A fact would be something like Russia's military spending is a fraction of what it was during the good ole days if the USSR, which might lead one to logically conclude that Russia's military is aging and not up to the standards of years past.
Nobody is saying a war with China or Russia would be easy. What we're saying is that a war with China is highly unlikely due to economic realities facing both sides.
We're not "pushing and leaning" on China, for goodness sake. We made China rich. The USA getting involved in that part of the world is the best thing ever to happen to China.
On December 7th, 1941, the United States was unexpectedly attacked by Japan. I can never hate on a pacifist, but you're deluding yourself if you believe the USA will ever put itself in a position again where our Pacific Front is wide open to attack.
We will maintain a strong Pacific presence, whether that's in Okinawa, Philipines, Guam, etc. We will do what we can to ensure no one country has hegemony over the Asian Pacific. We will not allow Japan to attack China, or China to attack Japan, or anything else....but will require a balance.
Most of all, we will never again allow an attack to come from the Pacific without us knowing of it well in advance. It would be foolish to cede the Asian Pacific to China or Japan, and wait for the warships to show up unannounced in Los Angelws before we act.
WW2 and Pearl Harbor pretty much ensured that USA will be involved in that part of the world from now on.
Pearl Harbour memo shows US warned of Japanese attack
On the 70th anniversary of Pearl Harbour, the attack that propelled America into the Second World War, a declassified memo shows that Japanese surprise attack was expected.
Killing one person is murder, killing 100,000 is foreign policy
‘Yet there are facts. Both the Russians and Chinese are challenging America dominance. The Chinese government has stated in its official news sources that China will fight if America interferes in the Islands disputes. Putin has said that he was prepared to use nuclear weapons over the Ukraine dispute. America is increasing its military presence in Asia and NATO is moving forwards near the Russian border. The question then is; what will happen? Will all this just fizzle out and everybody goes home in a compromise, or is all this a prelude to something much bigger.’
I look forward to reading more than a one line or sentence assessment, a short 1,000 words would be fine, not to many quotes and would exclude gems of information such as, ‘Come back and tell us all about it after WWIII is over with’, ‘indeed’ and ‘Just sit back and watch what happens.’ Google at the ready? Begin.
Wishful thinking, but imagine if the big three got together and co-operated, each assuming power within their own sphere of influence, a sort of international agreement between them. Each agreed to cut back forces to the minimum, reduce stockpiles and stop inventing bigger and better weapons system. Imagine the billions that would provide to spend on development and their populations. There’d be so much money sloshing around you wouldn’t know what to do with it all. Instead, the populations are left with food kitchens, mass unemployment and brag about who’s got the biggest ship and most nuclear warheads.
Yes, it’s a bit ‘kumbaya’, wishful thinking, but the more we progress, aren’t we becoming more stupid?
America currently spends an annual $ 610bn, (3.5 GDP) on military defence, China $ 216bn, (2.1 GDP) and Russia $ 84.5 (4.5 GDP) and that’s without the billions on continual technological development. Imagine that money spent on infrastructure, or medical care, or alleviating poverty. What a waste; why on earth do we cheer on our own destruction.
I'm reminded of this passage from President Kennedy's speech on the Cuban Missile Crisis:
"Our policy has been one of patience and restraint, as befits a peaceful and powerful nation which leads a worldwide alliance. We have been determined not to be diverted from our central concerns by mere irritants and fanatics."
We should take that same posture now, when responding to irritants.