball, is "not ready to do that."
31. Ben Nelson, today: cap and trade cannot pass senate this congress.
All GOP senators to boycott climate hearing - Lisa Lerer - POLITICO.com
32. "I haven't been able to sell that argument to my farmers, and I don't think they're going to buy it from anyone else," noted the Nebraskan.
33. The six top Republicans on committees concerned (Murkowski, Chambliss, Grassley, Lugar, Inhofe and Kay Baily Hutchinson)---not to be confused with the half dozen dissenters declared to join Voinovich's boycott of Boxer---scribbled a bulletin to bullheaded Boxer today, calling for EPA analysis of the effects of the legislation.
34. "We are deeply troubled by the failure to accomodate a request from Senator Voinovich and other Republicans for a complete analysis of the bill's projected impacts on the nation," asserted the six in their meaningful missive.
35. "From our viewpoint such an approach would severely damage, rather than help, the chances of enacting changes to our nation's climate and energy policies," continued cap and trade's killers.
36. "Analyses are worth the time and resources, not only to get them done, but to get them done right," concluded the recalcitrant reps.
37. Boxer's bluffing, she's gonna have to back off.
38. The bill is stillborn.
39. Any piece that passes lower parliament by four piddly votes has no hope on the upper floor---Politics 101.
40. All this trading of "carbon credits" is gammon worthy of gagster Al Gore.
41. Cap and trade contemplates massive tax increases on energy---both production and consumption---in the midst of economic Depression.
42. As such, it's political AND economic suicide.
washingtonpost.comThe climate-change bill that has been moving slowly through the Senate will face a stark political reality when it emerges for committee debate on Tuesday: With Democrats deeply divided on the issue, unless some Republican lawmakers risk the backlash for signing on to the legislation, there is almost no hope for passage.
Like the measure adopted by the House, the legislation favors a cap-and-trade system that would issue permits for greenhouse gas emissions, gradually lower the amount of emissions allowed, and let companies buy and sell permits to meet their needs -- all without adding to the federal deficit, according to projections. But key Republicans are making their opposition clear, even as Sen. John F. Kerry (D-Mass.) has enlisted Sen. Lindsey O. Graham (S.C.) as his most visible GOP ally in gathering support for the bill.
Sen. George V. Voinovich (Ohio), a member of the Environment and Public Works Committee who was initially seen as one of the few Republicans who might consider backing the majority, is helping lead the opposition.
"Why are we trying to jam down this legislation now?" he asked during a hearing last week. "Wouldn't it be smarter to take our time and do it right?"
He wrote Environmental Protection Agency Administrator Lisa P. Jackson twice this summer to ask for a more detailed economic analysis of the House-passed climate legislation, and he has joined the other six Republicans on the committee in boycotting the climate bill's markup, scheduled for Tuesday.
The measure has deeply divided Democrats. With states in the Midwest, South and Rocky Mountain West dependent on fossil fuels for energy, many senators are worried about the legislation's impact on industry and consumers.
"I think at the end of the day, the people who turn the switch on at home will be disadvantaged," Sen. Ben Nelson (D-Neb.) told CNBC on Friday, explaining why he did not think the bill Kerry had sponsored along with Environment and Public Works Chairman Barbara Boxer (D-Calif.) could pass.
So Democratic leaders, with the support of the Obama administration, are trying to sway at least half a dozen Republicans by offering amendments to speed along their top priority: building nuclear power plants.
Graham has suggested provisions on nuclear power and offshore oil drilling that could win his support for a cap-and-trade climate bill. Sen. Joseph I. Lieberman (I-Conn.) has established a bipartisan working group of 17 Senate offices that is close to producing a detailed amendment aimed at hurrying the construction of U.S. nuclear reactors.
But it remains unclear whether that approach will hold currency in the current era of political polarization. One of the top Republicans whom Democrats hope to recruit in this effort -- Sen. Lisa Murkowski (Alaska), whom Graham and Kerry recently buttonholed on the Senate floor -- has voiced skepticism about the legislation.
"A tepid nuclear title isn't enough to get her to support a bad climate bill," said Robert Dillon, a spokesman for Murkowski.