I refuse to accept the view that mankind is so tragically bound to the starless midnight of racism and war that the bright daybreak of peace and brotherhood can never become a reality. - MLK
but i wonder how long it will take for all those unemployed voters to wise up and vote for the candidates who are not going to initiate policies which are opposed to the unemployable's situation
for instance, the poorest and least educated in my state recently voted for and elected a senate candidate whose history as a local representative consisted of giving the rich tax breaks at the expense of short changing teachers and denying medicare to millions of citizens. they voted against their own interests - in droves. why should we expect that to change? while i am hopeful, recent history tells me my optimism is unrealistic
I suspect it's going to depend on the results of the next few election cycles. If both houses of congress plus the POTUS is turned over to the far right (I'm not talking about republicans as much as I am the Tea Party and Libertarians), and if they actually act on their rhetoric, then I suspect that the results will force us to realize the changes that we need to make fairly rapidly.
If we elect liberals, then we will just keep blaming liberal policies, and not technology driven fundamental changes in our economy that are dragging us down.
The trend these days is for products to be smaller, lighter, have less packaging, and to be multifunctional. Products can even be "virtual" and occupy no physical space, and can be transmitted electronically for free.
A bet a tractor trailer can hall a million smartphones. Those tiny smartphones are replacing watches, calculators, computers, notepads, envelopes, stamps, typewriters, computer printers, fax machines, credit cards, ID cards, filing cabinets, cameras, pedometers, heart rate monitors, "life alerts", stand alone GPS systems, maps, pens, home phones, televisions, games, and zillions of other products.
One truck will soon be able to carry the load of a hundred trucks.
The move to technology means businesses are more efficient. Efficiency does not necessarily mean there are less jobs in the market. I don't know the exact jobs people will be doing in 15 years time, if I did I'd be a billionaire. However there's no doubt in my mind that new jobs will come in to take the slack, it's always happened and will continue to. My own job didn't exist until about 8 years ago.
Here's a question for you, do you think the net impact of Microsoft Excel has been positive or negative on the economy? Even though it undoubtedly reduces the number of people you need in your accounting dept (no longer need all that time to file/calculate paper docs) it has enabled businesses to focus elsewhere and create new and better products, and also allowed entire new verticals to rise?
Finally I would like to ask, and this might be a topic of a different thread, but for you, is 'utopia' at 0% unemployment (so everyone works) or at 100% unemployment, where people are 'free' from work to do what they want to (because machines take up the slack)?
Last edited by Nilly; 11-09-14 at 09:16 PM.
"Education is the only thing you can do that will change society. Everything else is just a band-aid." - Jacqueline de Chollet
"Boys will be boys. But boys will not be president." - Ronald Regan
If MOOCs are to become a much larger part of higher education (which is confronted by major problems of its own ranging from cost/loan issues to attainment issues), continuing professional education, and/or other forms of training, there will need to be changes. A scenario where they complement courses on campuses or in corporate training rooms rather than replace them is perhaps as plausible as the early arguments that they represented a disruptive innovation for higher education.
"And in the end, we were all just humans, drunk on the idea that love, only love, could heal our brokenness."