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Thread: Math is forbidding for Democrats in struggle for Senate

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    Math is forbidding for Democrats in struggle for Senate

    On the last day of the 2014 campaign, Democrats knew they were in trouble. Long ago, the party had given up hope of winning back the House in Tuesday’s midterm elections.



    By Monday, it had skipped ahead to winning the post-
    election blame game. “House Democrats have succeeded on every measure within our control,” the party’s House campaign committee announced preemptively in the early afternoon. And at the end of a bitter and massively expensive campaign, it appeared the Senate might be slipping from Democrats’ grasp as well.

    Math is forbidding for Democrats in struggle for Senate - The Washington Post

    Looks more and more like its going to be a bad day for dems tommorow.

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    Re: Math is forbidding for Democrats in struggle for Senate

    Thanks, Harry Reid...................................you ****ing asshole.
    "He who does not think himself worth saving from poverty and ignorance by his own efforts, will hardly be thought worth the efforts of anybody else." -- Frederick Douglass, Self-Made Men (1872)
    "Fly-over" country voted, and The Donald is now POTUS.

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    Re: Math is forbidding for Democrats in struggle for Senate

    Quote Originally Posted by American View Post
    Thanks, Harry Reid...................................you ****ing asshole.
    Couldn't have said it better myself - this will probably be the echo coming from the Senate chamber on Wednesday morning.
    Everything in your life is a reflection of a choice you have made. If you want a different result, don't blame someone else, or expect others to make a change, you should stop complaining and make a different choice. Remember, the circumstances of your birth don't determine the outcome of your life.

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    Re: Math is forbidding for Democrats in struggle for Senate

    Quote Originally Posted by Beaudreaux View Post
    Couldn't have said it better myself - this will probably be the echo coming from the Senate chamber on Wednesday morning.
    It will be music to my ears.

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    Re: Math is forbidding for Democrats in struggle for Senate

    Quote Originally Posted by US Conservative View Post
    It will be music to my ears.
    I would probably volunteer to move ole Harry out of the Senate Majority Leader's official office, just to see his expression. God that guy pisses me off. And, there aren't too many up there that can get me riled up like he can. Maybe Cruz on the Republican side, and Durbin on the Dem side... but good ole Harry? He takes the ***hole prize home ever time I hear him speak.
    Everything in your life is a reflection of a choice you have made. If you want a different result, don't blame someone else, or expect others to make a change, you should stop complaining and make a different choice. Remember, the circumstances of your birth don't determine the outcome of your life.

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    Re: Math is forbidding for Democrats in struggle for Senate

    Quote Originally Posted by American View Post
    Thanks, Harry Reid...................................you ****ing asshole.
    But even "Dirty Harry's" actions paled compared to those of Obama "The Great Uniter" in getting folks to hope for change.

    Republicans largely campaigned against President Obama, casting their opponents as rubber stamps for an unpopular chief executive. Most Democrats didn’t seem to like Obama much either, and many ran as centrists skeptical of the president. In Alaska, Sen. Mark Begich (D) proudly declared himself “a thorn” in Obama’s posterior.
    “The reasonable man adapts himself to the world: the unreasonable one persists to adapt the world to himself.
    Therefore all progress depends on the unreasonable man.” ― George Bernard Shaw, Man and Superman

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    Re: Math is forbidding for Democrats in struggle for Senate

    Quote Originally Posted by Beaudreaux View Post
    I would probably volunteer to move ole Harry out of the Senate Majority Leader's official office, just to see his expression. God that guy pisses me off. And, there aren't too many up there that can get me riled up like he can. Maybe Cruz on the Republican side, and Durbin on the Dem side... but good ole Harry? He takes the ***hole prize home ever time I hear him speak.
    I can picture him walking out of his office, head hung low, dragging Nancy Pepsi's gavel behind him by the handle.

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    Re: Math is forbidding for Democrats in struggle for Senate

    Quote Originally Posted by ttwtt78640 View Post
    But even "Dirty Harry's" actions paled compared to those of Obama "The Great Uniter" in getting folks to hope for change.
    Obama will go down as the worst POTUS in modern US history. I have no doubt there are more scandals, incompetence, and transparent partisanship to come from him.

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    Re: Math is forbidding for Democrats in struggle for Senate

    Quote Originally Posted by US Conservative View Post
    Obama will go down as the worst POTUS in modern US history. I have no doubt there are more scandals, incompetence, and transparent partisanship to come from him.
    Only in your mind... he actually has been relatively scandal free. The only "scandals" were the trumped up variety that had almost no traction, which is why they will take their place as double asterisks in political trivia.

    Best / Worst president's haven't been polled in about three years, but you will note that Obama is near the upper part of the list (though I suspect he will rank in the middle when all is said and done)

    Historical rankings of Presidents of the United States - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

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    Re: Math is forbidding for Democrats in struggle for Senate

    The Princeton Election Consortium, which pretty much nailed EVERY Senate race in 2012, sees the probability histogram as follows:

    Elections - 2014 Senate Outcome.jpg

    They also point out that mid-term senate elections can have pretty large margins of errors in prediction...

    Midterm National Senate Polling Error Is Five Times Larger Than In Presidential Years

    That said, the Dems are banking on Orman going their way. Personally, and its only my humble opinion, I bet that if Orman wins, he does the calculus (actually its simple math) and decides he has a longer career as a Kansas Republican than a Kansas Dem and, if the Senate ends up 50-49 or 49-50, stays a Republican. He certainly will caucus as a Rep if they win outright... King will also like switch.

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