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And yet we need to upend civilization on climate models when they cannot even get the weather ones right
We weren't even supposed to have rain or snow yesterday but we got it anyway. Just some light flurries that didn't stick.
These are the same yahoos that think they understand climate change implicitly, and claim without doubt that my SUV is the cause of it.
Climate study - today, yesteryear, and in the distanct future - is a wildly inexact science as of today.
It's about as advanced as general meteorology.
It would be nice to have a more accurate way to forecast the weather.
Is what you're living for today, worth dying for tomorrow?
They didn't get it wrong here.
Horse sense is the thing a horse has which keeps it from betting on people. ~W.C. Fields
Problem is, I looked at the models and I saw the potential for danger. Couple of simple forecasting rules:
1. Snow... is a pain in the wazoo to forecast. Not that there will BE snow, but where and how much.
2. The more active a system, the less predictable it is. Again, this is about the when, where how much.
3. While I applaud warning people of worst case, never panic people, if you do it's the cry wolf syndrome and when a real disaster strikes they aren't listening.
⚧ C.T.L.W. You figure it out
My Endo doc went over my blood work. "I see your estrogen level is now at 315, do you feel like you have too much Estrogen now?"
I told her "... N... N.. No..." and started crying.
Sometimes Mother Nature throws a curveball at the last minute.
There have been many times where, in my part of Illinois, we were suppose to get major severe weather and it either broke up before it hit or never materialized at all.