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- Mar 27, 2014
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Tom put three Trump signs on our front lawn ten days ago. They were stolen the other night. As were our neighbors. I asked him not to replace them. Afraid vandalizing my car might by Option #2. It's ugly out there, and I have no doubt the poles are wrong. Tom received a call from a pollster. Firs question out of the box was your presidential choice. He answered Trump. The pollster hung up.
I agree it's ugly. I live in Trump territory, so the risks here are opposite where you live apparently. No way I'd put a Hillary sticker on my car and park it at the mall, for example. The insurance company might blame ME for any vandalism....
FWIW, the poll story really doesn't at all support the conclusion that the polls are "wrong." There are probably hundreds of outfits polling for at least dozens of purposes, only one of them is to predict the election outcome. Just for example, the outfit could be trying to identify houses to target with later GOTV efforts for Hillary and/or other state/local democrats - if you support Trump, they don't want your household voting! I have no idea, but that's FAR more likely than one of the big outfits cited by fivethirtyeight or RCP is intentionally skewing their poll responses to present an inaccurate snapshot. If caught doing what you allege, those orgs would permanently trash their credibility and if they want to skew the results, they can do that after the fact behind closed doors. So it makes no sense on any level.