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Thread: Iran isnít providing needed access or information, nuclear watchdog says

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    Iran isnít providing needed access or information, nuclear watchdog says

    From today's edition of The Washington Post:

    The head of the International Atomic Energy Agency said that Iran has failed to provide the information or access needed to allay the agencyís concerns about the weapons potential of the countryís nuclear program.

    With the deadline nearing for international talks on constraining Iranís nuclear program, Yukiya Amano, director general of the IAEA, said in an interview that Iran has replied to just one of a dozen queries about ďpossible military dimensionsĒ of past nuclear activities.
    http://www.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/un-nuclear-watchdog-iran-not-providing-needed-information-access/2015/03/24/6557b24a-d23d-11e4-8fce-3941fc548f1c_story.html

    This is exactly why any agreement will need to have an intrusive and robust verification mechanism that runs beyond periodic inspections if it is to be credible. Iran's continuing failure to provide the IAEA with relevant information even as the diplomacy is approaching a critical deadline, raises serious potential compliance issues. My view remains unchanged concerning the looming deadline: if Iran fails to reach an agreement in principle with robust verification by the end of this month, Congress should reinstall the sanctions. That Iran continues to be evasive when it comes to the IAEA's requests for information and access argues that even if such sanctions cause Iran to walk away from the talks, those sanctions may offer the best prospect for limiting the risk of illicit Iranian nuclear arms-related activities.

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    Re: Iran isnít providing needed access or information, nuclear watchdog says

    "while the rest have not been addressed at all."
    --This is not true at all. There were a total of 7 areas the IAEA has requested investigation into with the PMD's in Iran. Iran has provided 5 of these 7 areas. There now remain two areas.


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    Re: Iran isnít providing needed access or information, nuclear watchdog says

    Here is the best prospect for limiting the risk of illicit Iranian nuclear arms-related activities: destroy all Iran's nuclear weapons facilities from the air. Not that this president will ever do that, but the next one might--if it's not too late by then.

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    Re: Iran isnít providing needed access or information, nuclear watchdog says

    Quote Originally Posted by TheDemSocialist View Post
    "while the rest have not been addressed at all."
    --This is not true at all. There were a total of 7 areas the IAEA has requested investigation into with the PMD's in Iran. Iran has provided 5 of these 7 areas. There now remain two areas.
    There are two outstanding practical matters (https://www.iaea.org/sites/default/files/gov2015-15.pdf). However, I believe that the Director General was referring to queries/details related to those matters, not indicating that there are more than two such matters. For example, the report states:

    The Board of Governors, in its resolution of November 2011 (GOV/2011/69), stressed that it was essential for Iran and the Agency to intensify their dialogue aimed at the urgent resolution of all outstanding substantive issues for the purpose of providing clarifications regarding those issues, including access to all relevant information, documentation, sites, material and personnel in Iran.

    Each of those items e.g., relevant information, might constitute one of the multiple areas to which the Director General is referring, even as the items pertain to the two practical issues that remain unresolved.

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    Re: Iran isnít providing needed access or information, nuclear watchdog says

    Quote Originally Posted by TheDemSocialist View Post
    "while the rest have not been addressed at all."
    --This is not true at all. There were a total of 7 areas the IAEA has requested investigation into with the PMD's in Iran. Iran has provided 5 of these 7 areas. There now remain two areas.
    Oh. So the director of the IAEA has listed out his issues, but DemSocialist knows better, based on..... his.... vast personal experience? History on the ground in Iran studying their nuclear infrastructure?

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    Re: Iran isnít providing needed access or information, nuclear watchdog says

    Quote Originally Posted by matchlight View Post
    Here is the best prospect for limiting the risk of illicit Iranian nuclear arms-related activities: destroy all Iran's nuclear weapons facilities from the air. Not that this president will ever do that, but the next one might--if it's not too late by then.
    So, the real question is - what happens if Israel decides to go solo, with a passive enablement from Saudi Arabia?

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    Re: Iran isnít providing needed access or information, nuclear watchdog says

    Quote Originally Posted by matchlight View Post
    Here is the best prospect for limiting the risk of illicit Iranian nuclear arms-related activities: destroy all Iran's nuclear weapons facilities from the air. Not that this president will ever do that, but the next one might--if it's not too late by then.
    Some of the facilities are deep underground and might require special forces to destroy them, if a military operation becomes necessary. I don't think we're at that stage yet. My guess is that Israel will put together an operation to destroy them if Israel believes Iran is on the brink of a nuclear breakout.

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    Re: Iran isnít providing needed access or information, nuclear watchdog says

    Quote Originally Posted by donsutherland1 View Post
    Some of the facilities are deep underground and might require special forces to destroy them, if a military operation becomes necessary. I don't think we're at that stage yet. My guess is that Israel will put together an operation to destroy them if Israel believes Iran is on the brink of a nuclear breakout.
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    Re: Iran isnít providing needed access or information, nuclear watchdog says

    Quote Originally Posted by cpwill View Post
    So, the real question is - what happens if Israel decides to go solo, with a passive enablement from Saudi Arabia?
    Im gonna guess that is never going to happen. I seriously doubt that Israel will launch a intervention on all of Iran's nuclear sites.


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    Re: Iran isnít providing needed access or information, nuclear watchdog says

    Quote Originally Posted by TheDemSocialist View Post
    Im gonna guess that is never going to happen. I seriously doubt that Israel will launch a intervention on all of Iran's nuclear sites.
    Israel is A) convinced that an Iranian nuclear program is an existential threat and B) convinced that our government isn't going to do squat about it, and can't be trusted to defend them. They may not, but it is hardly implausible or even at this point perhaps unlikely. They have already launched several lower level attacks against the Iranian nuclear program, some with us, and some on their own.

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