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Obama makes rare campaign trail appearance, people leave early

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BY JEFF MASON
UPPER MARLBORO Md. Sun Oct 19, 2014 6:22pm EDT

(Reuters) - President Barack Obama made a rare appearance on the campaign trail on Sunday with a rally to support the Democratic candidate for governor in Maryland, but early departures of crowd members while he spoke underscored his continuing unpopularity.

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With approval levels hovering around record lows, Obama has spent most of his campaign-related efforts this year raising money for struggling Democrats, who risk losing control of the U.S. Senate in the Nov. 4 midterm election.

Cont... Obama makes rare campaign trail appearance, people leave early | Reuters

So it appears that Obama is so unpopular that even in states where dems are ahead people leave early when Obama appears. No wonder dems are jumping ship.
 
They can read a teleprompter "I....I.....I....I and Republicans are bad." What else does he ever say?
 
Did they wear the same thing? It looks like they made a small clone of him.
 
Obama made his appearance in a blue state with a candidate sporting a hefty lead. He can't do much damage. Maryland is the Massachusetts of the mid-Atlantic states. By the time the left is done with it, Maryland will have extraordinarily high taxes and nobody left but the too poor to leave, and the affluent left. Everybody else will have long since left the place.
 
BY JEFF MASON
UPPER MARLBORO Md. Sun Oct 19, 2014 6:22pm EDT

(Reuters) - President Barack Obama made a rare appearance on the campaign trail on Sunday with a rally to support the Democratic candidate for governor in Maryland, but early departures of crowd members while he spoke underscored his continuing unpopularity.

r


With approval levels hovering around record lows, Obama has spent most of his campaign-related efforts this year raising money for struggling Democrats, who risk losing control of the U.S. Senate in the Nov. 4 midterm election.

Cont... Obama makes rare campaign trail appearance, people leave early | Reuters

So it appears that Obama is so unpopular that even in states where dems are ahead people leave early when Obama appears. No wonder dems are jumping ship.

Maryland is a safe Democratic state, one of the bluest. No big deal. As for the senate, it is far from a done deal. The Republicans could very easily lose Kansas and Georgia and their expected pickup in North Carolina is not going to happen. The odds are slightly in the GOP's favor, but one miss step could have it all come tumbling down. Remember Aiken and Mourdock from 2012, they turned sure Republicans gains into loses.

As Yogi Berra said, "It ain't over until its over."
 
Maryland is a safe Democratic state, one of the bluest. No big deal. As for the senate, it is far from a done deal. The Republicans could very easily lose Kansas and Georgia and their expected pickup in North Carolina is not going to happen. The odds are slightly in the GOP's favor, but one miss step could have it all come tumbling down. Remember Aiken and Mourdock from 2012, they turned sure Republicans gains into loses.

As Yogi Berra said, "It ain't over until its over."

They say it is an election about nothing. If the republicans win the senate we will still have gridlock with O in the white house. If the democrats win it we will have gridlock without needing O for anything. Either way we get gridlock for the benefit of everyone. We all win either way.
 
Maryland is a safe Democratic state, one of the bluest. No big deal

Well, kind of a big deal. Which is likely why the Presidsent in there.

The Washington Post and the Baltimore Sun polls on the matter both had it at a single digit race recently. That's concerning for, as you say, one of the bluest of the blue states. Loosing a Governorship in a state like that would likely have messaging ramifications, especially amongst the base.

With Marylands proximity to DC it's not hard for the President to try and stop in and see if he can give it a bit of a boost, and it makes sense they'd do that. It's unlikely that the Democrats fail to win the Governor race...but single digit differences in the polls at least made it mildly worrisome.
 
They say it is an election about nothing. If the republicans win the senate we will still have gridlock with O in the white house. If the democrats win it we will have gridlock without needing O for anything. Either way we get gridlock for the benefit of everyone. We all win either way.

That is true. But in a way I think it might be a good thing for the Republicans to win the senate. That way the GOP can pass all the bills they want, the president can veto all the bills he wants. But each party ideology will be in the forefront for all to see. The stark differences will be in plain sight and come 2016, let the voters decide.
 
Well, kind of a big deal. Which is likely why the Presidsent in there.

The Washington Post and the Baltimore Sun polls on the matter both had it at a single digit race recently. That's concerning for, as you say, one of the bluest of the blue states. Loosing a Governorship in a state like that would likely have messaging ramifications, especially amongst the base.

With Marylands proximity to DC it's not hard for the President to try and stop in and see if he can give it a bit of a boost, and it makes sense they'd do that. It's unlikely that the Democrats fail to win the Governor race...but single digit differences in the polls at least made it mildly worrisome.

Here's what RCP has when it averaged the three October polls for the Maryland Governors race:

RealClearPolitics - Election 2014 - Maryland Governor - Hogan vs. Brown

An 11 point lead for Brown. But Governors are a bit different from Senators. A lot of people will vote or choose their senator by their outlook on the president. Senators are federal. Governors are local and local issues tend to take precedence over national ones.

Now speaking of bluest of blue states, look at Massachusetts Governor's race - Baker vs. Coakley

RealClearPolitics - Election 2014 - Massachusetts Governor - Baker vs. Coakley

Now it is in Massachusetts Obama ought to be campaigning in.
 
