Before we rush to that however, I would attempt to contact dissident groups inside of Iran and take a realistic look at the odds they could orchestrate some kind of rebellion. If that actually works, we can offer to recognize whatever government would come from this in exchange for all Iranian fissile material and an end to the nuclear program. If there is no chance we can get arms into the country and actually get this going, then something is going to have to give.
Iran (especially an anti-Western Iran) cannot possess a nuclear warhead for a plethora of reasons, and airstrikes only set that goal back, they do not eliminate it. You could also argue that an airstrike makes the climate much more urgent to go ahead and get a bomb, in effect speeding the process up.
Only in the USA are attacks by it on other countries in violation of the UN Charter disscussed by oh so "serious" foreign policy buffs.
And the funny thing is they try and build their case this illegal act of War by giving us alleged examples of how the rouge country violated International law!
See how that works?
Last edited by dragondad; 09-28-09 at 03:52 PM.
Really, in my view, the wording of international law is all semantics, and the manner in which it is written allows for us to do what we do.
Frankly, in my opinion, American interests come before the UN Charter, but if it can be shaped in a manner that is consistent with the Charter and international law, it saves a lot of headaches down the road.
You are all about the US following International agreements until the point you are not for the US following International agreements.
American exceptionalism at it's finest..........yet they wonder why the US is hated by many around the World?
I am all for acting within International agreements, but those agreements should never impinge the ability of the United States to protect its interests.You are all about the US following International agreements until the point you are not for the US following International agreements.
I do not wonder, I do not care if we are loved or not. Most of the world does not hate the United States, and the good we accomplish far outweighs the bad.American exceptionalism at it's finest..........yet they wonder why the US is hated by many around the World?
All of that said, we will arguable pick up just as many friends by "dealing" with Iran (not saying that is the correct path) as we will lose by doing the same.
The Center for Strategic and International Studies did a study on what an Israeli strike against Iranian nuclear sites would look like. It goes through number of planes needed, routes, projected losses, flying patterns of tankers, political backlash, etc... It is worth the read.
A military strike by Israel against Iranian Nuclear Facilities is possible and the optimum route would be along the Syrian-Turkish border then over a small portion of Iraq then into Iran, and back the same route. However, the number of aircraft required, refueling along the way and getting to the targets without being detected or intercepted would be complex and high risk and would lack any assurances that the overall mission will have a high success rate.
• With regard to the Arab States, most probably they will not condone any attack on Iran under the pretext that Iran poses an existential threat to Israel and a security threat to the whole region, whilst Israel has some 200 to 300 nuclear weapons, and the delivery means using the Jericho missiles, in addition to Israel still occupying the West Bank and the Syrian Golan Heights.
• The more there is an Israeli threat to the survival of the regime in Iran, the more Iran will be determined to acquire nuclear weapons. Iran would withdraw from the NPT based on the argument that it needs to acquire nuclear weapons to protect its sovereignty and any further aggression by Israel and the U.S.
• A strike by Israel on Iran will give rise to regional instability and conflict as well as terrorism.
Certainly we can debate the points, but it sets up a good foundation to understand the complexities of a large scale military operation. Read the whole study here.