There are two novels that can change a bookish fourteen-year old's life: The Lord of the Rings and Atlas Shrugged. One is a childish fantasy that often engenders a lifelong obsession with its unbelievable heroes, leading to an emotionally stunted, socially crippled adulthood, unable to deal with the real world. The other, of course, involves orcs.... John Rogers
Crimea is autonomous and can ask for Russian intervention, which it did. The realpolitik of this situation is that the Ukraine is heavily divided over its loyalties to Russia vs. the EU and it's not as simple as 'poor Ukraine got oppressed by the USSR oops I mean Russia'. I'm merely balancing out the spin that I'm reading in places like CNN and the BBC. As soon as the headline "Russian military invades..." hits the airwaves, people lose their **** and once emotions take hold people are no longer rational.
Yes, it's possible that Russia will use this as an opportunity to install a puppet back into Kiev. Everyone knows that already. I'm hoping they won't, but it's a realistic possibility. Russia could do that without invading though, as could the CIA and MI5, but having a physical presence ensures that Russia will have greater control over the security situation. Russia saw the gong show in Egypt and Syria. It's not going to let the Ukraine become the next casualty in the western bloc's intervention politics. I believe that, combined with securing an economic partner and treaty obligations, is why Russia is there right now.
What I foresee is that Russia will somehow claim that the Kiev provisional government has lost control of the situation, its assets are in danger, and half of pro-Russian Ukraine (mainly the east) will be leveraged via propaganda to re-take Kiev and install a pro-Russian government. NATO will sit by and twiddle its thumbs, making idle threats, because no one wants to poke this sleeping tiger, not over something like the Ukraine. The EU won't do anything because they don't jump until the U.S. jumps, and the U.S. won't jump because it's already stretched to thin and the risk of protracted conflict with Russia is not an option right now. Putin knows it. I just think it's really sad that the protesters achieved such a great victory in deposing the former leadership only to have a much greater power come in and sweep that all away.
I'm not pro-anything. I'm into politics and studying situations as they unfold. Keep your snarky, personal attacks to yourself.
Lastly, it is Crimea and Russia that are escalating the situation. I haven't heard reports of Ukrainian military seizing places in Crimea, I haven't heard of Kiev instituting anti-ethnic Russian legislation against Crimea, I haven't heard of masked armed Ukrainian gunmen taking over a government building in Crimea. These are all things that Crimea and Russia have done. Everyone should take a step back, take a breath, and give the new government a shot before escalating things to the degree they are becoming.
Welcome to the world without American leadership, folks.
Give a man a fish and he eats for a day. Teach a man to fish and he stops voting for the Free Fish party.
32 “Whoever acknowledges me before others, I will also acknowledge before my Father in heaven. 33 But whoever disowns me before others, I will disown before my Father in heaven.