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Thread: 1st Ebola patient diagnosed in the US has died[W:33]

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    Re: 1st Ebola patient diagnosed in the US has died

    Quote Originally Posted by Jetboogieman View Post
    This idea that it's going to magically mutate into an airborne contagion makes for a good Sci-Fi movie, but the chances of it are slim to zero.
    I never said that the chances were high.

    What I said that with the greater exposure of the virus to human hosts who become infected, the chances for mutation are higher than without this greater exposure, and they are.

    By calling the increased risk, 'Sci-Fi', you are ignoring that it is an increased risk, and one that grows with each newly infected human host. Guess there are some advantages in humans being a genetic monoculture, as in lowering the possible mutation combinations. Usually being a monoculture is a draw back, but should that mutation come to pass, Ebola become an airborne pathogen, it would be a disadvantage once again.
    Last edited by eohrnberger; 10-08-14 at 04:26 PM. Reason: Pronoun changed to appropriate
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    Re: 1st Ebola patient diagnosed in the US has died[W:33]

    Quote Originally Posted by Jetboogieman View Post
    This idea that it's going to magically mutate into an airborne contagion makes for a good Sci-Fi movie, but the chances of it are slim to zero.


    There's nothing magic abou it.

    Even the CDC acknowledged that Ebola could go airborne.

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    Re: 1st Ebola patient diagnosed in the US has died

    Quote Originally Posted by Jetboogieman View Post
    This idea that it's going to magically mutate into an airborne contagion makes for a good Sci-Fi movie, but the chances of it are slim to zero.
    Just like with all viruses, the longer the current strain continues to transmit, the higher the likelihood of mutations. Since Ebola kills humans too fast, and outbreaks don't last very long, it hasn't had a chance to mutate. Change either of those parameters, and mutations happen.

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    Re: 1st Ebola patient diagnosed in the US has died[W:33]

    Quote Originally Posted by Fenton View Post
    There's nothing magic abou it.

    Even the CDC acknowledged that Ebola could go airborne.
    The big thing is not that the virus can't mutate, nor that it can become more potent, deadlier or resistant to certain treatments, but it has not been observed in the 100 years virus have been studied, for a massive shift in the way a virus is transmitted.

    And that's the key thing, it's not impossible, but it has virtually never been observed.

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    Re: 1st Ebola patient diagnosed in the US has died[W:33]

    Quote Originally Posted by Jetboogieman View Post
    The big thing is not that the virus can't mutate, nor that it can become more potent, deadlier or resistant to certain treatments, but it has not been observed in the 100 years virus have been studied, for a massive shift in the way a virus is transmitted.

    And that's the key thing, it's not impossible, but it has virtually never been observed.
    Ebola was discovered in 1976. It never has had the chance to mutate due to its normal short lifespan, while this outbreak has been going on for 10 months.

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    Re: 1st Ebola patient diagnosed in the US has died[W:33]

    It could go airborne. It could get into water. It could sprout wings or do the cha-cha.

    What if's make for great drama but we have to look at what is. One person in the U.S. is infected. Even if there are a few more cases, it's not going to spread like wildfire. The flu is far more deadly.

    I wish all the chicken littles out there would get a grip and tend to their own lives instead of running around hysterically waiting for doomsday to come, just so that they have something to gossip about.

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    Re: 1st Ebola patient diagnosed in the US has died[W:33]

    Quote Originally Posted by Jetboogieman View Post
    The big thing is not that the virus can't mutate, nor that it can become more potent, deadlier or resistant to certain treatments, but it has not been observed in the 100 years virus have been studied, for a massive shift in the way a virus is transmitted.

    And that's the key thing, it's not impossible, but it has virtually never been observed.
    Oh, so it never will? That is just the type of thinking that I hope doesn't take root in our infectious disease community. That thinking would result in death.
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    Re: 1st Ebola patient diagnosed in the US has died

    The News just said another Dallas victim/contact has come down with Ebola symptoms.

    This thing is spreading a little easier than they're letting onto. Mark my words that if it starts to get out of control, they'll admit they knew more but didn't want to panic people. The current belief is that an airborne virus is spread primarily by large particles traveling up to a maximum of 3 feet to 6 feet from an infected person.
    Einstein, "science without religion is lame, religion without science is blind."

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    Re: 1st Ebola patient diagnosed in the US has died[W:33]

    Quote Originally Posted by Samhain View Post
    Ebola was discovered in 1976. It never has had the chance to mutate due to its normal short lifespan, while this outbreak has been going on for 10 months.
    I'm talking about Virus' in general and timeframe wasn't your original concern.

    The concern is how many people it infects and how much it could mutate to become airborne.

    AIDS and Hepatitis C have infected millions and has never mutated to become airborne...

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    Re: 1st Ebola patient diagnosed in the US has died[W:33]

    Quote Originally Posted by j-mac View Post
    Oh, so it never will?
    I said the possibility was slim to zero, a virus completely shifting the way it transmits itself has virtually never been observed.

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