Here's what RCP has when it averaged the three October polls for the Maryland Governors race:

I understand the RCP and looked at it. Note that I pointed out the Washington Post and Baltimore Sun polls, both which are significantly different then the CBS poll. Living in the area, the general thought process would be giving greater credance to the WaPo/Sun polls than the CBS one. And given those two are far closer, while the CBS one is wildly larger, I'd be apt to say that's the more accurate number to look at.

That's the one problem with the RCP average at times. If you have a few polls all showing relatively similar numbers and then one CRAZY outlier, suddenly the average looks a lot higher than it likely really is.

I agree with you a bit regarding Massachusetts, though again I think logistically it's far easier for him to quickly make some comments in Maryland as opposed to massachusetts
 
I understand the RCP and looked at it. Note that I pointed out the Washington Post and Baltimore Sun polls, both which are significantly different then the CBS poll. Living in the area, the general thought process would be giving greater credance to the WaPo/Sun polls than the CBS one. And given those two are far closer, while the CBS one is wildly larger, I'd be apt to say that's the more accurate number to look at.

That's the one problem with the RCP average at times. If you have a few polls all showing relatively similar numbers and then one CRAZY outlier, suddenly the average looks a lot higher than it likely really is.

I agree with you a bit regarding Massachusetts, though again I think logistically it's far easier for him to quickly make some comments in Maryland as opposed to massachusetts

Yeah it is, just a hop, skip and a jump. But from what I read he left Maryland and went to Illinois to campaign for Quinn. CBS is rated a B pollster which tilts slightly to the Democrats, about a point according to Nate Silver and his 538 column. The Washington post is a B minus polling firm which also tilts towards the Democrats. He has nothing on the Baltimore Sun. Just in case you interested here is the URL.

FiveThirtyEight’s Pollster Ratings | FiveThirtyEight

But I like the averages of RCP just for the reason you gave. One skewed poll is not all that skewed when averaged together. A lot of folks will put way too much stock in one poll. I like to look for trends. Now going from 17 to 9 to 7 is a trend to be watched. But with only three polls the question is how much stock to put into that trend. Then one must also consider the blueness of Maryland and its voting history.

But what I see is a positive for the Republican, but there is really not enough undecideds, 9% according to the Baltimore Sun Poll to overcome a 7 point deficit. In my opinion anyway. Also in the polls Brown is at 51, 47 and 49. One is over 50% and the other two close enough. There will have to be quite a lot of voters who are saying they are going to vote for Brown switch their vote at the last minute if Hogan is to win.
 
Maryland is a safe Democratic state, one of the bluest. No big deal. As for the senate, it is far from a done deal. The Republicans could very easily lose Kansas and Georgia and their expected pickup in North Carolina is not going to happen. The odds are slightly in the GOP's favor, but one miss step could have it all come tumbling down. Remember Aiken and Mourdock from 2012, they turned sure Republicans gains into loses.

As Yogi Berra said, "It ain't over until its over."

True but theres another thing going on here-a black POTUS being jeered by black crowds in a heavily democrat state. I think thats the real news.
 
True but theres another thing going on here-a black POTUS being jeered by black crowds in a heavily democrat state. I think thats the real news.

He wasn't "jeered by black crowds." There was ONE heckler. ONE. As per your own source.
 
True but theres another thing going on here-a black POTUS being jeered by black crowds in a heavily democrat state. I think thats the real news.

I heard some of the spin the Democrats put on it. Perhaps they do not think Obama has done enough.
 
Kobie-Obama was heckled at the worst possible place-and in looking at the data about how blacks have done under Obama it was deserved, dont you agree?

I don't particularly care about the heckler.
 
That spin isn't going to help in a few weeks. They know this, but they are desperate.

As I stated in a post earlier today, this election is far from over. All the Democrats have to do is hold the Republicans to a net gain of 5 seats and they will still control the senate. West Virginia and Montana are basically over and are going to the Republicans. South Dakota has come into play over the last two weeks and the GOP is trying to hang on there. But South Dakota's former Republican Senator Larry Pressler running as an independent has thrown a huge monkey wrench into the fray. He might even win, then there is Kansas. If the GOP loses Kansas that means they have to pick up 7 previously held Democratic seats. One of the states counted on to make that 7 or 6 depending on Kansas was South Dakota and I haven't even addressed my home state of Georgia. In the last three polls taken in Georgia the Democrat Nunn is tied, leads by 3 and by 1. Lose Georgia and I would say that dooms the GOP chances even though it looks like West Virginia, Arkansas, Alaska, Louisiana, Montana and perhaps Iowa, Colorado will be switching from Democrat to Republican. Iowa and Colorado are real close at the moment.

Even as I say the above, if I were a Democrat I would be desperate too. If the Republicans are successful in making this election a national one and a referendum on Obama, they will probably gain the senate. If the Democrats can keep just a few states focused on local issues, then they will have blunted the storm. One state I forgot that may becoming into play for the Republicans is New Hampshire, but I wouldn't count on New Hampshire going red. It's still a long shot.
 
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