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Thread: High risk Ebola could reach France and UK by end-October, scientists calculate.....

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    High risk Ebola could reach France and UK by end-October, scientists calculate.....

    It appears they are looking at this virus spreading.....even with High risk cases. In the meantime here in the US Duncan is in critical condition and that's with treatment. What say ye?


    Reuters - Scientists have used Ebola disease spread patterns and airline traffic data to predict a 75 percent chance the virus could be imported to France by October 24, and a 50 percent chance it could hit Britain by that date.

    Those numbers are based on air traffic remaining at full capacity. Assuming an 80 percent reduction in travel to reflect that many airlines are halting flights to affected regions, France's risk is still 25 percent, and Britain's is 15 percent. France is among countries most likely to be hit next because the worst affected countries - Guinea, Sierra Leone and Liberia - include French speakers and have busy travel routes back, while Britain's Heathrow airport is one of the world's biggest travel hubs. Belgium has a 40 percent chance of seeing the disease arrive on its territory, while Spain and Switzerland have lower risks of 14 percent each, according to the study first published in the journal PLoS Current Outbreaks and now being regularly updated at ebola - MoBS

    The latest calculations used data from October 1.....snip~

    High risk Ebola could reach France and UK by end-October, scientists calculate

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    Re: High risk Ebola could reach France and UK by end-October, scientists calculate...

    Ebola takes anything from 10-20 days to incubate - no imagine how much contact these infected people had in the time Ebola victims had contact with during the time they weren't feeling sick??????

    This is going to be terrible in the US.

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    Re: High risk Ebola could reach France and UK by end-October, scientists calculate...

    They keep saying that everyone that was tested- tested negative. Yea well it's only been 7,8,10 days?

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    Re: High risk Ebola could reach France and UK by end-October, scientists calculate...

    Quote Originally Posted by MMC View Post
    It appears they are looking at this virus spreading.....even with High risk cases. In the meantime here in the US Duncan is in critical condition and that's with treatment. What say ye?


    Reuters - Scientists have used Ebola disease spread patterns and airline traffic data to predict a 75 percent chance the virus could be imported to France by October 24, and a 50 percent chance it could hit Britain by that date.

    Those numbers are based on air traffic remaining at full capacity. Assuming an 80 percent reduction in travel to reflect that many airlines are halting flights to affected regions, France's risk is still 25 percent, and Britain's is 15 percent. France is among countries most likely to be hit next because the worst affected countries - Guinea, Sierra Leone and Liberia - include French speakers and have busy travel routes back, while Britain's Heathrow airport is one of the world's biggest travel hubs. Belgium has a 40 percent chance of seeing the disease arrive on its territory, while Spain and Switzerland have lower risks of 14 percent each, according to the study first published in the journal PLoS Current Outbreaks and now being regularly updated at ebola - MoBS

    The latest calculations used data from October 1.....snip~

    High risk Ebola could reach France and UK by end-October, scientists calculate
    Greetings, MMC.

    How can Ebola be fought with the airlines flying all around the world on a daily basis? Many businessmen do not usually have the luxury of planning their business travel a month in advance, even in the US. Vacation travel with their families, yes...business no. Will we be required to have a document from a doctor stating that we are Ebola free, along with our passport, if we have to travel worldwide in the near future? And how will we quarantine millions of people for three weeks to be sure they don't have Ebola, since it takes that long for symptoms to appear?

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    Re: High risk Ebola could reach France and UK by end-October, scientists calculate...

    Quote Originally Posted by Mr.Nick View Post
    Ebola takes anything from 10-20 days to incubate - no imagine how much contact these infected people had in the time Ebola victims had contact with during the time they weren't feeling sick??????

    This is going to be terrible in the US.


    Heya Nick. Plus the Doctor they gave the experimental drug to is back in the hospital and they have him under observation. They are saying he now has an upper respiratory infection and some Pink eye.

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    Re: High risk Ebola could reach France and UK by end-October, scientists calculate...

    If Ebola is actually a crisis, what can be gained from it? We can't allow any crisis to go to waste, after all.
    "Donald Trump is a phony, a fraud... [he's] playing the American public for suckers." Mitt Romney

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    Re: High risk Ebola could reach France and UK by end-October, scientists calculate...

    Quote Originally Posted by polgara View Post
    Greetings, MMC.

    How can Ebola be fought with the airlines flying all around the world on a daily basis? Many businessmen do not usually have the luxury of planning their business travel a month in advance, even in the US. Vacation travel with their families, yes...business no. Will we be required to have a document from a doctor stating that we are Ebola free, along with our passport, if we have to travel worldwide in the near future? And how will we quarantine millions of people for three weeks to be sure they don't have Ebola, since it takes that long for symptoms to appear?
    Heya Lady P .....Well they account for countries restricting flights. Still 19 days isn't a lot of time.....is it?

    Theres always teleconferencing so I am told.

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    Re: High risk Ebola could reach France and UK by end-October, scientists calculate...

    Quote Originally Posted by MMC View Post
    Heya Nick. Plus the Doctor they gave the experimental drug to is back in the hospital and they have him under observation. They are saying he now has an upper respiratory infection and some Pink eye.
    The only Ebola "cure" (if you want to call it that) was by taking the blood of those who have natural "immunities" and giving blood transfusions to the sick in hopes the immunities bond with the sicks's immune system. It has worked with great deal of success, however the problem with this is that the majority who are "immune" carry virus that would kill those who don't share the antibodies with the individuals who gave blood.

    If we don't quarantine this Ebola outbreak it would be a pandemic - much like Mad Cows disease or Bird Flu just 10x worse given the incubation period of nearly a moth.

    Think of this - how many people do you act within a month on a personal to personal level - 100 or eve 1000's and that was before they even knew they were ill.

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    Re: High risk Ebola could reach France and UK by end-October, scientists calculate...

    Quote Originally Posted by MMC View Post
    Heya Lady P .....Well they account for countries restricting flights. Still 19 days isn't a lot of time.....is it?

    Theres always teleconferencing so I am told.
    i was on a teleconference call not too long ago, and the meeting was successful, and business was handled. The only problem I have always had with them is that no one can see anyone else, nor is there any way to know who else is sitting in that you didn't know about. The man who scheduled the call had the option of who to invite to participate on the call, and we all had to announce one by one that we were present for the call. Face to face is better, IMO, but certainly more costly, and now with Ebola, potentially more hazardess to your health.

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    Re: High risk Ebola could reach France and UK by end-October, scientists calculate...

    Quote Originally Posted by polgara View Post
    i was on a teleconference call not too long ago, and the meeting was successful, and business was handled. The only problem I have always had with them is that no one can see anyone else, nor is there any way to know who else is sitting in that you didn't know about. The man who scheduled the call had the option of who to invite to participate on the call, and we all had to announce one by one that we were present for the call. Face to face is better, IMO, but certainly more costly, and now with Ebola, potentially more hazardess to your health.
    I actually prefer a teleconference over a videoconference. I find video conferences very distracting and there always seem to be minor glitches. And I can't stand to look at myself. LOL

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