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The lists of those with photo IDs is being compared to a list of REGISTERED VOTERS. So you can safely assume 400,000 or so in Texas vote at least occasionally and don't have the ID required by the new rules.
And it's true that the vast majority of people, including the urban poor, do have the required ID. But in a state like Texas with 26 million people, about 8 million voted in the 2012 election, probably 12-15 million registered, it's not hard to get to 3 or 4% without the required ID.
Then that 3 or 4% are not meeting their obligations as citizens.