If that was so...why didn't the housing market collapse before that?
You do realize you only need a fraction of houses with mortgages to go under before the securitization of those mortgages starts sending financial instruments into a domino right? With the push for reduced obstacles to home ownership along with bad policies towards F&F, that set the blocks for what really screwed us.
Honestly, I don't think the problem itself was the bad loans. It was how Wall Street repackaged the securities under those loans that did us in along with the totally fraudulent rating systems. Bad loans were an issue, but housing itself as a total percent of the GDP is not enough to cause that level of damage.
Had it not been for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, I think the bubble would have collapsed long before 2008.
From 2000-2004 Fannie and Freddie purchased Trillions in Sub-prime securities and loans acting basically as a buffer while they stocked their portfolios full of junk debt. They were the primary consumer of CountryWides trash loans and the primary consumer of Securities backed by Sub-prime loans.
The Freddie and Fannie foundation even bragged about CountryWide being one of their primary originators of loans that were made with little or no income information or verification.
And on top of that they were being run like Enron on steroids and defended by Congress right up until they were declared insolvent.
Their actions and their implicit Government guarantee produced demand for a product that was essentially worthless and their participation in the Market pushed the collapse into 2008 and allowed it to have systemic consequences as MBSs backed by Sub-prime debt found it's way into CDO tranches in Capital Markets all over the world.
Fannie and Freddie haven't given a itemized account of their debt yet, but you can get some idea of their practices and the amount of trash they held thanks to Eric Holders actions post 2008 and the FEDs QE.
First, our Fed has agreed to purchase 1.5 Trillion total in junk " AAA " rated securities from Fannie and Freddie through the Feds QE.
Then FNMA's post 2008 lawsuit against multiple invest banks for selling Fannie Mae junk securities revealed the amount in purchases in Securities that Fannie alone willingly purchased.
6 BILLION FROM BANK OF AMERICA...
25 BILLION FROM MERYYL LYNCH
27 BILLION FROM COUNTRYWIDE
33 BILLION FROM JP MORGN
30 BILLION FROM ROYAL BANK OF SCOTLAND
14 BILLION FROM DEUTCHE BANK
14 BILLION FROM CREDIT SUISSE
11 BILLION FROM GOLDMAN SACHS
10 BILLION FROM MORGAN STANLEY\
6.2 BILLION FROM HSBC
6 BILLION FROM ALLY
5 BILLION FROM BARCLAYS
4 BILLION FROM CITIGROUP
2 BILLION FROM NOMURA
Next is Holder's continued shakedown of Banks and Lenders who were following their CRA mandates. His lawsuit against Bank of America and Wells Fargo who chose to settle out of court rather than fight the US government.
What the GSEs wound up with in their portfolios when they collapsed doesn't speak to the amount of " AAA " securities THEY distributed out into the markets. It wasn't just Fannie and Freddie that collapsed, Capital markets filled with CDOs tranches that were loaded with toxic MBSs collapsed around the world and the Real Estate Market still to this day sits in a massive sea of debt and foreclosures.
All of those worthless securities were backed by worthless loans, and given the minimal Homeownership rates from 2000-2006 they couldn't of originated under Bush. At least not the majority of them.