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Thread: Tories beat Labour in by-election

  1. #21
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    Re: Tories beat Labour in by-election

    It looks like the Labour voters went to Greens and UKIP.


  2. #22
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    Re: Tories beat Labour in by-election

    Quote Originally Posted by Laila View Post
    It looks like the Labour voters went to Greens and UKIP.
    why did the LD lose votes? I would have thought, with the gains the other parties made, they would have gained most of the labour protest votes.

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    Re: Tories beat Labour in by-election

    Quote Originally Posted by DarkWizard12 View Post
    why did the LD lose votes? I would have thought, with the gains the other parties made, they would have gained most of the labour protest votes.
    It went to the Greens sadly. I like LD alot.
    Greens have been cutting into LD votes and Labour and UKIP is a thorn on Conservatives side as Conservatives have moved a little on their 'ultra europe sceptics' stance and voters are not happy about that
    Last edited by Laila; 07-25-09 at 07:16 AM.


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    Re: Tories beat Labour in by-election

    Quote Originally Posted by Laila View Post
    It looks like the Labour voters went to Greens and UKIP.
    Labour and the Conservatives lost combined 16201 votes, with labour loosing the 15000ish since 2005.

    The combined "gain" by other parties was 8000 votes..

    And the Lib Dems lost 3000 on top of that.

    Even if we say the 8000 votes were all labour votes (which is unrealistic) and labour had the same turnout of its voters as the 2005 election then labour would have come very close to winning the site again.

    But because 7000 voters on top of the "8000" protest votes stayed away, then the conservatives won by a wide margin. But it is unrealistic to say that all the 8000 votes gained by fringe parties was all labour votes since the conservatives lost over 1000 votes and the lib dems over 3000 votes.. half the 8000 gained by the fringe parties.

    Basically labour voters stayed home more than conservative and lib dem voters but I highly doubt that they will in a general election.
    PeteEU

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    Re: Tories beat Labour in by-election

    Quote Originally Posted by DarkWizard12 View Post
    why did the LD lose votes? I would have thought, with the gains the other parties made, they would have gained most of the labour protest votes.
    Protest votes and people staying home. All 3 parties were involved in the scandal after all.
    PeteEU

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    Re: Tories beat Labour in by-election

    Quote Originally Posted by galenrox View Post
    Yeah, I think I remember seeing that LDP's numbers had gone up more than the conservatives', but it seemed that even without the expense scandal David Cameron was going to walk into No. 10.
    Im not so sure, Alot of people were predicting a hung parliament [where no party has an absolute majority of seats] untill recently. I think part of it was that some people were willing to turn a blind eye when labour did something wrong [because they kept the torries out of office] but the expenses scandal, among other things, was the last straw.

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    Re: Tories beat Labour in by-election

    Quote Originally Posted by Red_Dave View Post
    Im not so sure, Alot of people were predicting a hung parliament [where no party has an absolute majority of seats] untill recently. I think part of it was that some people were willing to turn a blind eye when labour did something wrong [because they kept the torries out of office] but the expenses scandal, among other things, was the last straw.
    The next general election will be more a referedum on the last 12 years of Labour in some way rather than a vote for Conservative and i think Cameron is well aware of that.
    He is also aware that Conservatives may get into power with no support from the North which is probably why he is so badly focusing on Scotland.


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