National Average Then 53% Today 40% minus 13 points
Republican Then 13% Today 7% minus 6 points
Democrat Then 90% Today 78% minus 12 points
Independent Then 47% Today 36% minus 11 points
Democrat Then 35% Now 29% minus 6
Republican Then 30% Now 26 % minus 4
Independent Then 32% Now 43% plus 11 points
It would take several pages to explain why the above happened. Waste of time and energy. But both Reagan and Clinton turned figures like around and both finished in the 60’s at the end of their presidency. Bush the second didn’t and dropped down into the upper 20’s at the end of his presidency. If Obama approval and party affiliation drops, the Democrats will have a very hard time in 2016, if he turns it around and throws off voter Obama fatigue and those figures rise, the Democrats will be easy victors.