JumpinJack
DP Veteran
- Joined
- Aug 19, 2013
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We must be looking at different polls. Time, CNBC and others have, or did at 2pm est when I checked them out, Trump as the winner.
Talking head pundits are calling it for Hiary.
I didn't hear anything from either to make me think they won. Didn't hear anything but the same worn out empty promises and false attacks from each candidate.
But everyone has their own opinion.
First, online polls aren't real polls. Groups of people post to tell others to hit this or that "poll." People can vote multiple times. They are notoriously wrong.
TIME is an online poll. CNBC is an online poll.
Here are real surveys and focus groups conducted by people knowledgeable or hired for the process:
http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2016/images/09/27/poll.pdf (Dem leaning, but it is not insignificant that more Dems than Repubs watched; also, this poll correlates with after-debate bounce historically);
Voters Nationally Say Clinton Won Debate 51/40 - Public Policy Polling
Why Hillary Clinton won the debate - Business InsiderGamblers: Prediction markets moved toward Clinton during the debate. PredictWise, which aggregates odds from betting markets and bookmakers, showed her odds of winning the presidency rising from 69% before the debate to 73% after.
Why Hillary Clinton won the debate - Business InsiderTV news focus groups said Clinton clearly won. The CBS undecided voter focus group, run by Frank Luntz, gave it to her by a margin of 16 to six; CNN's gave it to her by 18 to two.
Why Hillary Clinton won the debate - Business InsiderTrump skipped a post-debate victory party he was supposed to attend and went straight home. Trump said he enjoyed the debate but didn't seem too eager to celebrate. Maybe he was sad, or was feeling low-energy, or lacked the stamina to greet his supporters.
This is the truth. There are sources you look at and regard, if you really want to know. (Those good sources are never going to be online polls.) There is no question but that Clinton improved her standing, and Trump did not improve his, or worse.
Then, all you had to do was watch it. Hillary Clinton was in control, self-assured, confidant, and smiling....while Trump was drinking a lot of water, showing his bad temperament, telling obvious falsehoods that the audience even laughed at at one point, and was generally uncomfortable and making odd expressions. You could turn off the sound and see who was winning, just by their body language and facial expressions.
If you're a political junkie, you learn to accept a bad performance for a night, but you never disregard the fact of who did won and who didn't. I voted for Obama and readily admitted Romney won one of the debates against Obama. Obama was just horrible. SNL did a comedy sketch about it. No point in trying to claim Obama won. I could've turned off the sound and seen who was winning (unfortunately, I was listening).
Tip: Good, valid, objective political sources are fivethirtyeight.com and realclearpolitics.com. Fivethirtyeight.com predicted the last Presidential win almost exactly. It's very reliable.
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