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If the country is on the brink of bankruptcy in 2016 like it was under GWB in 2012, you might have a point...and Obama fatigue may kick in. I doubt that the country will be anywhere near the horrible shape it was in under GWB when Obama leaves it to the next woman.
I am sure Obama fatigue has set in and it probably started about a year and a half ago. But even if it has it doesn’t mean he can’t turn it around. Reagan and Clinton were able to throw it off and recover nicely and both had an excellent last two years. Bush the second wasn’t able to turn it around, Bush fatigue continued until he left the presidency. But you will can tell if Obama is successful or not by watching his approval numbers and party affiliation. To show you what I mean about fatigue setting in compare his approval numbers to a year and a half ago to today:
National Average Then 53% Today 40% minus 13 points
Republican Then 13% Today 7% minus 6 points
Democrat Then 90% Today 78% minus 12 points
Independent Then 47% Today 36% minus 11 points
Party Affiliation
Democrat Then 35% Now 29% minus 6
Republican Then 30% Now 26 % minus 4
Independent Then 32% Now 43% plus 11 points
It would take several pages to explain why the above happened. Waste of time and energy. But both Reagan and Clinton turned figures like around and both finished in the 60’s at the end of their presidency. Bush the second didn’t and dropped down into the upper 20’s at the end of his presidency. If Obama approval and party affiliation drops, the Democrats will have a very hard time in 2016, if he turns it around and throws off voter Obama fatigue and those figures rise, the Democrats will be easy victors.